Heart rate variability and atrial fibrillation in the general population: a longitudinal and Mendelian randomization study

Background Sex differences and causality of the association between heart rate variability (HRV) and atrial fibrillation (AF) in the general population remain unclear. Methods 12,334 participants free of AF from the population-based Rotterdam Study were included. Measures of HRV including the standa...

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Veröffentlicht in:Clinical research in cardiology 2023-06, Vol.112 (6), p.747-758
Hauptverfasser: Geurts, Sven, Tilly, Martijn J., Arshi, Banafsheh, Stricker, Bruno H. C., Kors, Jan A., Deckers, Jaap W., de Groot, Natasja M. S., Ikram, M. Arfan, Kavousi, Maryam
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container_end_page 758
container_issue 6
container_start_page 747
container_title Clinical research in cardiology
container_volume 112
creator Geurts, Sven
Tilly, Martijn J.
Arshi, Banafsheh
Stricker, Bruno H. C.
Kors, Jan A.
Deckers, Jaap W.
de Groot, Natasja M. S.
Ikram, M. Arfan
Kavousi, Maryam
description Background Sex differences and causality of the association between heart rate variability (HRV) and atrial fibrillation (AF) in the general population remain unclear. Methods 12,334 participants free of AF from the population-based Rotterdam Study were included. Measures of HRV including the standard deviation of normal RR intervals (SDNN), SDNN corrected for heart rate (SDNNc), RR interval differences (RMSSD), RMSSD corrected for heart rate (RMSSDc), and heart rate were assessed at baseline and follow-up examinations. Joint models, adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors, were used to determine the association between longitudinal measures of HRV with new-onset AF. Genetic variants for HRV were used as instrumental variables in a Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis using genome-wide association studies (GWAS) summary-level data. Results During a median follow-up of 9.4 years, 1302 incident AF cases occurred among 12,334 participants (mean age 64.8 years, 58.3% women). In joint models, higher SDNN (fully-adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.24, 1.04–1.47, p  = 0.0213), and higher RMSSD (fully-adjusted HR, 95% CI 1.33, 1.13–1.54, p  = 0.0010) were significantly associated with new-onset AF. Sex-stratified analyses showed that the associations were mostly prominent among women. In MR analyses, a genetically determined increase in SDNN (odds ratio (OR), 95% CI 1.60, 1.27–2.02, p  = 8.36 × 10 –05 ), and RMSSD (OR, 95% CI 1.56, 1.31–1.86, p  = 6.32 × 10 –07 ) were significantly associated with an increased odds of AF. Conclusion Longitudinal measures of uncorrected HRV were significantly associated with new-onset AF, especially among women. MR analyses supported the causal relationship between uncorrected measures of HRV with AF. Our findings indicate that measures to modulate HRV might prevent AF in the general population, in particular in women. Graphical abstract AF ; atrial fibrillation, GWAS ; genome-wide association study,  IVW ; inverse variance weighted, MR ; Mendelian randomization,  MR-PRESSO ; MR-egger and mendelian randomization pleiotropy residual sum and outlier, RMSSD ; root mean square of successive RR interval differences, RMSSDc ; root mean square of successive RR interval differences corrected for heart rate, SDNN ; standard deviation of normal to normal RR intervals, SDNNc ; standard deviation of normal to normal RR intervals corrected for heart rate, WME ; weighted median estimator. a Rotterdam Study n =12,334 b HR
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C. ; Kors, Jan A. ; Deckers, Jaap W. ; de Groot, Natasja M. S. ; Ikram, M. Arfan ; Kavousi, Maryam</creator><creatorcontrib>Geurts, Sven ; Tilly, Martijn J. ; Arshi, Banafsheh ; Stricker, Bruno H. C. ; Kors, Jan A. ; Deckers, Jaap W. ; de Groot, Natasja M. S. ; Ikram, M. Arfan ; Kavousi, Maryam</creatorcontrib><description>Background Sex differences and causality of the association between heart rate variability (HRV) and atrial fibrillation (AF) in the general population remain unclear. Methods 12,334 participants free of AF from the population-based Rotterdam Study were included. Measures of HRV including the standard deviation of normal RR intervals (SDNN), SDNN corrected for heart rate (SDNNc), RR interval differences (RMSSD), RMSSD corrected for heart rate (RMSSDc), and heart rate were assessed at baseline and follow-up examinations. Joint models, adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors, were used to determine the association between longitudinal measures of HRV with new-onset AF. Genetic variants for HRV were used as instrumental variables in a Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis using genome-wide association studies (GWAS) summary-level data. Results During a median follow-up of 9.4 years, 1302 incident AF cases occurred among 12,334 participants (mean age 64.8 years, 58.3% women). In joint models, higher SDNN (fully-adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.24, 1.04–1.47, p  = 0.0213), and higher RMSSD (fully-adjusted HR, 95% CI 1.33, 1.13–1.54, p  = 0.0010) were significantly associated with new-onset AF. Sex-stratified analyses showed that the associations were mostly prominent among women. In MR analyses, a genetically determined increase in SDNN (odds ratio (OR), 95% CI 1.60, 1.27–2.02, p  = 8.36 × 10 –05 ), and RMSSD (OR, 95% CI 1.56, 1.31–1.86, p  = 6.32 × 10 –07 ) were significantly associated with an increased odds of AF. Conclusion Longitudinal measures of uncorrected HRV were significantly associated with new-onset AF, especially among women. MR analyses supported the causal relationship between uncorrected measures of HRV with AF. Our findings indicate that measures to modulate HRV might prevent AF in the general population, in particular in women. Graphical abstract AF ; atrial fibrillation, GWAS ; genome-wide association study,  IVW ; inverse variance weighted, MR ; Mendelian randomization,  MR-PRESSO ; MR-egger and mendelian randomization pleiotropy residual sum and outlier, RMSSD ; root mean square of successive RR interval differences, RMSSDc ; root mean square of successive RR interval differences corrected for heart rate, SDNN ; standard deviation of normal to normal RR intervals, SDNNc ; standard deviation of normal to normal RR intervals corrected for heart rate, WME ; weighted median estimator. a Rotterdam Study n =12,334 b HRV GWAS n =53,174 c AF GWAS n =1,030,836</description><identifier>ISSN: 1861-0684</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1861-0692</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s00392-022-02072-5</identifier><identifier>PMID: 35962833</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Berlin/Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg</publisher><subject>Atrial Fibrillation - epidemiology ; Atrial Fibrillation - genetics ; Cardiac arrhythmia ; Cardiology ; Cardiovascular diseases ; Confidence intervals ; Female ; Fibrillation ; Genetic diversity ; Genetic variance ; Genome-wide association studies ; Genome-Wide Association Study ; Genomes ; Health risks ; Heart rate ; Heart Rate - physiology ; Humans ; Longitudinal Studies ; Male ; Median (statistics) ; Medicine ; Medicine &amp; Public Health ; Mendelian Randomization Analysis ; Middle Aged ; Original Paper ; Outliers (statistics) ; Pleiotropy ; Population studies ; Randomization ; Risk factors ; Sex differences ; Standard deviation ; Variability</subject><ispartof>Clinical research in cardiology, 2023-06, Vol.112 (6), p.747-758</ispartof><rights>The Author(s) 2022</rights><rights>2022. The Author(s).</rights><rights>The Author(s) 2022. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c475t-3119a7a98b96791c55b4bf1cace6688880a217a14da0a0074bdff73bbd1ee4683</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c475t-3119a7a98b96791c55b4bf1cace6688880a217a14da0a0074bdff73bbd1ee4683</cites><orcidid>0000-0001-5976-6519</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00392-022-02072-5$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00392-022-02072-5$$EHTML$$P50$$Gspringer$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,780,784,885,27924,27925,41488,42557,51319</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35962833$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Geurts, Sven</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tilly, Martijn J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Arshi, Banafsheh</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Stricker, Bruno H. C.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kors, Jan A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Deckers, Jaap W.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>de Groot, Natasja M. S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ikram, M. Arfan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kavousi, Maryam</creatorcontrib><title>Heart rate variability and atrial fibrillation in the general population: a longitudinal and Mendelian randomization study</title><title>Clinical research in cardiology</title><addtitle>Clin Res Cardiol</addtitle><addtitle>Clin Res Cardiol</addtitle><description>Background Sex differences and causality of the association between heart rate variability (HRV) and atrial fibrillation (AF) in the general population remain unclear. Methods 12,334 participants free of AF from the population-based Rotterdam Study were included. Measures of HRV including the standard deviation of normal RR intervals (SDNN), SDNN corrected for heart rate (SDNNc), RR interval differences (RMSSD), RMSSD corrected for heart rate (RMSSDc), and heart rate were assessed at baseline and follow-up examinations. Joint models, adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors, were used to determine the association between longitudinal measures of HRV with new-onset AF. Genetic variants for HRV were used as instrumental variables in a Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis using genome-wide association studies (GWAS) summary-level data. Results During a median follow-up of 9.4 years, 1302 incident AF cases occurred among 12,334 participants (mean age 64.8 years, 58.3% women). In joint models, higher SDNN (fully-adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.24, 1.04–1.47, p  = 0.0213), and higher RMSSD (fully-adjusted HR, 95% CI 1.33, 1.13–1.54, p  = 0.0010) were significantly associated with new-onset AF. Sex-stratified analyses showed that the associations were mostly prominent among women. In MR analyses, a genetically determined increase in SDNN (odds ratio (OR), 95% CI 1.60, 1.27–2.02, p  = 8.36 × 10 –05 ), and RMSSD (OR, 95% CI 1.56, 1.31–1.86, p  = 6.32 × 10 –07 ) were significantly associated with an increased odds of AF. Conclusion Longitudinal measures of uncorrected HRV were significantly associated with new-onset AF, especially among women. MR analyses supported the causal relationship between uncorrected measures of HRV with AF. Our findings indicate that measures to modulate HRV might prevent AF in the general population, in particular in women. 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C.</au><au>Kors, Jan A.</au><au>Deckers, Jaap W.</au><au>de Groot, Natasja M. S.</au><au>Ikram, M. Arfan</au><au>Kavousi, Maryam</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Heart rate variability and atrial fibrillation in the general population: a longitudinal and Mendelian randomization study</atitle><jtitle>Clinical research in cardiology</jtitle><stitle>Clin Res Cardiol</stitle><addtitle>Clin Res Cardiol</addtitle><date>2023-06-01</date><risdate>2023</risdate><volume>112</volume><issue>6</issue><spage>747</spage><epage>758</epage><pages>747-758</pages><issn>1861-0684</issn><eissn>1861-0692</eissn><abstract>Background Sex differences and causality of the association between heart rate variability (HRV) and atrial fibrillation (AF) in the general population remain unclear. Methods 12,334 participants free of AF from the population-based Rotterdam Study were included. Measures of HRV including the standard deviation of normal RR intervals (SDNN), SDNN corrected for heart rate (SDNNc), RR interval differences (RMSSD), RMSSD corrected for heart rate (RMSSDc), and heart rate were assessed at baseline and follow-up examinations. Joint models, adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors, were used to determine the association between longitudinal measures of HRV with new-onset AF. Genetic variants for HRV were used as instrumental variables in a Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis using genome-wide association studies (GWAS) summary-level data. Results During a median follow-up of 9.4 years, 1302 incident AF cases occurred among 12,334 participants (mean age 64.8 years, 58.3% women). In joint models, higher SDNN (fully-adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.24, 1.04–1.47, p  = 0.0213), and higher RMSSD (fully-adjusted HR, 95% CI 1.33, 1.13–1.54, p  = 0.0010) were significantly associated with new-onset AF. Sex-stratified analyses showed that the associations were mostly prominent among women. In MR analyses, a genetically determined increase in SDNN (odds ratio (OR), 95% CI 1.60, 1.27–2.02, p  = 8.36 × 10 –05 ), and RMSSD (OR, 95% CI 1.56, 1.31–1.86, p  = 6.32 × 10 –07 ) were significantly associated with an increased odds of AF. Conclusion Longitudinal measures of uncorrected HRV were significantly associated with new-onset AF, especially among women. MR analyses supported the causal relationship between uncorrected measures of HRV with AF. Our findings indicate that measures to modulate HRV might prevent AF in the general population, in particular in women. Graphical abstract AF ; atrial fibrillation, GWAS ; genome-wide association study,  IVW ; inverse variance weighted, MR ; Mendelian randomization,  MR-PRESSO ; MR-egger and mendelian randomization pleiotropy residual sum and outlier, RMSSD ; root mean square of successive RR interval differences, RMSSDc ; root mean square of successive RR interval differences corrected for heart rate, SDNN ; standard deviation of normal to normal RR intervals, SDNNc ; standard deviation of normal to normal RR intervals corrected for heart rate, WME ; weighted median estimator. a Rotterdam Study n =12,334 b HRV GWAS n =53,174 c AF GWAS n =1,030,836</abstract><cop>Berlin/Heidelberg</cop><pub>Springer Berlin Heidelberg</pub><pmid>35962833</pmid><doi>10.1007/s00392-022-02072-5</doi><tpages>12</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5976-6519</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Atrial Fibrillation - epidemiology
Atrial Fibrillation - genetics
Cardiac arrhythmia
Cardiology
Cardiovascular diseases
Confidence intervals
Female
Fibrillation
Genetic diversity
Genetic variance
Genome-wide association studies
Genome-Wide Association Study
Genomes
Health risks
Heart rate
Heart Rate - physiology
Humans
Longitudinal Studies
Male
Median (statistics)
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Mendelian Randomization Analysis
Middle Aged
Original Paper
Outliers (statistics)
Pleiotropy
Population studies
Randomization
Risk factors
Sex differences
Standard deviation
Variability
title Heart rate variability and atrial fibrillation in the general population: a longitudinal and Mendelian randomization study
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