Benefit of Risk-stratified Prophylactic Treatment on Clinical Outcome in Postoperative Crohn’s Disease

Abstract Background and Aims Whereas immediate postoperative treatment has shown effectiveness in reducing endoscopic postoperative recurrence [POR], evidence regarding the clinical benefit is limited. We compared rates of clinical POR in Crohn’s disease [CD] patients receiving immediate prophylactic treatment with rates in patients receiving endoscopy-driven treatment. Methods We retrospectively collected data from 376 consecutive CD patients who underwent an ileocaecal resection with anastomosis between 2007 and 2018 with at least 3 years of follow-up at three sites. Subsequently, high- and low-risk patients categorised by established guidelines, who underwent endoscopy within 12 months postoperatively, were grouped according to a prophylactic- or endoscopy-driven approach and compared for incidence and time till endoscopic and clinical POR. Results Prophylactic treatment reduced rates of and time till endoscopic POR within 1 year in high-risk (hazard ratio [HR] 0.48, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.27-0.86, p = 0.04, number needed to treat [NNT] = 5) but not low-risk [HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.32-2.56, p = 0.85] patients. Conversely, no significant differences in clinical POR within 3 years between prophylactic- and endoscopy-driven low-risk [HR 1.17, 95% CI 0.41-3.29, p = 0.75] and high-risk patients were observed [HR 1.06, 95% CI 0.63-1.79, p = 0.82, NNT = 22]. However, a large numerical albeit not statistical significant difference in 3-year clinical POR [28.6% vs. 62.5%, p = 0.11] in a subset of high-risk patients with three or more ECCO-defined risk factors was observed, indicating a cumulative effect of having multiple risk factors. Conclusion Our observations favour step-up treatment guided by early endoscopic evaluation with prophylactic treatment reserved for carefully selected high-risk patients, in order to avoid potential overtreatment of a significant number of patients. Graphical Abstract Graphical Abstract