Utility of 18 F-FDG uptake in predicting major pathological response to neoadjuvant immunotherapy in patients with resectable non‑small cell lung cancer

The aim of present study was to investigate the efficiency of F-FDG uptake in predicting major pathological response (MPR) in resectable non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with neoadjuvant immunotherapy. A total of 104 patients with stage I-IIIB NSCLC were retrospectively derived from National Cancer Center of China, of which 36 cases received immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) monotherapy (I-M) and 68 cases with ICI combination therapy (I-C). F-FDG PET-CT scans were performed at baseline and after neoadjuvant therapy (NAT). Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were conducted and area under ROC curve (AUC) was calculated for biomarkers including maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax), inflammatory biomarkers, tumor mutation burden (TMB), PD-L1 tumor proportion score (TPS) and iRECIST. Fifty-four resected NSCLC tumors achieved MPR (51.9%, 54/104). In both neoadjuvant I-M and I-C cohorts, post-NAT SUVmax and the percentage changes of SUVmax (ΔSUVmax%) were significantly lower in the patients with MPR versus non-MPR (p < 0.01), and were also negatively correlated with the degree of pathological regression (p < 0.01). The AUC of ΔSUVmax% for predicting MPR was respectively 1.00 (95% CI: 1.00-1.00) in neoadjuvant I-M cohort and 0.94 (95% CI: 0.86-1.00) in I-C cohort. Baseline SUVmax had a statistical prediction value for MPR only in I-M cohort, with an AUC up to 0.76 at the threshold of 17.0. ΔSUVmax% showed an obvious advantage in MPR prediction over inflammatory biomarkers, TMB, PD-L1 TPS and iRECIST. F-FDG uptake can predict MPR in NSCLC patients with neoadjuvant immunotherapy.