Prognostic severity scores for patients with COPD exacerbations attending emergency departments

SETTING: Reported predictors of the adverse evolution of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations (eCOPD) are various and inconsistent in the bibliography.OBJECTIVE: To develop clinical prediction rules for short-term outcomes in eCOPD patients attending an emergency departm...

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Veröffentlicht in:The international journal of tuberculosis and lung disease 2014-12, Vol.18 (12), p.1415-1420
Hauptverfasser: Quintana, J. M., Esteban, C., Unzurrunzaga, A., Garcia-Gutierrez, S., Gonzalez, N., Lafuente, I., Bare, M., de Larrea, N. Fernandez, Vidal, S., for the IRYSS-COPD Group
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container_end_page 1420
container_issue 12
container_start_page 1415
container_title The international journal of tuberculosis and lung disease
container_volume 18
creator Quintana, J. M.
Esteban, C.
Unzurrunzaga, A.
Garcia-Gutierrez, S.
Gonzalez, N.
Lafuente, I.
Bare, M.
de Larrea, N. Fernandez
Vidal, S.
for the IRYSS-COPD Group
description SETTING: Reported predictors of the adverse evolution of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations (eCOPD) are various and inconsistent in the bibliography.OBJECTIVE: To develop clinical prediction rules for short-term outcomes in eCOPD patients attending an emergency department (ED).DESIGN: Prospective cohort study of patients with an eCOPD. Short-term outcomes were admission to an intensive care unit (ICU), admission to an intermediate respiratory care unit (IRCU) and death in these groups. Multivariate logistic regression models were developed for each of the outcomes.RESULTS: Predictors of ICU or IRCU admission were use of long-term home oxygen therapy (LT-HOT) or non-invasive mechanical ventilation (NIMV), elevated PCO2 and decreased pH upon ED arrival (area under the curve [AUC] 0.87 in the derivation sample; 0.89 in the validation sample). Among those admitted to an ICU or IRCU, predictors of death were increased age, use at home of LT-HOT or NIMV, use of inspiratory accessory muscles upon ED arrival and altered Glasgow Coma Scale (
doi_str_mv 10.5588/ijtld.14.0312
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M. ; Esteban, C. ; Unzurrunzaga, A. ; Garcia-Gutierrez, S. ; Gonzalez, N. ; Lafuente, I. ; Bare, M. ; de Larrea, N. Fernandez ; Vidal, S. ; for the IRYSS-COPD Group</creator><creatorcontrib>Quintana, J. M. ; Esteban, C. ; Unzurrunzaga, A. ; Garcia-Gutierrez, S. ; Gonzalez, N. ; Lafuente, I. ; Bare, M. ; de Larrea, N. Fernandez ; Vidal, S. ; for the IRYSS-COPD Group ; IRYSS-COPD Group ; for the IRYSS-COPD Group</creatorcontrib><description>SETTING: Reported predictors of the adverse evolution of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations (eCOPD) are various and inconsistent in the bibliography.OBJECTIVE: To develop clinical prediction rules for short-term outcomes in eCOPD patients attending an emergency department (ED).DESIGN: Prospective cohort study of patients with an eCOPD. Short-term outcomes were admission to an intensive care unit (ICU), admission to an intermediate respiratory care unit (IRCU) and death in these groups. Multivariate logistic regression models were developed for each of the outcomes.RESULTS: Predictors of ICU or IRCU admission were use of long-term home oxygen therapy (LT-HOT) or non-invasive mechanical ventilation (NIMV), elevated PCO2 and decreased pH upon ED arrival (area under the curve [AUC] 0.87 in the derivation sample; 0.89 in the validation sample). Among those admitted to an ICU or IRCU, predictors of death were increased age, use at home of LT-HOT or NIMV, use of inspiratory accessory muscles upon ED arrival and altered Glasgow Coma Scale (&lt;15 points) (AUC 0.78).CONCLUSIONS: Three clinical predictors available in the ED can be used to create a simple score to predict the need for intensive treatment among eCOPD patients. 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M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Esteban, C.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Unzurrunzaga, A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Garcia-Gutierrez, S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gonzalez, N.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lafuente, I.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bare, M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>de Larrea, N. Fernandez</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Vidal, S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>for the IRYSS-COPD Group</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>IRYSS-COPD Group</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>for the IRYSS-COPD Group</creatorcontrib><title>Prognostic severity scores for patients with COPD exacerbations attending emergency departments</title><title>The international journal of tuberculosis and lung disease</title><addtitle>Int J Tuberc Lung Dis</addtitle><description>SETTING: Reported predictors of the adverse evolution of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations (eCOPD) are various and inconsistent in the bibliography.OBJECTIVE: To develop clinical prediction rules for short-term outcomes in eCOPD patients attending an emergency department (ED).DESIGN: Prospective cohort study of patients with an eCOPD. Short-term outcomes were admission to an intensive care unit (ICU), admission to an intermediate respiratory care unit (IRCU) and death in these groups. Multivariate logistic regression models were developed for each of the outcomes.RESULTS: Predictors of ICU or IRCU admission were use of long-term home oxygen therapy (LT-HOT) or non-invasive mechanical ventilation (NIMV), elevated PCO2 and decreased pH upon ED arrival (area under the curve [AUC] 0.87 in the derivation sample; 0.89 in the validation sample). Among those admitted to an ICU or IRCU, predictors of death were increased age, use at home of LT-HOT or NIMV, use of inspiratory accessory muscles upon ED arrival and altered Glasgow Coma Scale (&lt;15 points) (AUC 0.78).CONCLUSIONS: Three clinical predictors available in the ED can be used to create a simple score to predict the need for intensive treatment among eCOPD patients. 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M.</creator><creator>Esteban, C.</creator><creator>Unzurrunzaga, A.</creator><creator>Garcia-Gutierrez, S.</creator><creator>Gonzalez, N.</creator><creator>Lafuente, I.</creator><creator>Bare, M.</creator><creator>de Larrea, N. Fernandez</creator><creator>Vidal, S.</creator><creator>for the IRYSS-COPD Group</creator><general>International Union Against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease</general><general>International Union against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease</general><scope>IQODW</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7X8</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20141201</creationdate><title>Prognostic severity scores for patients with COPD exacerbations attending emergency departments</title><author>Quintana, J. M. ; Esteban, C. ; Unzurrunzaga, A. ; Garcia-Gutierrez, S. ; Gonzalez, N. ; Lafuente, I. ; Bare, M. ; de Larrea, N. 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M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Esteban, C.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Unzurrunzaga, A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Garcia-Gutierrez, S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gonzalez, N.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lafuente, I.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bare, M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>de Larrea, N. 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Fernandez</au><au>Vidal, S.</au><au>for the IRYSS-COPD Group</au><aucorp>IRYSS-COPD Group</aucorp><aucorp>for the IRYSS-COPD Group</aucorp><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Prognostic severity scores for patients with COPD exacerbations attending emergency departments</atitle><jtitle>The international journal of tuberculosis and lung disease</jtitle><addtitle>Int J Tuberc Lung Dis</addtitle><date>2014-12-01</date><risdate>2014</risdate><volume>18</volume><issue>12</issue><spage>1415</spage><epage>1420</epage><pages>1415-1420</pages><issn>1027-3719</issn><eissn>1815-7920</eissn><abstract>SETTING: Reported predictors of the adverse evolution of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations (eCOPD) are various and inconsistent in the bibliography.OBJECTIVE: To develop clinical prediction rules for short-term outcomes in eCOPD patients attending an emergency department (ED).DESIGN: Prospective cohort study of patients with an eCOPD. Short-term outcomes were admission to an intensive care unit (ICU), admission to an intermediate respiratory care unit (IRCU) and death in these groups. Multivariate logistic regression models were developed for each of the outcomes.RESULTS: Predictors of ICU or IRCU admission were use of long-term home oxygen therapy (LT-HOT) or non-invasive mechanical ventilation (NIMV), elevated PCO2 and decreased pH upon ED arrival (area under the curve [AUC] 0.87 in the derivation sample; 0.89 in the validation sample). Among those admitted to an ICU or IRCU, predictors of death were increased age, use at home of LT-HOT or NIMV, use of inspiratory accessory muscles upon ED arrival and altered Glasgow Coma Scale (&lt;15 points) (AUC 0.78).CONCLUSIONS: Three clinical predictors available in the ED can be used to create a simple score to predict the need for intensive treatment among eCOPD patients. Such a score can be a tool for clinical practice.</abstract><cop>Paris</cop><pub>International Union Against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease</pub><pmid>25517805</pmid><doi>10.5588/ijtld.14.0312</doi><tpages>6</tpages></addata></record>
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subjects Age Factors
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Area Under Curve
Bacterial diseases
Biological and medical sciences
Chronic Obstructive Disease Progression
Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, asthma
Cohort Studies
Decision Support Techniques
Disease Progression
Emergency Service, Hospital
Female
Glasgow Coma Scale
Hospital Mortality
Human bacterial diseases
Humans
Infectious diseases
Intensive Care Units
Logistic Models
Male
Medical sciences
Multivariate Analysis
Odds Ratio
Oxygen Inhalation Therapy - adverse effects
Patient Admission
Pneumology
Predictive Value of Tests
Prognosis
Prospective Studies
Pulmonary Disease
Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive - diagnosis
Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive - mortality
Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive - physiopathology
Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive - therapy
Respiration, Artificial - adverse effects
Risk Factors
ROC Curve
Severity Of Illness Index
Spain
Time Factors
Tuberculosis and atypical mycobacterial infections
title Prognostic severity scores for patients with COPD exacerbations attending emergency departments
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