Taylor-Type Rules and Total Factor Productivity

This paper examines the impact of a persistent shock to the growth rate of total factor productivity in a New Keynesian model in which the central bank does not observe the shock. The authors then investigate the performance of alternative policy rules in such an incomplete information environment....

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Veröffentlicht in:Review 2012-01, Vol.94 (1), p.41-64A
Hauptverfasser: Gavin, William T, Keen, Benjamin D, Pakko, Michael R
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Keen, Benjamin D
Pakko, Michael R
description This paper examines the impact of a persistent shock to the growth rate of total factor productivity in a New Keynesian model in which the central bank does not observe the shock. The authors then investigate the performance of alternative policy rules in such an incomplete information environment. While some rules perform better than others, the authors demonstrate that inflation is more stable after a persistent productivity shock when monetary policy targets the output growth rate (not the output gap) or the price-level path (not the inflation rate). Both the output growth and price-level path rules generate less volatility in output and inflation following a persistent productivity shock compared with the Taylor rule. Reprinted by permission of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
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source PAIS Index; EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals; EBSCOhost Business Source Complete
subjects Central banks
Consumption
Costs
Economic aspects
Economic theory
Estimates
Federal funding
Federal funds rate
Federal Reserve monetary policy
Forecasts and trends
GDP
Gross Domestic Product
Growth rate
Households
Industrial productivity
Inflation
Inflation (Finance)
Inflation controls
Inflation rate
Inflation rates
Interest rates
Investments
Keynesian theory
Laws, regulations and rules
Leisure
Monetary policy
Output gap
Output rate
Price level
Prices
Production functions
Productivity
Sticky prices
Sticky wages
Studies
Supply shock
Taylor rule
Total factor productivity
Trends
U.S.A
United States
Utility functions
Volatility
title Taylor-Type Rules and Total Factor Productivity
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