The new science of borrower behavior

Information technology is taking portfolio modeling to the next stage in its evolution. Behavioral models show promise in helping to predict borrower behavior and control the risk of prepayment. Credit-scoring systems attempt to make lending a science by using sophisticated mathematical analysis to...

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Veröffentlicht in:Mortgage banking 1998-02, Vol.58 (5), p.26
1. Verfasser: Healy, Thomas J
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description Information technology is taking portfolio modeling to the next stage in its evolution. Behavioral models show promise in helping to predict borrower behavior and control the risk of prepayment. Credit-scoring systems attempt to make lending a science by using sophisticated mathematical analysis to help define the level of risk on any given application. While credit scores recognize the value of external data and incorporate some of it into the default model, the results are still insufficient. Credit scoring does not take into consideration all of the aspects of good lending contained in the classic 5 C's of lending defined by P. Beares: 1. character, 2. capacity, 3. capital, 4. collateral, and 5. conditions. Credit-scoring systems are limited by their purpose as to the type of information they are allowed to gather. The cost to update credit scores on a $25 billion servicing portfolio can approximate $30,000 to $50,000. New tools are needed to help portfolio managers more accurately measure risk under changing economic conditions. Behavior modeling will do this.
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identifier ISSN: 0730-0212
ispartof Mortgage banking, 1998-02, Vol.58 (5), p.26
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source EBSCOhost Business Source Complete
subjects Analysis
Banking
Behavior
Collateral
Competition
Competitive advantage
Computer based modeling
Consumer behavior
Costs
Credit scoring
Electronic data interchange
Fees & charges
Information technology
Loans
Management
Mortgage banks
Mortgage servicing
Mortgages
Portfolio management
Process controls
Risk management
Services
title The new science of borrower behavior
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