Identifying multidrug resistant tuberculosis transmission hotspots using routinely collected data

Summary In most countries with large drug resistant tuberculosis epidemics, only those cases that are at highest risk of having MDRTB receive a drug sensitivity test (DST) at the time of diagnosis. Because of this prioritized testing, identification of MDRTB transmission hotspots in communities wher...

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Veröffentlicht in:Tuberculosis (Edinburgh, Scotland) Scotland), 2012-05, Vol.92 (3), p.273-279
Hauptverfasser: Manjourides, Justin, Lin, Hsien-Ho, Shin, Sonya, Jeffery, Caroline, Contreras, Carmen, Cruz, Janeth Santa, Jave, Oswaldo, Yagui, Martin, Asencios, Luis, Pagano, Marcello, Cohen, Ted
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container_end_page 279
container_issue 3
container_start_page 273
container_title Tuberculosis (Edinburgh, Scotland)
container_volume 92
creator Manjourides, Justin
Lin, Hsien-Ho
Shin, Sonya
Jeffery, Caroline
Contreras, Carmen
Cruz, Janeth Santa
Jave, Oswaldo
Yagui, Martin
Asencios, Luis
Pagano, Marcello
Cohen, Ted
description Summary In most countries with large drug resistant tuberculosis epidemics, only those cases that are at highest risk of having MDRTB receive a drug sensitivity test (DST) at the time of diagnosis. Because of this prioritized testing, identification of MDRTB transmission hotspots in communities where TB cases do not receive DST is challenging, as any observed aggregation of MDRTB may reflect systematic differences in how testing is distributed in communities. We introduce a new disease mapping method, which estimates this missing information through probability-weighted locations, to identify geographic areas of increased risk of MDRTB transmission. We apply this method to routinely collected data from two districts in Lima, Peru over three consecutive years. This method identifies an area in the eastern part of Lima where previously untreated cases have increased risk of MDRTB. This may indicate an area of increased transmission of drug resistant disease, a finding that may otherwise have been missed by routine analysis of programmatic data. The risk of MDR among retreatment cases is also highest in these probable transmission hotspots, though a high level of MDR among retreatment cases is present throughout the study area. Identifying potential multidrug resistant tuberculosis (MDRTB) transmission hotspots may allow for targeted investigation and deployment of resources.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.tube.2012.02.003
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Because of this prioritized testing, identification of MDRTB transmission hotspots in communities where TB cases do not receive DST is challenging, as any observed aggregation of MDRTB may reflect systematic differences in how testing is distributed in communities. We introduce a new disease mapping method, which estimates this missing information through probability-weighted locations, to identify geographic areas of increased risk of MDRTB transmission. We apply this method to routinely collected data from two districts in Lima, Peru over three consecutive years. This method identifies an area in the eastern part of Lima where previously untreated cases have increased risk of MDRTB. This may indicate an area of increased transmission of drug resistant disease, a finding that may otherwise have been missed by routine analysis of programmatic data. The risk of MDR among retreatment cases is also highest in these probable transmission hotspots, though a high level of MDR among retreatment cases is present throughout the study area. 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Because of this prioritized testing, identification of MDRTB transmission hotspots in communities where TB cases do not receive DST is challenging, as any observed aggregation of MDRTB may reflect systematic differences in how testing is distributed in communities. We introduce a new disease mapping method, which estimates this missing information through probability-weighted locations, to identify geographic areas of increased risk of MDRTB transmission. We apply this method to routinely collected data from two districts in Lima, Peru over three consecutive years. This method identifies an area in the eastern part of Lima where previously untreated cases have increased risk of MDRTB. This may indicate an area of increased transmission of drug resistant disease, a finding that may otherwise have been missed by routine analysis of programmatic data. The risk of MDR among retreatment cases is also highest in these probable transmission hotspots, though a high level of MDR among retreatment cases is present throughout the study area. Identifying potential multidrug resistant tuberculosis (MDRTB) transmission hotspots may allow for targeted investigation and deployment of resources.</abstract><cop>Scotland</cop><pub>Elsevier Ltd</pub><pmid>22401962</pmid><doi>10.1016/j.tube.2012.02.003</doi><tpages>7</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Algorithms
Antibiotic resistance
Antitubercular Agents - therapeutic use
Data processing
Disease mapping
Disease Outbreaks
Drug resistance
Drug Resistance, Multiple, Bacterial
Drugs
Epidemics
Geographic Information Systems
Hot spots
Humans
Infectious Disease
Mapping
Microbial Sensitivity Tests - methods
Multidrug resistance
Mycobacterium
Mycobacterium tuberculosis - drug effects
Peru - epidemiology
Pulmonary/Respiratory
Retreatment
Retrospective Studies
Risk factors
Surveillance
Tuberculosis
Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant - drug therapy
Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant - epidemiology
Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant - microbiology
Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant - transmission
title Identifying multidrug resistant tuberculosis transmission hotspots using routinely collected data
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