Projections of the Ethnic Minority Populations of the United Kingdom 2006-2056
The ethnic minority populations in the UK are growing substantially through immigration, a youthful age structure, and in some cases relatively high fertility. Their diverse demographic and socioeconomic characteristics have attracted considerable academic and policy attention, especially insofar as...
Gespeichert in:
| Veröffentlicht in: | Population and development review 2010-09, Vol.36 (3), p.441-486 |
|---|---|
| 1. Verfasser: | |
| Format: | Artikel |
| Sprache: | eng |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Tags: |
Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
|
| container_end_page | 486 |
|---|---|
| container_issue | 3 |
| container_start_page | 441 |
| container_title | Population and development review |
| container_volume | 36 |
| creator | Coleman, David |
| description | The ethnic minority populations in the UK are growing substantially through immigration, a youthful age structure, and in some cases relatively high fertility. Their diverse demographic and socioeconomic characteristics have attracted considerable academic and policy attention, especially insofar as those distinctive characteristics have persisted in the generations born in the UK. No official projections of the UK ethnic populations have been published since 1979. This article provides projections to 2056 and beyond of 12 ethnic groups. Given overall net immigration and vital rates as assumed in the Office for National Statistics 2008-based Principal Projection, and the ethnic characteristics estimated here, the ethnic minority populations (including the Other White) would increase from 13 percent of the UK population in 2006 to 28 percent by 2031 and 44 percent by 2056, and to about half the 0–4 age group in 2056. Alternative projections assume various lower levels of immigration. Possible implications of projected changes are discussed. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2010.00342.x |
| format | Article |
| fullrecord | <record><control><sourceid>jstor_proqu</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_954576911</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><jstor_id>25749196</jstor_id><sourcerecordid>25749196</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c7132-50d48686de425ca7ee1bb003cd8750cb0ca74877858847c1e02e43de9397ed753</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNqNkl1v0zAUhiMEYt3gJ4AibrhKOf62L7iYxtiAdVSoE5dWmrjUIY2DnWztv8dZRhHcdJFObJ3zvEf28ZskKYIpit-7aooElhmlTEwxxCwAoXi6fZJM9oWnyQRAyUwojI6S4xAqAECC8-fJEQYpsQA8Sa7n3lWm6KxrQupWabc26Xm3bmyRzmzjvO126dy1fZ3_g9w0tjNl-sU2P0q3STEAzzAw_iJ5tsrrYF4-rCfJzcfzxdlldvX14tPZ6VVWCERwxqCkkkteGopZkQtj0HIZ71CUUjAolhBzVAohmZRUFMgANpSURhElTCkYOUnejn1b7371JnR6Y0Nh6jpvjOuDVixOgCuEDpISyTghQPQRJCcSAMuDpOCUIkWFOEwyTkAiRSL55j-ycr1v4hAjRCQiQg3t5AgV3oXgzUq33m5yv9MI9OAMXenBAHowgB6coe-dobdR-nmUetOaYq9b1nnr2tLc6ltNcsLjbxfjXkpyO-RitDHilXR8NL3uNrHZ64fD9suNKffd_vgqAu9H4M7WZvfoU-r56YdvcRf1r0Z9FTrn__ZngiqkeKxnY92Gzmz39dz_1FwQwfT36wuNL5lazGZYL8hvF8bzyA</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>753813797</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Projections of the Ethnic Minority Populations of the United Kingdom 2006-2056</title><source>Applied Social Sciences Index & Abstracts (ASSIA)</source><source>Jstor Complete Legacy</source><source>MEDLINE</source><source>RePEc</source><source>Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete</source><source>PAIS Index</source><source>Sociological Abstracts</source><creator>Coleman, David</creator><creatorcontrib>Coleman, David</creatorcontrib><description>The ethnic minority populations in the UK are growing substantially through immigration, a youthful age structure, and in some cases relatively high fertility. Their diverse demographic and socioeconomic characteristics have attracted considerable academic and policy attention, especially insofar as those distinctive characteristics have persisted in the generations born in the UK. No official projections of the UK ethnic populations have been published since 1979. This article provides projections to 2056 and beyond of 12 ethnic groups. Given overall net immigration and vital rates as assumed in the Office for National Statistics 2008-based Principal Projection, and the ethnic characteristics estimated here, the ethnic minority populations (including the Other White) would increase from 13 percent of the UK population in 2006 to 28 percent by 2031 and 44 percent by 2056, and to about half the 0–4 age group in 2056. Alternative projections assume various lower levels of immigration. Possible implications of projected changes are discussed.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0098-7921</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1728-4457</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2010.00342.x</identifier><identifier>PMID: 20882702</identifier><identifier>CODEN: PDERDO</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Oxford, UK: Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><subject><![CDATA[Age ; Age groups ; Censuses ; Climate change migration ; Demographic indicators ; Demographic research ; Demographics ; demography ; Demography - economics ; Demography - history ; Demography - legislation & jurisprudence ; Depopulation ; Emigrants and Immigrants - education ; Emigrants and Immigrants - history ; Emigrants and Immigrants - legislation & jurisprudence ; Emigrants and Immigrants - psychology ; Estimation ; Ethnic groups ; Ethnic Groups - education ; Ethnic Groups - ethnology ; Ethnic Groups - history ; Ethnic Groups - legislation & jurisprudence ; Ethnic Groups - psychology ; Ethnic minorities ; Ethnicity ; Fertility ; Future ; History of medicine ; History, 21st Century ; Human migration ; Humans ; Immigration ; Immigration Policy ; Minorities ; Minority & ethnic groups ; Minority Groups ; Minority Groups - education ; Minority Groups - history ; Minority Groups - legislation & jurisprudence ; Minority Groups - psychology ; Minority Health - economics ; Minority Health - ethnology ; Minority Health - history ; Minority Health - legislation & jurisprudence ; Population dynamics ; Population estimates ; Population forecasts ; Population Groups - education ; Population Groups - ethnology ; Population Groups - history ; Population Groups - legislation & jurisprudence ; Population Groups - psychology ; Population Growth ; Population migration ; Population policy ; Population projections ; Predictions ; Public Policy - economics ; Public Policy - history ; Public Policy - legislation & jurisprudence ; Reviews ; Sociodemographic Factors ; Socioeconomic Factors - history ; Socioeconomics ; Statistics ; Transients and Migrants - education ; Transients and Migrants - history ; Transients and Migrants - legislation & jurisprudence ; Transients and Migrants - psychology ; United Kingdom ; United Kingdom - ethnology ; White people ; Young Adult]]></subject><ispartof>Population and development review, 2010-09, Vol.36 (3), p.441-486</ispartof><rights>2010 The Population Council, Inc.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c7132-50d48686de425ca7ee1bb003cd8750cb0ca74877858847c1e02e43de9397ed753</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c7132-50d48686de425ca7ee1bb003cd8750cb0ca74877858847c1e02e43de9397ed753</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/25749196$$EPDF$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/25749196$$EHTML$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,799,1411,3994,27842,27901,27902,30976,33751,33752,45550,45551,57992,58225</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20882702$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink><backlink>$$Uhttp://econpapers.repec.org/article/blapopdev/v_3a36_3ay_3a2010_3ai_3a3_3ap_3a441-486.htm$$DView record in RePEc$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Coleman, David</creatorcontrib><title>Projections of the Ethnic Minority Populations of the United Kingdom 2006-2056</title><title>Population and development review</title><addtitle>Popul Dev Rev</addtitle><description>The ethnic minority populations in the UK are growing substantially through immigration, a youthful age structure, and in some cases relatively high fertility. Their diverse demographic and socioeconomic characteristics have attracted considerable academic and policy attention, especially insofar as those distinctive characteristics have persisted in the generations born in the UK. No official projections of the UK ethnic populations have been published since 1979. This article provides projections to 2056 and beyond of 12 ethnic groups. Given overall net immigration and vital rates as assumed in the Office for National Statistics 2008-based Principal Projection, and the ethnic characteristics estimated here, the ethnic minority populations (including the Other White) would increase from 13 percent of the UK population in 2006 to 28 percent by 2031 and 44 percent by 2056, and to about half the 0–4 age group in 2056. Alternative projections assume various lower levels of immigration. Possible implications of projected changes are discussed.</description><subject>Age</subject><subject>Age groups</subject><subject>Censuses</subject><subject>Climate change migration</subject><subject>Demographic indicators</subject><subject>Demographic research</subject><subject>Demographics</subject><subject>demography</subject><subject>Demography - economics</subject><subject>Demography - history</subject><subject>Demography - legislation & jurisprudence</subject><subject>Depopulation</subject><subject>Emigrants and Immigrants - education</subject><subject>Emigrants and Immigrants - history</subject><subject>Emigrants and Immigrants - legislation & jurisprudence</subject><subject>Emigrants and Immigrants - psychology</subject><subject>Estimation</subject><subject>Ethnic groups</subject><subject>Ethnic Groups - education</subject><subject>Ethnic Groups - ethnology</subject><subject>Ethnic Groups - history</subject><subject>Ethnic Groups - legislation & jurisprudence</subject><subject>Ethnic Groups - psychology</subject><subject>Ethnic minorities</subject><subject>Ethnicity</subject><subject>Fertility</subject><subject>Future</subject><subject>History of medicine</subject><subject>History, 21st Century</subject><subject>Human migration</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Immigration</subject><subject>Immigration Policy</subject><subject>Minorities</subject><subject>Minority & ethnic groups</subject><subject>Minority Groups</subject><subject>Minority Groups - education</subject><subject>Minority Groups - history</subject><subject>Minority Groups - legislation & jurisprudence</subject><subject>Minority Groups - psychology</subject><subject>Minority Health - economics</subject><subject>Minority Health - ethnology</subject><subject>Minority Health - history</subject><subject>Minority Health - legislation & jurisprudence</subject><subject>Population dynamics</subject><subject>Population estimates</subject><subject>Population forecasts</subject><subject>Population Groups - education</subject><subject>Population Groups - ethnology</subject><subject>Population Groups - history</subject><subject>Population Groups - legislation & jurisprudence</subject><subject>Population Groups - psychology</subject><subject>Population Growth</subject><subject>Population migration</subject><subject>Population policy</subject><subject>Population projections</subject><subject>Predictions</subject><subject>Public Policy - economics</subject><subject>Public Policy - history</subject><subject>Public Policy - legislation & jurisprudence</subject><subject>Reviews</subject><subject>Sociodemographic Factors</subject><subject>Socioeconomic Factors - history</subject><subject>Socioeconomics</subject><subject>Statistics</subject><subject>Transients and Migrants - education</subject><subject>Transients and Migrants - history</subject><subject>Transients and Migrants - legislation & jurisprudence</subject><subject>Transients and Migrants - psychology</subject><subject>United Kingdom</subject><subject>United Kingdom - ethnology</subject><subject>White people</subject><subject>Young Adult</subject><issn>0098-7921</issn><issn>1728-4457</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2010</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>X2L</sourceid><sourceid>7QJ</sourceid><sourceid>BHHNA</sourceid><sourceid>7TQ</sourceid><recordid>eNqNkl1v0zAUhiMEYt3gJ4AibrhKOf62L7iYxtiAdVSoE5dWmrjUIY2DnWztv8dZRhHcdJFObJ3zvEf28ZskKYIpit-7aooElhmlTEwxxCwAoXi6fZJM9oWnyQRAyUwojI6S4xAqAECC8-fJEQYpsQA8Sa7n3lWm6KxrQupWabc26Xm3bmyRzmzjvO126dy1fZ3_g9w0tjNl-sU2P0q3STEAzzAw_iJ5tsrrYF4-rCfJzcfzxdlldvX14tPZ6VVWCERwxqCkkkteGopZkQtj0HIZ71CUUjAolhBzVAohmZRUFMgANpSURhElTCkYOUnejn1b7371JnR6Y0Nh6jpvjOuDVixOgCuEDpISyTghQPQRJCcSAMuDpOCUIkWFOEwyTkAiRSL55j-ycr1v4hAjRCQiQg3t5AgV3oXgzUq33m5yv9MI9OAMXenBAHowgB6coe-dobdR-nmUetOaYq9b1nnr2tLc6ltNcsLjbxfjXkpyO-RitDHilXR8NL3uNrHZ64fD9suNKffd_vgqAu9H4M7WZvfoU-r56YdvcRf1r0Z9FTrn__ZngiqkeKxnY92Gzmz39dz_1FwQwfT36wuNL5lazGZYL8hvF8bzyA</recordid><startdate>201009</startdate><enddate>201009</enddate><creator>Coleman, David</creator><general>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</general><general>Blackwell Publishing</general><general>The Population Council, Inc</general><scope>BSCLL</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>DKI</scope><scope>X2L</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7QJ</scope><scope>7U4</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>BHHNA</scope><scope>DWI</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>JBE</scope><scope>WZK</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>7TQ</scope><scope>DHY</scope><scope>DON</scope><scope>7ST</scope><scope>7U6</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>SOI</scope></search><sort><creationdate>201009</creationdate><title>Projections of the Ethnic Minority Populations of the United Kingdom 2006-2056</title><author>Coleman, David</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c7132-50d48686de425ca7ee1bb003cd8750cb0ca74877858847c1e02e43de9397ed753</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2010</creationdate><topic>Age</topic><topic>Age groups</topic><topic>Censuses</topic><topic>Climate change migration</topic><topic>Demographic indicators</topic><topic>Demographic research</topic><topic>Demographics</topic><topic>demography</topic><topic>Demography - economics</topic><topic>Demography - history</topic><topic>Demography - legislation & jurisprudence</topic><topic>Depopulation</topic><topic>Emigrants and Immigrants - education</topic><topic>Emigrants and Immigrants - history</topic><topic>Emigrants and Immigrants - legislation & jurisprudence</topic><topic>Emigrants and Immigrants - psychology</topic><topic>Estimation</topic><topic>Ethnic groups</topic><topic>Ethnic Groups - education</topic><topic>Ethnic Groups - ethnology</topic><topic>Ethnic Groups - history</topic><topic>Ethnic Groups - legislation & jurisprudence</topic><topic>Ethnic Groups - psychology</topic><topic>Ethnic minorities</topic><topic>Ethnicity</topic><topic>Fertility</topic><topic>Future</topic><topic>History of medicine</topic><topic>History, 21st Century</topic><topic>Human migration</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Immigration</topic><topic>Immigration Policy</topic><topic>Minorities</topic><topic>Minority & ethnic groups</topic><topic>Minority Groups</topic><topic>Minority Groups - education</topic><topic>Minority Groups - history</topic><topic>Minority Groups - legislation & jurisprudence</topic><topic>Minority Groups - psychology</topic><topic>Minority Health - economics</topic><topic>Minority Health - ethnology</topic><topic>Minority Health - history</topic><topic>Minority Health - legislation & jurisprudence</topic><topic>Population dynamics</topic><topic>Population estimates</topic><topic>Population forecasts</topic><topic>Population Groups - education</topic><topic>Population Groups - ethnology</topic><topic>Population Groups - history</topic><topic>Population Groups - legislation & jurisprudence</topic><topic>Population Groups - psychology</topic><topic>Population Growth</topic><topic>Population migration</topic><topic>Population policy</topic><topic>Population projections</topic><topic>Predictions</topic><topic>Public Policy - economics</topic><topic>Public Policy - history</topic><topic>Public Policy - legislation & jurisprudence</topic><topic>Reviews</topic><topic>Sociodemographic Factors</topic><topic>Socioeconomic Factors - history</topic><topic>Socioeconomics</topic><topic>Statistics</topic><topic>Transients and Migrants - education</topic><topic>Transients and Migrants - history</topic><topic>Transients and Migrants - legislation & jurisprudence</topic><topic>Transients and Migrants - psychology</topic><topic>United Kingdom</topic><topic>United Kingdom - ethnology</topic><topic>White people</topic><topic>Young Adult</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Coleman, David</creatorcontrib><collection>Istex</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>RePEc IDEAS</collection><collection>RePEc</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Applied Social Sciences Index & Abstracts (ASSIA)</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts (pre-2017)</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>Sociological Abstracts (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>PAIS Index</collection><collection>PAIS International</collection><collection>PAIS International (Ovid)</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>Sustainability Science Abstracts</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><jtitle>Population and development review</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Coleman, David</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Projections of the Ethnic Minority Populations of the United Kingdom 2006-2056</atitle><jtitle>Population and development review</jtitle><addtitle>Popul Dev Rev</addtitle><date>2010-09</date><risdate>2010</risdate><volume>36</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>441</spage><epage>486</epage><pages>441-486</pages><issn>0098-7921</issn><eissn>1728-4457</eissn><coden>PDERDO</coden><abstract>The ethnic minority populations in the UK are growing substantially through immigration, a youthful age structure, and in some cases relatively high fertility. Their diverse demographic and socioeconomic characteristics have attracted considerable academic and policy attention, especially insofar as those distinctive characteristics have persisted in the generations born in the UK. No official projections of the UK ethnic populations have been published since 1979. This article provides projections to 2056 and beyond of 12 ethnic groups. Given overall net immigration and vital rates as assumed in the Office for National Statistics 2008-based Principal Projection, and the ethnic characteristics estimated here, the ethnic minority populations (including the Other White) would increase from 13 percent of the UK population in 2006 to 28 percent by 2031 and 44 percent by 2056, and to about half the 0–4 age group in 2056. Alternative projections assume various lower levels of immigration. Possible implications of projected changes are discussed.</abstract><cop>Oxford, UK</cop><pub>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</pub><pmid>20882702</pmid><doi>10.1111/j.1728-4457.2010.00342.x</doi><tpages>46</tpages></addata></record> |
| fulltext | fulltext |
| identifier | ISSN: 0098-7921 |
| ispartof | Population and development review, 2010-09, Vol.36 (3), p.441-486 |
| issn | 0098-7921 1728-4457 |
| language | eng |
| recordid | cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_954576911 |
| source | Applied Social Sciences Index & Abstracts (ASSIA); Jstor Complete Legacy; MEDLINE; RePEc; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; PAIS Index; Sociological Abstracts |
| subjects | Age Age groups Censuses Climate change migration Demographic indicators Demographic research Demographics demography Demography - economics Demography - history Demography - legislation & jurisprudence Depopulation Emigrants and Immigrants - education Emigrants and Immigrants - history Emigrants and Immigrants - legislation & jurisprudence Emigrants and Immigrants - psychology Estimation Ethnic groups Ethnic Groups - education Ethnic Groups - ethnology Ethnic Groups - history Ethnic Groups - legislation & jurisprudence Ethnic Groups - psychology Ethnic minorities Ethnicity Fertility Future History of medicine History, 21st Century Human migration Humans Immigration Immigration Policy Minorities Minority & ethnic groups Minority Groups Minority Groups - education Minority Groups - history Minority Groups - legislation & jurisprudence Minority Groups - psychology Minority Health - economics Minority Health - ethnology Minority Health - history Minority Health - legislation & jurisprudence Population dynamics Population estimates Population forecasts Population Groups - education Population Groups - ethnology Population Groups - history Population Groups - legislation & jurisprudence Population Groups - psychology Population Growth Population migration Population policy Population projections Predictions Public Policy - economics Public Policy - history Public Policy - legislation & jurisprudence Reviews Sociodemographic Factors Socioeconomic Factors - history Socioeconomics Statistics Transients and Migrants - education Transients and Migrants - history Transients and Migrants - legislation & jurisprudence Transients and Migrants - psychology United Kingdom United Kingdom - ethnology White people Young Adult |
| title | Projections of the Ethnic Minority Populations of the United Kingdom 2006-2056 |
| url | https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2025-02-04T20%3A33%3A19IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-jstor_proqu&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Projections%20of%20the%20Ethnic%20Minority%20Populations%20of%20the%20United%20Kingdom%202006-2056&rft.jtitle=Population%20and%20development%20review&rft.au=Coleman,%20David&rft.date=2010-09&rft.volume=36&rft.issue=3&rft.spage=441&rft.epage=486&rft.pages=441-486&rft.issn=0098-7921&rft.eissn=1728-4457&rft.coden=PDERDO&rft_id=info:doi/10.1111/j.1728-4457.2010.00342.x&rft_dat=%3Cjstor_proqu%3E25749196%3C/jstor_proqu%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=753813797&rft_id=info:pmid/20882702&rft_jstor_id=25749196&rfr_iscdi=true |