Number of children and all-cause mortality risk: results from the Japan Collaborative Cohort Study

Background: The mean total birth rate of the world had been gradually decreasing, with the rate in Japan now at its lowest level internationally. From a public health perspective, it is important to determine the impact of the number of children on all-cause mortality. Methods: A total of 96 311 ind...

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Veröffentlicht in:European journal of public health 2011-12, Vol.21 (6), p.732-737
Hauptverfasser: Tamakoshi, Akiko, Tamakoshi, Koji, Lin, Yingsong, Mikami, Haruo, Inaba, Yutaka, Yagyu, Kiyoko, Kikuchi, Shogo
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container_end_page 737
container_issue 6
container_start_page 732
container_title European journal of public health
container_volume 21
creator Tamakoshi, Akiko
Tamakoshi, Koji
Lin, Yingsong
Mikami, Haruo
Inaba, Yutaka
Yagyu, Kiyoko
Kikuchi, Shogo
description Background: The mean total birth rate of the world had been gradually decreasing, with the rate in Japan now at its lowest level internationally. From a public health perspective, it is important to determine the impact of the number of children on all-cause mortality. Methods: A total of 96 311 individuals from the Japan Collaborative Cohort Study were followed from 1988-90 for an average of 14.4 years. Hazard ratios (HRs) with a 95% confidence interval were calculated from proportional hazard models to estimate the risk of all-cause mortality according to the number of children. Results: As of 2006, a total of 18 807 deaths had occurred. Both childless men and women showed higher all-cause mortality risks than those with two children (HR: 1.17 in men and 1.29 in women). Those with one child also showed higher risks (1.13 and 1.16, respectively). Having four or more children among men and five or more children among women also posed a risk (1.16 in men with four children and 1.22 in women with five or more children), showing a U-shaped association between the number of children and all-cause mortality risk. The risk of having only one child seemed evident with the decrease in age among both men and women, while the risk of having many children was apparent with the increase in age. Conclusion: We found a U-shaped association between the number of children and all-cause mortality among both men and women, with the lowest risk among those with two children.
doi_str_mv 10.1093/eurpub/ckq175
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From a public health perspective, it is important to determine the impact of the number of children on all-cause mortality. Methods: A total of 96 311 individuals from the Japan Collaborative Cohort Study were followed from 1988-90 for an average of 14.4 years. Hazard ratios (HRs) with a 95% confidence interval were calculated from proportional hazard models to estimate the risk of all-cause mortality according to the number of children. Results: As of 2006, a total of 18 807 deaths had occurred. Both childless men and women showed higher all-cause mortality risks than those with two children (HR: 1.17 in men and 1.29 in women). Those with one child also showed higher risks (1.13 and 1.16, respectively). Having four or more children among men and five or more children among women also posed a risk (1.16 in men with four children and 1.22 in women with five or more children), showing a U-shaped association between the number of children and all-cause mortality risk. The risk of having only one child seemed evident with the decrease in age among both men and women, while the risk of having many children was apparent with the increase in age. Conclusion: We found a U-shaped association between the number of children and all-cause mortality among both men and women, with the lowest risk among those with two children.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1101-1262</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1464-360X</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckq175</identifier><identifier>PMID: 21113028</identifier><identifier>CODEN: EJPHF6</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>England: Oxford University Press</publisher><subject>Adolescent ; Adult ; Age ; Aged ; Associations ; Cause of Death - trends ; Child ; Child Mortality ; Children ; Children &amp; youth ; Cohort analysis ; Cohort Studies ; Collaboration ; Confidence Intervals ; Cooperation ; Death ; Family Characteristics ; Female ; Gender differences ; Health hazards ; Humans ; Japan ; Japan - epidemiology ; Male ; Men ; Middle Aged ; Mortality ; Mortality Rates ; Public Health ; Reproductive health ; Risk ; Risk Assessment - methods ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Women</subject><ispartof>European journal of public health, 2011-12, Vol.21 (6), p.732-737</ispartof><rights>The Author 2010. 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The risk of having only one child seemed evident with the decrease in age among both men and women, while the risk of having many children was apparent with the increase in age. 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subjects Adolescent
Adult
Age
Aged
Associations
Cause of Death - trends
Child
Child Mortality
Children
Children & youth
Cohort analysis
Cohort Studies
Collaboration
Confidence Intervals
Cooperation
Death
Family Characteristics
Female
Gender differences
Health hazards
Humans
Japan
Japan - epidemiology
Male
Men
Middle Aged
Mortality
Mortality Rates
Public Health
Reproductive health
Risk
Risk Assessment - methods
Surveys and Questionnaires
Women
title Number of children and all-cause mortality risk: results from the Japan Collaborative Cohort Study
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