FOSSIL FUEL CONSUMPTION, CARBON EMISSIONS AND TEMPERATURE VARIATION IN INDIA
Rise in temperature is a cause of major concern across the globe. Through this study an attempt is made to project the corresponding carbon dioxide emissions and temperature variation in India using Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average Model on past 44 years' data for predicting the future...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Energy & environment (Essex, England) England), 2011-08, Vol.22 (6), p.695-709 |
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| creator | Das, Debabrata Srinivasan, R. Sharfuddin, A. |
| description | Rise in temperature is a cause of major concern across the globe. Through this study an attempt is made to project the corresponding carbon dioxide emissions and temperature variation in India using Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average Model on past 44 years' data for predicting the future demand of petroleum oil, coal and natural gas in India. It is anticipated that the total demand for petroleum products will double by the year 2020 growing at a rate of 3.5 percent per year. The consumption of coal has witnessed an annual growth rate of 2.6 percent and the growth of natural gas is likely to be highest among all at 5.1 percent. In total, the fossil fuel consumption seems to grow at the rate of 4 percent per annum. This may cause the CO₂ level to rise to one and half times by the year 2020 in comparison to that of 2008 level thus causing an increase in the surface temperature by 0.0008 percent per annum. However, the level of carbon dioxide emission and the increase in temperature can be controlled by replacing the petroleum oil and coal consumption with natural gas. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1260/0958-305X.22.6.695 |
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Through this study an attempt is made to project the corresponding carbon dioxide emissions and temperature variation in India using Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average Model on past 44 years' data for predicting the future demand of petroleum oil, coal and natural gas in India. It is anticipated that the total demand for petroleum products will double by the year 2020 growing at a rate of 3.5 percent per year. The consumption of coal has witnessed an annual growth rate of 2.6 percent and the growth of natural gas is likely to be highest among all at 5.1 percent. In total, the fossil fuel consumption seems to grow at the rate of 4 percent per annum. This may cause the CO₂ level to rise to one and half times by the year 2020 in comparison to that of 2008 level thus causing an increase in the surface temperature by 0.0008 percent per annum. However, the level of carbon dioxide emission and the increase in temperature can be controlled by replacing the petroleum oil and coal consumption with natural gas.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0958-305X</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 2048-4070</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1260/0958-305X.22.6.695</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>London, England: Multi-Science Publishing Co. Ltd</publisher><subject>Air pollution caused by fuel industries ; Applied sciences ; Carbon dioxide ; Carbon dioxide emissions ; Coal ; Crude oil ; Demand ; Economic data ; Energy ; Energy economics ; Energy. Thermal use of fuels ; Exact sciences and technology ; Forecasting models ; Fossil fuels ; Fossil fuels and derived products ; Fuel consumption ; General, economic and professional studies ; Marketing ; Mathematical models ; Metering. Control ; Methodology. 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Through this study an attempt is made to project the corresponding carbon dioxide emissions and temperature variation in India using Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average Model on past 44 years' data for predicting the future demand of petroleum oil, coal and natural gas in India. It is anticipated that the total demand for petroleum products will double by the year 2020 growing at a rate of 3.5 percent per year. The consumption of coal has witnessed an annual growth rate of 2.6 percent and the growth of natural gas is likely to be highest among all at 5.1 percent. In total, the fossil fuel consumption seems to grow at the rate of 4 percent per annum. This may cause the CO₂ level to rise to one and half times by the year 2020 in comparison to that of 2008 level thus causing an increase in the surface temperature by 0.0008 percent per annum. However, the level of carbon dioxide emission and the increase in temperature can be controlled by replacing the petroleum oil and coal consumption with natural gas.</description><subject>Air pollution caused by fuel industries</subject><subject>Applied sciences</subject><subject>Carbon dioxide</subject><subject>Carbon dioxide emissions</subject><subject>Coal</subject><subject>Crude oil</subject><subject>Demand</subject><subject>Economic data</subject><subject>Energy</subject><subject>Energy economics</subject><subject>Energy. Thermal use of fuels</subject><subject>Exact sciences and technology</subject><subject>Forecasting models</subject><subject>Fossil fuels</subject><subject>Fossil fuels and derived products</subject><subject>Fuel consumption</subject><subject>General, economic and professional studies</subject><subject>Marketing</subject><subject>Mathematical models</subject><subject>Metering. Control</subject><subject>Methodology. Modelling</subject><subject>Natural gas</subject><subject>Petroleum</subject><subject>Renewable energy</subject><subject>Surface temperature</subject><subject>Time series forecasting</subject><issn>0958-305X</issn><issn>2048-4070</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2011</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp9kE1Lw0AQhhdRsFb_gCDkInow7exHNzvH2KYaSJvSD_G2bGIiLbWp2fbgv3dDS4-FgYXZ530HHkLuKXQok9AF7CmfQ--zw1hHdiT2LkiLgVC-gAAuSesEXJMba1cADJBiiyTDdDaLE2-4iBKvn45ni9FkHqfjF68fTl_TsReNYge4Dy8cD7x5NJpE03C-mEbeRziNw4b14mYGcXhLrkqztsXd8W2TxTCa99_9JH2L-2Hi5wLEzs_dZcqQC0UzBDQmU4gc4cvtWJZLJjIqjIQsQ1UWZZBnTFEhTMCRchUgb5OnQ--2rn73hd3pn6XNi_XabIpqbzVSBUIq1ZDPZ0kaBAEFSlE6lB3QvK6srYtSb-vlj6n_NAXdSNaNQ9041IxpqZ1kF3o89hubm3VZm02-tKckEwK5lOC47oGz5rvQq2pfb5yg880Ph8TK7qr61Ch4wHvAkf8DbIGLKQ</recordid><startdate>20110801</startdate><enddate>20110801</enddate><creator>Das, Debabrata</creator><creator>Srinivasan, R.</creator><creator>Sharfuddin, A.</creator><general>Multi-Science Publishing Co. 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Modelling</topic><topic>Natural gas</topic><topic>Petroleum</topic><topic>Renewable energy</topic><topic>Surface temperature</topic><topic>Time series forecasting</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Das, Debabrata</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Srinivasan, R.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sharfuddin, A.</creatorcontrib><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Electronics & Communications Abstracts</collection><collection>Environmental Engineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Mechanical & Transportation Engineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>Civil Engineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Advanced Technologies Database with Aerospace</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><jtitle>Energy & environment (Essex, England)</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Das, Debabrata</au><au>Srinivasan, R.</au><au>Sharfuddin, A.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>FOSSIL FUEL CONSUMPTION, CARBON EMISSIONS AND TEMPERATURE VARIATION IN INDIA</atitle><jtitle>Energy & environment (Essex, England)</jtitle><date>2011-08-01</date><risdate>2011</risdate><volume>22</volume><issue>6</issue><spage>695</spage><epage>709</epage><pages>695-709</pages><issn>0958-305X</issn><eissn>2048-4070</eissn><abstract>Rise in temperature is a cause of major concern across the globe. Through this study an attempt is made to project the corresponding carbon dioxide emissions and temperature variation in India using Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average Model on past 44 years' data for predicting the future demand of petroleum oil, coal and natural gas in India. It is anticipated that the total demand for petroleum products will double by the year 2020 growing at a rate of 3.5 percent per year. The consumption of coal has witnessed an annual growth rate of 2.6 percent and the growth of natural gas is likely to be highest among all at 5.1 percent. In total, the fossil fuel consumption seems to grow at the rate of 4 percent per annum. This may cause the CO₂ level to rise to one and half times by the year 2020 in comparison to that of 2008 level thus causing an increase in the surface temperature by 0.0008 percent per annum. However, the level of carbon dioxide emission and the increase in temperature can be controlled by replacing the petroleum oil and coal consumption with natural gas.</abstract><cop>London, England</cop><pub>Multi-Science Publishing Co. Ltd</pub><doi>10.1260/0958-305X.22.6.695</doi><tpages>15</tpages></addata></record> |
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| source | SAGE Complete; Jstor Complete Legacy |
| subjects | Air pollution caused by fuel industries Applied sciences Carbon dioxide Carbon dioxide emissions Coal Crude oil Demand Economic data Energy Energy economics Energy. Thermal use of fuels Exact sciences and technology Forecasting models Fossil fuels Fossil fuels and derived products Fuel consumption General, economic and professional studies Marketing Mathematical models Metering. Control Methodology. Modelling Natural gas Petroleum Renewable energy Surface temperature Time series forecasting |
| title | FOSSIL FUEL CONSUMPTION, CARBON EMISSIONS AND TEMPERATURE VARIATION IN INDIA |
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