Chronic kidney disease prevalence and secular trends in a UK population: the impact of MDRD and CKD-EPI formulae

Introduction: Most UK laboratories use the MDRD4 formula to estimate glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), but this may exaggerate chronic kidney disease (CKD) prevalence. In a large adult population, we examined the impact of the more accurate CKD-EPI formulae on prevalence estimates, and on secular t...

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Veröffentlicht in:QJM : An International Journal of Medicine 2011-12, Vol.104 (12), p.1045-1053
Hauptverfasser: Gifford, F.J., Methven, S., Boag, D.E., Spalding, E.M., MacGregor, M.S.
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container_issue 12
container_start_page 1045
container_title QJM : An International Journal of Medicine
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creator Gifford, F.J.
Methven, S.
Boag, D.E.
Spalding, E.M.
MacGregor, M.S.
description Introduction: Most UK laboratories use the MDRD4 formula to estimate glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), but this may exaggerate chronic kidney disease (CKD) prevalence. In a large adult population, we examined the impact of the more accurate CKD-EPI formulae on prevalence estimates, and on secular trends in prevalence. Methods: We extracted all serum creatinine (SCr) results for adults, processed in our laboratory during two 1-year periods (2004, 2009-10). To minimize the effect of acute illness, a patient's lowest SCr was used for each period. eGFR (traceable to isotope dilution mass spectrometry value) was calculated using the MDRD4 and CKD-EPI formulae. Prevalence estimates were compared, with sub-group analysis by age and sex. Results: In 2004, 102 322 patients had SCr tested (35.4% of the adult population), rising to 123 121 (42.3%) in 2009-10. The proportion tested rose with age to 86% of 85- to 89-year olds. The prevalence of CKD stages 3-5 was lower with the CKD-EPI formulae than the MDRD4 formula. The CKD-EPI formulae reclassified 17 014 patients (5.8%) to milder stages of CKD, most commonly from eGFR 60-89 ml/min/1.73m2 and CKD stage 3A, in women, and in those
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In a large adult population, we examined the impact of the more accurate CKD-EPI formulae on prevalence estimates, and on secular trends in prevalence. Methods: We extracted all serum creatinine (SCr) results for adults, processed in our laboratory during two 1-year periods (2004, 2009-10). To minimize the effect of acute illness, a patient's lowest SCr was used for each period. eGFR (traceable to isotope dilution mass spectrometry value) was calculated using the MDRD4 and CKD-EPI formulae. Prevalence estimates were compared, with sub-group analysis by age and sex. Results: In 2004, 102 322 patients had SCr tested (35.4% of the adult population), rising to 123 121 (42.3%) in 2009-10. The proportion tested rose with age to 86% of 85- to 89-year olds. The prevalence of CKD stages 3-5 was lower with the CKD-EPI formulae than the MDRD4 formula. The CKD-EPI formulae reclassified 17 014 patients (5.8%) to milder stages of CKD, most commonly from eGFR 60-89 ml/min/1.73m2 and CKD stage 3A, in women, and in those &lt;70 years old. 5172 patients (1.8%), mostly elderly women, were reclassified to more severe stages of CKD. Between the two time periods, the prevalence of CKD stages 3-5 rose from 5.44% to 5.63% of the population using MDRD4, but was static at 4.94% with CKD-EPI. Conclusion: The CKD-EPI formulae, which are more accurate than the MDRD4 formula at higher GFR, reduced the estimated prevalence of CKD stages 3-5 by 0.5% in 2004 and 0.7% in 2009-10. The greatest reclassification was seen in CKD 3A, particularly amongst middle-aged females. The minor rise in CKD prevalence between 2004 and 2009-10 seen with the MDRD4 formula was not confirmed with the CKD-EPI formulae. 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In a large adult population, we examined the impact of the more accurate CKD-EPI formulae on prevalence estimates, and on secular trends in prevalence. Methods: We extracted all serum creatinine (SCr) results for adults, processed in our laboratory during two 1-year periods (2004, 2009-10). To minimize the effect of acute illness, a patient's lowest SCr was used for each period. eGFR (traceable to isotope dilution mass spectrometry value) was calculated using the MDRD4 and CKD-EPI formulae. Prevalence estimates were compared, with sub-group analysis by age and sex. Results: In 2004, 102 322 patients had SCr tested (35.4% of the adult population), rising to 123 121 (42.3%) in 2009-10. The proportion tested rose with age to 86% of 85- to 89-year olds. The prevalence of CKD stages 3-5 was lower with the CKD-EPI formulae than the MDRD4 formula. The CKD-EPI formulae reclassified 17 014 patients (5.8%) to milder stages of CKD, most commonly from eGFR 60-89 ml/min/1.73m2 and CKD stage 3A, in women, and in those &lt;70 years old. 5172 patients (1.8%), mostly elderly women, were reclassified to more severe stages of CKD. Between the two time periods, the prevalence of CKD stages 3-5 rose from 5.44% to 5.63% of the population using MDRD4, but was static at 4.94% with CKD-EPI. Conclusion: The CKD-EPI formulae, which are more accurate than the MDRD4 formula at higher GFR, reduced the estimated prevalence of CKD stages 3-5 by 0.5% in 2004 and 0.7% in 2009-10. The greatest reclassification was seen in CKD 3A, particularly amongst middle-aged females. The minor rise in CKD prevalence between 2004 and 2009-10 seen with the MDRD4 formula was not confirmed with the CKD-EPI formulae. 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Miscellaneous</topic><topic>Young Adult</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Gifford, F.J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Methven, S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Boag, D.E.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Spalding, E.M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>MacGregor, M.S.</creatorcontrib><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>QJM : An International Journal of Medicine</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Gifford, F.J.</au><au>Methven, S.</au><au>Boag, D.E.</au><au>Spalding, E.M.</au><au>MacGregor, M.S.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Chronic kidney disease prevalence and secular trends in a UK population: the impact of MDRD and CKD-EPI formulae</atitle><jtitle>QJM : An International Journal of Medicine</jtitle><addtitle>QJM</addtitle><date>2011-12-01</date><risdate>2011</risdate><volume>104</volume><issue>12</issue><spage>1045</spage><epage>1053</epage><pages>1045-1053</pages><issn>1460-2725</issn><eissn>1460-2393</eissn><abstract>Introduction: Most UK laboratories use the MDRD4 formula to estimate glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), but this may exaggerate chronic kidney disease (CKD) prevalence. In a large adult population, we examined the impact of the more accurate CKD-EPI formulae on prevalence estimates, and on secular trends in prevalence. Methods: We extracted all serum creatinine (SCr) results for adults, processed in our laboratory during two 1-year periods (2004, 2009-10). To minimize the effect of acute illness, a patient's lowest SCr was used for each period. eGFR (traceable to isotope dilution mass spectrometry value) was calculated using the MDRD4 and CKD-EPI formulae. Prevalence estimates were compared, with sub-group analysis by age and sex. Results: In 2004, 102 322 patients had SCr tested (35.4% of the adult population), rising to 123 121 (42.3%) in 2009-10. The proportion tested rose with age to 86% of 85- to 89-year olds. The prevalence of CKD stages 3-5 was lower with the CKD-EPI formulae than the MDRD4 formula. The CKD-EPI formulae reclassified 17 014 patients (5.8%) to milder stages of CKD, most commonly from eGFR 60-89 ml/min/1.73m2 and CKD stage 3A, in women, and in those &lt;70 years old. 5172 patients (1.8%), mostly elderly women, were reclassified to more severe stages of CKD. Between the two time periods, the prevalence of CKD stages 3-5 rose from 5.44% to 5.63% of the population using MDRD4, but was static at 4.94% with CKD-EPI. Conclusion: The CKD-EPI formulae, which are more accurate than the MDRD4 formula at higher GFR, reduced the estimated prevalence of CKD stages 3-5 by 0.5% in 2004 and 0.7% in 2009-10. The greatest reclassification was seen in CKD 3A, particularly amongst middle-aged females. The minor rise in CKD prevalence between 2004 and 2009-10 seen with the MDRD4 formula was not confirmed with the CKD-EPI formulae. The CKD-EPI formulae may reduce overdiagnosis of CKD, but further assessment in the elderly is required before widespread implementation.</abstract><cop>Oxford</cop><pub>Oxford University Press</pub><pmid>21821654</pmid><doi>10.1093/qjmed/hcr122</doi><tpages>9</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Adolescent
Adult
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Algorithms
Biological and medical sciences
Creatinine - blood
Epidemiology
Female
General aspects
Glomerular Filtration Rate
Humans
Kidney Failure, Chronic - epidemiology
Kidney Function Tests - methods
Kidneys
Male
Medical sciences
Middle Aged
Nephrology. Urinary tract diseases
Prevalence
Public health. Hygiene
Public health. Hygiene-occupational medicine
Scotland - epidemiology
Urinary system involvement in other diseases. Miscellaneous
Young Adult
title Chronic kidney disease prevalence and secular trends in a UK population: the impact of MDRD and CKD-EPI formulae
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