Gait, gait variability and the risk of multiple incident falls in older people: a population-based study

Background: it is uncertain as to which measures of gait best predict those who are likely to fall. Our aim was to investigate the associations of gait and gait variability measures with incident falls risk. Methods: individuals aged 60-86 years (n = 412) were randomly selected from the Tasmanian el...

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Veröffentlicht in:Age and ageing 2011-07, Vol.40 (4), p.481-487
Hauptverfasser: Callisaya, Michele L., Blizzard, Leigh, Schmidt, Michael D., Martin, Kara L., McGinley, Jennifer L., Sanders, Lauren M., Srikanth, Velandai K.
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container_end_page 487
container_issue 4
container_start_page 481
container_title Age and ageing
container_volume 40
creator Callisaya, Michele L.
Blizzard, Leigh
Schmidt, Michael D.
Martin, Kara L.
McGinley, Jennifer L.
Sanders, Lauren M.
Srikanth, Velandai K.
description Background: it is uncertain as to which measures of gait best predict those who are likely to fall. Our aim was to investigate the associations of gait and gait variability measures with incident falls risk. Methods: individuals aged 60-86 years (n = 412) were randomly selected from the Tasmanian electoral roll. Average gait and gait variability measures were collected on a computerised walkway. Falls were recorded prospectively over 12 months. Log multinomial regression was used to estimate the relative risk of single and multiple falls associated with gait measures. Covariates included age, sex, sensorimotor and cognitive measures, mood and medications. Results: in this population-based study greater intra-individual variability in step length and double-support phase were linearly associated with increased risk of multiple falls (P = 0.04). Non-linear associations with multiple falls were found for gait speed P = 0.002, cadence P = 0.004 and step time variability P = 0.03. None of the gait measures predicted risk of single falls. Conclusion: there is an increased risk of multiple falls, but not single falls, in older people with poorer gait. Specific measures of gait and gait variability seem to confer this risk and may be amenable to interventions designed to reduce the risk of multiple falls in older people.
doi_str_mv 10.1093/ageing/afr055
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Our aim was to investigate the associations of gait and gait variability measures with incident falls risk. Methods: individuals aged 60-86 years (n = 412) were randomly selected from the Tasmanian electoral roll. Average gait and gait variability measures were collected on a computerised walkway. Falls were recorded prospectively over 12 months. Log multinomial regression was used to estimate the relative risk of single and multiple falls associated with gait measures. Covariates included age, sex, sensorimotor and cognitive measures, mood and medications. Results: in this population-based study greater intra-individual variability in step length and double-support phase were linearly associated with increased risk of multiple falls (P = 0.04). Non-linear associations with multiple falls were found for gait speed P = 0.002, cadence P = 0.004 and step time variability P = 0.03. None of the gait measures predicted risk of single falls. Conclusion: there is an increased risk of multiple falls, but not single falls, in older people with poorer gait. Specific measures of gait and gait variability seem to confer this risk and may be amenable to interventions designed to reduce the risk of multiple falls in older people.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0002-0729</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1468-2834</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1093/ageing/afr055</identifier><identifier>PMID: 21628390</identifier><identifier>CODEN: AANGAH</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>England: Oxford University Press</publisher><subject>Accidental falls ; Accidental Falls - prevention &amp; control ; Accidental Falls - statistics &amp; numerical data ; Age Factors ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Aging ; Biomechanical Phenomena ; Chi-Square Distribution ; Elder care ; Elderly ; Falls ; Falls (Accidents) ; Female ; Gait ; Health aspects ; Humans ; Linear Models ; Logistic Models ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Moods ; Observations ; Older people ; Physiological aspects ; Prevention ; Prospective Studies ; Risk Assessment ; Risk Factors ; Risk reduction ; Safety and security measures ; Studies ; Tasmania - epidemiology ; Time Factors ; Variability</subject><ispartof>Age and ageing, 2011-07, Vol.40 (4), p.481-487</ispartof><rights>The Author 2011. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Geriatrics Society. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com 2011</rights><rights>Copyright Oxford Publishing Limited(England) Jul 2011</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c527t-9975da3087ac0d959619833d6848074cc759e2f5123c0bed1e221306426bdd303</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c527t-9975da3087ac0d959619833d6848074cc759e2f5123c0bed1e221306426bdd303</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,1578,27901,27902,30976,30977</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21628390$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Callisaya, Michele L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Blizzard, Leigh</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schmidt, Michael D.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Martin, Kara L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>McGinley, Jennifer L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sanders, Lauren M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Srikanth, Velandai K.</creatorcontrib><title>Gait, gait variability and the risk of multiple incident falls in older people: a population-based study</title><title>Age and ageing</title><addtitle>Age Ageing</addtitle><description>Background: it is uncertain as to which measures of gait best predict those who are likely to fall. 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source Applied Social Sciences Index & Abstracts (ASSIA); Oxford University Press Journals All Titles (1996-Current); MEDLINE; Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals; Alma/SFX Local Collection
subjects Accidental falls
Accidental Falls - prevention & control
Accidental Falls - statistics & numerical data
Age Factors
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Aging
Biomechanical Phenomena
Chi-Square Distribution
Elder care
Elderly
Falls
Falls (Accidents)
Female
Gait
Health aspects
Humans
Linear Models
Logistic Models
Male
Middle Aged
Moods
Observations
Older people
Physiological aspects
Prevention
Prospective Studies
Risk Assessment
Risk Factors
Risk reduction
Safety and security measures
Studies
Tasmania - epidemiology
Time Factors
Variability
title Gait, gait variability and the risk of multiple incident falls in older people: a population-based study
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