Econometric Estimation of Spatial Patterns in Electricity Prices

Information about the spatial structure of the transmission grid is relevant to understanding and predicting electricity prices, but this information has not been incorporated into empirical models of electricity prices in the literature. We propose the use of spatial econometric panel methods, disc...

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Veröffentlicht in:The Energy journal (Cambridge, Mass.) Mass.), 2011-04, Vol.32 (2), p.81-105
Hauptverfasser: Douglas, Stratford M., Popova, Julia N.
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Popova, Julia N.
description Information about the spatial structure of the transmission grid is relevant to understanding and predicting electricity prices, but this information has not been incorporated into empirical models of electricity prices in the literature. We propose the use of spatial econometric panel methods, discuss their formal characteristics in the context of electricity price data, and provide an application to a panel of PJM price data. Our econometric model includes a simple representation of the transmission system, and provides information about the effect of system constraints on the extent of electricity market integration. Empirical results confirm the existence of spatial patterns in electricity prices and illustrate their impact on estimation, forecasting, and interpolation.
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source SAGE Complete A-Z List; Jstor Complete Legacy; EBSCOhost Business Source Complete
subjects Analysis
Applied sciences
Econometric models
Econometrics
Economic data
Economic geography
Economic modeling
Economic models
Electric energy
Electric power transmission
Electric rates
Electricity
Electricity distribution
Electricity prices
Empirical analysis
Energy
Energy economics
Energy trading
Estimates
Exact sciences and technology
Forecasting
Forecasting models
General, economic and professional studies
Interpolation
Markets
Mathematical models
Methodology. Modelling
Panels
Prices
Prices and rates
Representations
Spatial models
Studies
title Econometric Estimation of Spatial Patterns in Electricity Prices
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