The Price Impact of Institutional Herding

We develop a simple model of the price impact of institutional herding. The empirical literature indicates that institutional herding positively predicts short-term returns but negatively predicts long-term returns. We offer a theoretical resolution to this dichotomy. In our model, career-concerned...

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Veröffentlicht in:The Review of financial studies 2011-03, Vol.24 (3), p.892-925
Hauptverfasser: Dasgupta, Amil, Prat, Andrea, Verardo, Michela
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Verardo, Michela
description We develop a simple model of the price impact of institutional herding. The empirical literature indicates that institutional herding positively predicts short-term returns but negatively predicts long-term returns. We offer a theoretical resolution to this dichotomy. In our model, career-concerned money managers trade with security dealers endowed with market power and exhibit an endogenous tendency to imitate past trades. This tendency is exploited by dealers and thus affects prices. In equilibrium, institutional herding positively predicts short-term returns but negatively predicts long-term returns. Our article also generates several new, testable predictions that link institutional herding with the time-series properties of returns and volume.
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source Business Source Complete; JSTOR Archive Collection A-Z Listing; Oxford University Press Journals All Titles (1996-Current)
subjects Asset management
Economic theory
Empirical evidence
Equilibrium
Financial theory
Herding
Herds
Institutional investments
Institutions
Investment advisors
Investment returns
Investors
Liquidation value
Market prices
Modelling
Price momentum
Public image management
Rates of return
Securities trading
Strategic management
Studies
Time series
Trade
title The Price Impact of Institutional Herding
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