Exchange rate pass-through in central and eastern European EU Member States

This paper provides estimates of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to consumer prices for nine central and eastern European Member States. Using a five-variate cointegrated VAR (vector autoregression) for each country and impulse responses derived from the VECM (vector error correction model), we sh...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of policy modeling 2011-03, Vol.33 (2), p.241-254
Hauptverfasser: Beirne, John, Bijsterbosch, Martin
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description This paper provides estimates of exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to consumer prices for nine central and eastern European Member States. Using a five-variate cointegrated VAR (vector autoregression) for each country and impulse responses derived from the VECM (vector error correction model), we show that ERPT to consumer prices averages about 0.6 using the cointegrated VAR and 0.5 using the impulse responses. We also find that the ERPT seems to be higher for countries that have adopted some form of fixed exchange rate regime. These results are robust to alternative normalisation of the VAR and alternative ordering of the impulse responses.
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subjects Central and eastern Europe
Central Eastern Europe
Cointegration
Cointegration analysis
Consumer Price Index
Consumer prices
Economic models
Estimation
EU membership
Exchange rate pass-through
Exchange rate pass-through Inflation Central and eastern Europe
Exchange rates
Fixed exchange rates
Foreign exchange rates
Impulse response functions
Inflation
Regional analysis
Regression analysis
Studies
Vector-autoregressive models
title Exchange rate pass-through in central and eastern European EU Member States
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