Proximate Determinants of Fertility and Policy Implications in Beijing

Data from a 1982 sample survey of 3,830 married women below age 50 in a district of Beijing City are applied to the Bongaarts model of the proximate determinants of fertility. A total fertility rate (TFR) of 0.75 births per woman is estimated from the model, compared with a TFR of 1.24 actually obse...

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Veröffentlicht in:Studies in family planning 1987-07, Vol.18 (4), p.222-228
Hauptverfasser: Wang, ShaoXian, Chen, Yu-De, Charles H. C. Chen, Rochat, Roger W., Chow, L. P., Rider, Rowland V.
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container_end_page 228
container_issue 4
container_start_page 222
container_title Studies in family planning
container_volume 18
creator Wang, ShaoXian
Chen, Yu-De
Charles H. C. Chen
Rochat, Roger W.
Chow, L. P.
Rider, Rowland V.
description Data from a 1982 sample survey of 3,830 married women below age 50 in a district of Beijing City are applied to the Bongaarts model of the proximate determinants of fertility. A total fertility rate (TFR) of 0.75 births per woman is estimated from the model, compared with a TFR of 1.24 actually observed from the survey. The estimated TFR (0.75) results from the assumed total fecundity (TF) of 15.30 births per woman being inhibited by the indexes of the proximate determinants of fertility, most notably non-marriage (.280), contraception (.315), and induced abortion (.586). The effects of two other proximate determinants, lactational infecundability and spousal separation, were negligible. Comparative data from other countries confirm that the study area has very low levels of fertility and marriage, a very high prevalence of induced abortion, and a small effect of lactational infecundability. The extremely low level of fertility was, thus, achieved through a high level of induced abortion. Future research needs and policy implications associated with the study are discussed.
doi_str_mv 10.2307/1966873
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C. Chen ; Rochat, Roger W. ; Chow, L. P. ; Rider, Rowland V.</creator><creatorcontrib>Wang, ShaoXian ; Chen, Yu-De ; Charles H. C. Chen ; Rochat, Roger W. ; Chow, L. P. ; Rider, Rowland V.</creatorcontrib><description>Data from a 1982 sample survey of 3,830 married women below age 50 in a district of Beijing City are applied to the Bongaarts model of the proximate determinants of fertility. A total fertility rate (TFR) of 0.75 births per woman is estimated from the model, compared with a TFR of 1.24 actually observed from the survey. The estimated TFR (0.75) results from the assumed total fecundity (TF) of 15.30 births per woman being inhibited by the indexes of the proximate determinants of fertility, most notably non-marriage (.280), contraception (.315), and induced abortion (.586). The effects of two other proximate determinants, lactational infecundability and spousal separation, were negligible. Comparative data from other countries confirm that the study area has very low levels of fertility and marriage, a very high prevalence of induced abortion, and a small effect of lactational infecundability. The extremely low level of fertility was, thus, achieved through a high level of induced abortion. 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The estimated TFR (0.75) results from the assumed total fecundity (TF) of 15.30 births per woman being inhibited by the indexes of the proximate determinants of fertility, most notably non-marriage (.280), contraception (.315), and induced abortion (.586). The effects of two other proximate determinants, lactational infecundability and spousal separation, were negligible. Comparative data from other countries confirm that the study area has very low levels of fertility and marriage, a very high prevalence of induced abortion, and a small effect of lactational infecundability. The extremely low level of fertility was, thus, achieved through a high level of induced abortion. Future research needs and policy implications associated with the study are discussed.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>The Population Council</pub><pmid>3629664</pmid><doi>10.2307/1966873</doi><tpages>7</tpages></addata></record>
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source Jstor Complete Legacy; MEDLINE; Sociological Abstracts; Periodicals Index Online
subjects Abortion, Induced
Adolescent
Adult
Birth control
Breast Feeding
Breastfeeding
China
City districts
Contraception
Female
Female fertility
Females
Fertility
Fertility rates
Humans
Induced abortion
Marriage
Middle Aged
Models, Theoretical
Peoples Republic of China
Population
Population policy
Population Surveillance
Survey data
Total fertility rate
title Proximate Determinants of Fertility and Policy Implications in Beijing
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