Prediction of Unauthorized Absence

A multivariate equation for predicting elopement (unauthorized absence from the hospital) was derived from 3,383 psychiatric inpatients and cross-validated with another sample, using mental status, diagnostic, and demographic data. The rate for correctly predicting elopement was 72 percent, yielding...

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Veröffentlicht in:The American journal of psychiatry 1972-05, Vol.128 (11), p.1460-1463
Hauptverfasser: ALTMAN, HAROLD, ANGLE, HUGH V, BROWN, MARJORIE L, SLETTEN, IVAN W
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container_end_page 1463
container_issue 11
container_start_page 1460
container_title The American journal of psychiatry
container_volume 128
creator ALTMAN, HAROLD
ANGLE, HUGH V
BROWN, MARJORIE L
SLETTEN, IVAN W
description A multivariate equation for predicting elopement (unauthorized absence from the hospital) was derived from 3,383 psychiatric inpatients and cross-validated with another sample, using mental status, diagnostic, and demographic data. The rate for correctly predicting elopement was 72 percent, yielding a high-risk group with a one-in-ten chance of eloping and a low-risk group with a one-in-40 chance. The authors present correlation coefficients of individual predictors of elopement and discuss these in terms of their theoretical implications.
doi_str_mv 10.1176/ajp.128.11.1460
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source MEDLINE; Psychiatry Legacy Collection Online Journals 1844-1996; Periodicals Index Online
subjects Adult
Automatic Data Processing
Criminal Psychology
Demography
Female
Hospitalization
Hospitals, Psychiatric
Humans
Male
Medical Records
Mental Disorders - diagnosis
Missouri
Prisons
Probability
Psychiatric Status Rating Scales
Social Behavior
title Prediction of Unauthorized Absence
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