HIV incidence in ethiopian immigrants to Israel

The HIV incidence in recent adult Ethiopian immigrants to Israel is estimated through the use of snapshot estimators based on percentage of CD4 progression with time since infection, whereas the preimmigration incidence experienced by this population is estimated using an epidemic model applied to H...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) 1998-04, Vol.17 (5), p.465-469
Hauptverfasser: KAPLAN, E. H, KEDEM, E, POLLACK, S
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container_title Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999)
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creator KAPLAN, E. H
KEDEM, E
POLLACK, S
description The HIV incidence in recent adult Ethiopian immigrants to Israel is estimated through the use of snapshot estimators based on percentage of CD4 progression with time since infection, whereas the preimmigration incidence experienced by this population is estimated using an epidemic model applied to HIV prevalence data obtained from immigrants on arrival in Israel. The snapshot estimators place incidence in adult Ethiopian immigrants in Israel between 3 and 11 infections/1000 uninfected persons/year around May 1995. In contrast, the epidemic model suggests that the incidence experienced by this population before immigration was between 12 and 22 infections/1000 uninfected persons/year. Although the drop in incidence postimmigration is good news, in the aggregate, we estimate that between 50 and 190 new infections have occurred annually in adult Ethiopians who have immigrated to Israel.
doi_str_mv 10.1097/00042560-199804150-00012
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identifier ISSN: 1077-9450
ispartof Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999), 1998-04, Vol.17 (5), p.465-469
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source Freely Accessible Journals; MEDLINE; Journals@Ovid LWW Legacy Archive; Journals@Ovid Ovid Autoload
subjects Adolescent
Adult
Aged
AIDS/HIV
Biological and medical sciences
Black people
CD4 Antigens - analysis
CD4 Lymphocyte Count
Cohort Studies
Emigration and Immigration
Epidemiologic Measurements
Epidemiology
Ethiopia - ethnology
Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology
HIV
HIV Infections - epidemiology
HIV Infections - ethnology
HIV Infections - immunology
HIV Seroprevalence
Human immunodeficiency virus
Humans
Incidence
Israel - epidemiology
Jewish people
Logistic Models
Microbiology
Middle Aged
Noncitizens
Prevalence
Seroepidemiologic Studies
Statistics
Virology
title HIV incidence in ethiopian immigrants to Israel
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