Pulmonary Function Decline and 17-Year Total Mortality: The Honolulu Heart Program

The Honolulu Heart Program continues to follow a cohort of Japanese-American men initially aged 45–68 years, of whom 4,000 had three acceptable measurements of forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) between 1965 and 1974 and were free of cardiovascular disease and cancer. The 6-year rate of cha...

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Veröffentlicht in:American journal of epidemiology 1994-09, Vol.140 (5), p.398-408
Hauptverfasser: Rodriguez, Beatriz L., Masaki, Kamal, Burchfiel, Cecil, Curb, J. David, Fong, Ka-On, Chyou, Po-Huang, Marcus, Ellen Bloom
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container_end_page 408
container_issue 5
container_start_page 398
container_title American journal of epidemiology
container_volume 140
creator Rodriguez, Beatriz L.
Masaki, Kamal
Burchfiel, Cecil
Curb, J. David
Fong, Ka-On
Chyou, Po-Huang
Marcus, Ellen Bloom
description The Honolulu Heart Program continues to follow a cohort of Japanese-American men initially aged 45–68 years, of whom 4,000 had three acceptable measurements of forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) between 1965 and 1974 and were free of cardiovascular disease and cancer. The 6-year rate of change (slope) in FEV1 was calculated using a within-person linear regression method. Men were dMded into tertiles based on the rate of change in FEV1 During 17 subsequent years of follow-up, 796 deaths occurred. The tertile with the greatest rate of decHne in FEV1 (mean, −61 ml/year) had the highest age-adjusted total mortality rate (17.3/1,000 person-years), followed by rates of 13.2 for the middle tertile (mean, −25 ml/year) and 11.0 for men with the smallest change in FEV1 (mean, +9 ml/year) (test for trend, p 42 (RR = 1.56, 95% Cl 1.20–2.02), pack-year groups. An increased risk was also present for current smokers (RR = 1.29), but it was of borderline significance (p = 0.08). No association was found among never smokers. These data suggest that the rate of decline in FEV1 is a predictor of total mortality among smokers.
doi_str_mv 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a117262
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David</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fong, Ka-On</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chyou, Po-Huang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Marcus, Ellen Bloom</creatorcontrib><title>Pulmonary Function Decline and 17-Year Total Mortality: The Honolulu Heart Program</title><title>American journal of epidemiology</title><addtitle>Am J Epidemiol</addtitle><description>The Honolulu Heart Program continues to follow a cohort of Japanese-American men initially aged 45–68 years, of whom 4,000 had three acceptable measurements of forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) between 1965 and 1974 and were free of cardiovascular disease and cancer. The 6-year rate of change (slope) in FEV1 was calculated using a within-person linear regression method. Men were dMded into tertiles based on the rate of change in FEV1 During 17 subsequent years of follow-up, 796 deaths occurred. 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David</au><au>Fong, Ka-On</au><au>Chyou, Po-Huang</au><au>Marcus, Ellen Bloom</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Pulmonary Function Decline and 17-Year Total Mortality: The Honolulu Heart Program</atitle><jtitle>American journal of epidemiology</jtitle><addtitle>Am J Epidemiol</addtitle><date>1994-09-01</date><risdate>1994</risdate><volume>140</volume><issue>5</issue><spage>398</spage><epage>408</epage><pages>398-408</pages><issn>0002-9262</issn><eissn>1476-6256</eissn><coden>AJEPAS</coden><abstract>The Honolulu Heart Program continues to follow a cohort of Japanese-American men initially aged 45–68 years, of whom 4,000 had three acceptable measurements of forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) between 1965 and 1974 and were free of cardiovascular disease and cancer. The 6-year rate of change (slope) in FEV1 was calculated using a within-person linear regression method. Men were dMded into tertiles based on the rate of change in FEV1 During 17 subsequent years of follow-up, 796 deaths occurred. The tertile with the greatest rate of decHne in FEV1 (mean, −61 ml/year) had the highest age-adjusted total mortality rate (17.3/1,000 person-years), followed by rates of 13.2 for the middle tertile (mean, −25 ml/year) and 11.0 for men with the smallest change in FEV1 (mean, +9 ml/year) (test for trend, p &lt;0.0001). Using the Cox model, comparing the tertile with the smallest change in FEV1 as a reference group with the tertile with the greatest decline in FEV1 and after adjusting for age, hypertension, smoking, body mass index, alcohol intake, diabetes mellitus, and cholesterol, the authors found the relative risk (RR) for total mortality to be 1.48 (95% confidence interval (Cl) 1.24–1.77). After stratification by smoking status, this associ ation remained significant for past smokers (RR = 1.79, 95% Cl 1.31–2.14), as well as for the low, 42 (RR = 1.46, 95% Cl 1.05–2.03), and high, &gt;42 (RR = 1.56, 95% Cl 1.20–2.02), pack-year groups. An increased risk was also present for current smokers (RR = 1.29), but it was of borderline significance (p = 0.08). No association was found among never smokers. These data suggest that the rate of decline in FEV1 is a predictor of total mortality among smokers.</abstract><cop>Cary, NC</cop><pub>Oxford University Press</pub><pmid>8067332</pmid><doi>10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a117262</doi><tpages>11</tpages></addata></record>
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subjects Aged
Analysis. Health state
Asian Americans
Biological and medical sciences
Epidemiology
Forced Expiratory Volume
General aspects
Hawaii - epidemiology
Humans
Japan - ethnology
lung
Lung - physiopathology
Male
Medical sciences
Middle Aged
Mortality
Population Surveillance
Proportional Hazards Models
Prospective Studies
Public health. Hygiene
Public health. Hygiene-occupational medicine
respiration
Risk Factors
smoking
Smoking - mortality
Smoking - physiopathology
title Pulmonary Function Decline and 17-Year Total Mortality: The Honolulu Heart Program
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