Price information in producer markets: an evaluation of futures and spot cotton price relationships in the Southwest region using cointegration

Producer spot (cash) prices of cotton from the Southwest region were compared to futures prices for cotton to examine the cash/futures price relationship using the cointegration technique. The results showed that the cash producer price and the futures price were not consistently related. The future...

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Veröffentlicht in:Agribusiness (New York, N.Y.) N.Y.), 1996-07, Vol.12 (4), p.363-369
Hauptverfasser: Hudson, Darren, Elam, Emmett, Ethridge, Don, Brown, Jeff
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container_end_page 369
container_issue 4
container_start_page 363
container_title Agribusiness (New York, N.Y.)
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creator Hudson, Darren
Elam, Emmett
Ethridge, Don
Brown, Jeff
description Producer spot (cash) prices of cotton from the Southwest region were compared to futures prices for cotton to examine the cash/futures price relationship using the cointegration technique. The results showed that the cash producer price and the futures price were not consistently related. The futures and cash prices were cointegrated in 2 of 4 years, while not cointegrated in the other 2 years. The inconsistency indicates that the reliability of the futures price as a source of price information to producers of cotton in the Southwest is questionable. This relationship may be arising from quality uncertainty in the producer market.
doi_str_mv 10.1002/(SICI)1520-6297(199607/08)12:4<363::AID-AGR6>3.0.CO;2-X
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The futures and cash prices were cointegrated in 2 of 4 years, while not cointegrated in the other 2 years. The inconsistency indicates that the reliability of the futures price as a source of price information to producers of cotton in the Southwest is questionable. This relationship may be arising from quality uncertainty in the producer market.</abstract><cop>New York</cop><pub>Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company</pub><doi>10.1002/(SICI)1520-6297(199607/08)12:4&lt;363::AID-AGR6&gt;3.0.CO;2-X</doi><tpages>7</tpages></addata></record>
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source RePEc; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; Business Source Complete
subjects algodon
Arbitrage
circuit de commercialisation
Cointegration analysis
Commodity futures
Comparative analysis
corrientes de mercadeo
coton
Cotton
economic geography
Equity financing
Futures
Futures market
futures trading
geografia economica
geographie economique
marche a terme
Market prices
marketing channels
mathematical models
methode statistique
metodos estadisticos
modele mathematique
modelos matematicos
oklahoma
operaciones a plazo
precio al productor
Price quotations
Prices
prix a la production
Producer prices
statistical methods
Studies
texas
title Price information in producer markets: an evaluation of futures and spot cotton price relationships in the Southwest region using cointegration
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