A Risk Score to Predict Bleeding in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndromes

Objectives The aim of this study was to develop a practical risk score to predict the risk and implications of major bleeding in acute coronary syndromes (ACS). Background Hemorrhagic complications have been strongly linked with subsequent mortality in patients with ACS. Methods A total of 17,421 pa...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of the American College of Cardiology 2010-06, Vol.55 (23), p.2556-2566
Hauptverfasser: Mehran, Roxana, MD, Pocock, Stuart J., PhD, Nikolsky, Eugenia, MD, PhD, Clayton, Tim, MSc, Dangas, George D., MD, Kirtane, Ajay J., MD, Parise, Helen, ScD, Fahy, Martin, MSc, Manoukian, Steven V., MD, Feit, Frederick, MD, Ohman, Magnus E., MD, Witzenbichler, Bernard, MD, Guagliumi, Giulio, MD, Lansky, Alexandra J., MD, Stone, Gregg W., MD
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container_end_page 2566
container_issue 23
container_start_page 2556
container_title Journal of the American College of Cardiology
container_volume 55
creator Mehran, Roxana, MD
Pocock, Stuart J., PhD
Nikolsky, Eugenia, MD, PhD
Clayton, Tim, MSc
Dangas, George D., MD
Kirtane, Ajay J., MD
Parise, Helen, ScD
Fahy, Martin, MSc
Manoukian, Steven V., MD
Feit, Frederick, MD
Ohman, Magnus E., MD
Witzenbichler, Bernard, MD
Guagliumi, Giulio, MD
Lansky, Alexandra J., MD
Stone, Gregg W., MD
description Objectives The aim of this study was to develop a practical risk score to predict the risk and implications of major bleeding in acute coronary syndromes (ACS). Background Hemorrhagic complications have been strongly linked with subsequent mortality in patients with ACS. Methods A total of 17,421 patients with ACS (including non–ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction [MI], ST-segment elevation MI, and biomarker negative ACS) were studied in the ACUITY (Acute Catheterization and Urgent Intervention Triage strategY) and the HORIZONS-AMI (Harmonizing Outcomes with RevasculariZatiON and Stents in Acute Myocardial Infarction) trials. An integer risk score for major bleeding within 30 days was developed from a multivariable logistic regression model. Results Non-coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG)-related major bleeding within 30 days occurred in 744 patients (7.3%) and had 6 independent baseline predictors (female sex, advanced age, elevated serum creatinine and white blood cell count, anemia, non–ST-segment elevation MI, or ST-segment elevation MI) and 1 treatment-related variable (use of heparin + a glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor rather than bivalirudin alone) (model c -statistic = 0.74). The integer risk score differentiated patients with a 30-day rate of non–CABG-related major bleeding ranging from 1% to over 40%. In a time-updated covariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression model, major bleeding was an independent predictor of a 3.2-fold increase in mortality. The link to mortality risk was strongest for non–CABG-related Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (TIMI)-defined major bleeding followed by non-TIMI major bleeding with or without blood transfusions, whereas isolated large hematomas and CABG-related bleeding were not significantly associated with subsequent mortality. Conclusions Patients with ACS have marked variation in their risk of major bleeding. A simple risk score based on 6 baseline measures plus anticoagulation regimen identifies patients at increased risk for non–CABG-related bleeding and subsequent 1-year mortality, for whom appropriate treatment strategies can be implemented.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.jacc.2009.09.076
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Background Hemorrhagic complications have been strongly linked with subsequent mortality in patients with ACS. Methods A total of 17,421 patients with ACS (including non–ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction [MI], ST-segment elevation MI, and biomarker negative ACS) were studied in the ACUITY (Acute Catheterization and Urgent Intervention Triage strategY) and the HORIZONS-AMI (Harmonizing Outcomes with RevasculariZatiON and Stents in Acute Myocardial Infarction) trials. An integer risk score for major bleeding within 30 days was developed from a multivariable logistic regression model. Results Non-coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG)-related major bleeding within 30 days occurred in 744 patients (7.3%) and had 6 independent baseline predictors (female sex, advanced age, elevated serum creatinine and white blood cell count, anemia, non–ST-segment elevation MI, or ST-segment elevation MI) and 1 treatment-related variable (use of heparin + a glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor rather than bivalirudin alone) (model c -statistic = 0.74). The integer risk score differentiated patients with a 30-day rate of non–CABG-related major bleeding ranging from 1% to over 40%. In a time-updated covariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression model, major bleeding was an independent predictor of a 3.2-fold increase in mortality. The link to mortality risk was strongest for non–CABG-related Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (TIMI)-defined major bleeding followed by non-TIMI major bleeding with or without blood transfusions, whereas isolated large hematomas and CABG-related bleeding were not significantly associated with subsequent mortality. Conclusions Patients with ACS have marked variation in their risk of major bleeding. A simple risk score based on 6 baseline measures plus anticoagulation regimen identifies patients at increased risk for non–CABG-related bleeding and subsequent 1-year mortality, for whom appropriate treatment strategies can be implemented.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0735-1097</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1558-3597</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.jacc.2009.09.076</identifier><identifier>PMID: 20513595</identifier><identifier>CODEN: JACCDI</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>New York, NY: Elsevier Inc</publisher><subject>Acute Coronary Syndrome - diagnosis ; Acute Coronary Syndrome - drug therapy ; Acute Coronary Syndrome - mortality ; Acute Coronary Syndrome - therapy ; Acute coronary syndromes ; Age ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary - methods ; Biological and medical sciences ; Biomarkers ; bleeding ; Blood products ; Blood transfusions ; Cardiology ; Cardiology. Vascular system ; Cardiovascular ; Cause of Death ; Confidence Intervals ; Coronary Angiography ; Coronary Artery Bypass - methods ; Coronary heart disease ; Electrocardiography ; Female ; Fibrinolytic Agents - adverse effects ; Fibrinolytic Agents - therapeutic use ; Heart ; Heart attacks ; Hemorrhage - chemically induced ; Hemorrhage - mortality ; Heparin - adverse effects ; Heparin - therapeutic use ; Hospital Mortality - trends ; Humans ; Internal Medicine ; Intubation ; Kaplan-Meier Estimate ; Logistics ; Male ; Medical imaging ; Medical sciences ; Middle Aged ; Mortality ; Multivariate Analysis ; myocardial infarction ; Myocarditis. Cardiomyopathies ; Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors - adverse effects ; Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors - therapeutic use ; Platelet Glycoprotein GPIIb-IIIa Complex - adverse effects ; Platelet Glycoprotein GPIIb-IIIa Complex - therapeutic use ; Predictive Value of Tests ; Probability ; Proportional Hazards Models ; Risk Assessment ; Risk factors ; risk score ; Severity of Illness Index ; Survival Analysis ; Treatment Outcome</subject><ispartof>Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 2010-06, Vol.55 (23), p.2556-2566</ispartof><rights>American College of Cardiology Foundation</rights><rights>2010 American College of Cardiology Foundation</rights><rights>2015 INIST-CNRS</rights><rights>Copyright 2010 American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.</rights><rights>Copyright Elsevier Limited Jun 8, 2010</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c468t-76a69e2899deb72cf67308ddf7755d1c261a7d2f41944b4a0a5cd2a9c4537c763</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c468t-76a69e2899deb72cf67308ddf7755d1c261a7d2f41944b4a0a5cd2a9c4537c763</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S073510971001288X$$EHTML$$P50$$Gelsevier$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,3537,27901,27902,65306</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttp://pascal-francis.inist.fr/vibad/index.php?action=getRecordDetail&amp;idt=22919402$$DView record in Pascal Francis$$Hfree_for_read</backlink><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/20513595$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Mehran, Roxana, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pocock, Stuart J., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nikolsky, Eugenia, MD, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Clayton, Tim, MSc</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dangas, George D., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kirtane, Ajay J., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Parise, Helen, ScD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fahy, Martin, MSc</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Manoukian, Steven V., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Feit, Frederick, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ohman, Magnus E., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Witzenbichler, Bernard, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Guagliumi, Giulio, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lansky, Alexandra J., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Stone, Gregg W., MD</creatorcontrib><title>A Risk Score to Predict Bleeding in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndromes</title><title>Journal of the American College of Cardiology</title><addtitle>J Am Coll Cardiol</addtitle><description>Objectives The aim of this study was to develop a practical risk score to predict the risk and implications of major bleeding in acute coronary syndromes (ACS). Background Hemorrhagic complications have been strongly linked with subsequent mortality in patients with ACS. Methods A total of 17,421 patients with ACS (including non–ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction [MI], ST-segment elevation MI, and biomarker negative ACS) were studied in the ACUITY (Acute Catheterization and Urgent Intervention Triage strategY) and the HORIZONS-AMI (Harmonizing Outcomes with RevasculariZatiON and Stents in Acute Myocardial Infarction) trials. An integer risk score for major bleeding within 30 days was developed from a multivariable logistic regression model. Results Non-coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG)-related major bleeding within 30 days occurred in 744 patients (7.3%) and had 6 independent baseline predictors (female sex, advanced age, elevated serum creatinine and white blood cell count, anemia, non–ST-segment elevation MI, or ST-segment elevation MI) and 1 treatment-related variable (use of heparin + a glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor rather than bivalirudin alone) (model c -statistic = 0.74). The integer risk score differentiated patients with a 30-day rate of non–CABG-related major bleeding ranging from 1% to over 40%. In a time-updated covariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression model, major bleeding was an independent predictor of a 3.2-fold increase in mortality. The link to mortality risk was strongest for non–CABG-related Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (TIMI)-defined major bleeding followed by non-TIMI major bleeding with or without blood transfusions, whereas isolated large hematomas and CABG-related bleeding were not significantly associated with subsequent mortality. Conclusions Patients with ACS have marked variation in their risk of major bleeding. A simple risk score based on 6 baseline measures plus anticoagulation regimen identifies patients at increased risk for non–CABG-related bleeding and subsequent 1-year mortality, for whom appropriate treatment strategies can be implemented.</description><subject>Acute Coronary Syndrome - diagnosis</subject><subject>Acute Coronary Syndrome - drug therapy</subject><subject>Acute Coronary Syndrome - mortality</subject><subject>Acute Coronary Syndrome - therapy</subject><subject>Acute coronary syndromes</subject><subject>Age</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Aged, 80 and over</subject><subject>Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary - methods</subject><subject>Biological and medical sciences</subject><subject>Biomarkers</subject><subject>bleeding</subject><subject>Blood products</subject><subject>Blood transfusions</subject><subject>Cardiology</subject><subject>Cardiology. Vascular system</subject><subject>Cardiovascular</subject><subject>Cause of Death</subject><subject>Confidence Intervals</subject><subject>Coronary Angiography</subject><subject>Coronary Artery Bypass - methods</subject><subject>Coronary heart disease</subject><subject>Electrocardiography</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Fibrinolytic Agents - adverse effects</subject><subject>Fibrinolytic Agents - therapeutic use</subject><subject>Heart</subject><subject>Heart attacks</subject><subject>Hemorrhage - chemically induced</subject><subject>Hemorrhage - mortality</subject><subject>Heparin - adverse effects</subject><subject>Heparin - therapeutic use</subject><subject>Hospital Mortality - trends</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Internal Medicine</subject><subject>Intubation</subject><subject>Kaplan-Meier Estimate</subject><subject>Logistics</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Medical imaging</subject><subject>Medical sciences</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>Multivariate Analysis</subject><subject>myocardial infarction</subject><subject>Myocarditis. Cardiomyopathies</subject><subject>Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors - adverse effects</subject><subject>Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors - therapeutic use</subject><subject>Platelet Glycoprotein GPIIb-IIIa Complex - adverse effects</subject><subject>Platelet Glycoprotein GPIIb-IIIa Complex - therapeutic use</subject><subject>Predictive Value of Tests</subject><subject>Probability</subject><subject>Proportional Hazards Models</subject><subject>Risk Assessment</subject><subject>Risk factors</subject><subject>risk score</subject><subject>Severity of Illness Index</subject><subject>Survival Analysis</subject><subject>Treatment Outcome</subject><issn>0735-1097</issn><issn>1558-3597</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2010</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kl1rFDEUhoModlv9A15IQMSrWZPMJJmAFNalflGwuIrehWxyRjOdndQkI-y_N-OuFnohHEgunnPynocg9ISSJSVUvOyXvbF2yQhRy7mkuIcWlPO2qrmS99GCyJpXlCh5gk5T6gkhoqXqITphhNPC8AX6sMKffLrGGxsi4BzwVQTnbcavByiX8Tv2I74y2cOYE_7q8w-8slMGvA4xjCbu8WY_uhh2kB6hB50ZEjw-nmfoy5uLz-t31eXHt-_Xq8vKNqLNlRRGKGCtUg62ktlOyJq0znVScu6oZYIa6VjXUNU028YQw61jRtmG19JKUZ-hF4e5NzH8nCBlvfPJwjCYEcKUtKxrWjdKsEI-u0P2YYpjCacpJ4IJSVpVKHagbAwpRej0TfS7spqmRM-ida9n0XoWref6E-LpcfS03YH71_LXbAGeHwGTrBm6aEbr0y3HVNmPzBlfHTgoyn55iDrZItsW-RFs1i74_-c4v9NuBz_68uI17CHd7qsT00Rv5i8x_whKCGVt-63-DaG7rjw</recordid><startdate>20100608</startdate><enddate>20100608</enddate><creator>Mehran, Roxana, MD</creator><creator>Pocock, Stuart J., PhD</creator><creator>Nikolsky, Eugenia, MD, PhD</creator><creator>Clayton, Tim, MSc</creator><creator>Dangas, George D., MD</creator><creator>Kirtane, Ajay J., MD</creator><creator>Parise, Helen, ScD</creator><creator>Fahy, Martin, MSc</creator><creator>Manoukian, Steven V., MD</creator><creator>Feit, Frederick, MD</creator><creator>Ohman, Magnus E., MD</creator><creator>Witzenbichler, Bernard, MD</creator><creator>Guagliumi, Giulio, MD</creator><creator>Lansky, Alexandra J., MD</creator><creator>Stone, Gregg W., MD</creator><general>Elsevier Inc</general><general>Elsevier</general><general>Elsevier Limited</general><scope>6I.</scope><scope>AAFTH</scope><scope>IQODW</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7T5</scope><scope>7TK</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>NAPCQ</scope><scope>7X8</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20100608</creationdate><title>A Risk Score to Predict Bleeding in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndromes</title><author>Mehran, Roxana, MD ; Pocock, Stuart J., PhD ; Nikolsky, Eugenia, MD, PhD ; Clayton, Tim, MSc ; Dangas, George D., MD ; Kirtane, Ajay J., MD ; Parise, Helen, ScD ; Fahy, Martin, MSc ; Manoukian, Steven V., MD ; Feit, Frederick, MD ; Ohman, Magnus E., MD ; Witzenbichler, Bernard, MD ; Guagliumi, Giulio, MD ; Lansky, Alexandra J., MD ; Stone, Gregg W., MD</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c468t-76a69e2899deb72cf67308ddf7755d1c261a7d2f41944b4a0a5cd2a9c4537c763</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2010</creationdate><topic>Acute Coronary Syndrome - diagnosis</topic><topic>Acute Coronary Syndrome - drug therapy</topic><topic>Acute Coronary Syndrome - mortality</topic><topic>Acute Coronary Syndrome - therapy</topic><topic>Acute coronary syndromes</topic><topic>Age</topic><topic>Aged</topic><topic>Aged, 80 and over</topic><topic>Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary - methods</topic><topic>Biological and medical sciences</topic><topic>Biomarkers</topic><topic>bleeding</topic><topic>Blood products</topic><topic>Blood transfusions</topic><topic>Cardiology</topic><topic>Cardiology. Vascular system</topic><topic>Cardiovascular</topic><topic>Cause of Death</topic><topic>Confidence Intervals</topic><topic>Coronary Angiography</topic><topic>Coronary Artery Bypass - methods</topic><topic>Coronary heart disease</topic><topic>Electrocardiography</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Fibrinolytic Agents - adverse effects</topic><topic>Fibrinolytic Agents - therapeutic use</topic><topic>Heart</topic><topic>Heart attacks</topic><topic>Hemorrhage - chemically induced</topic><topic>Hemorrhage - mortality</topic><topic>Heparin - adverse effects</topic><topic>Heparin - therapeutic use</topic><topic>Hospital Mortality - trends</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Internal Medicine</topic><topic>Intubation</topic><topic>Kaplan-Meier Estimate</topic><topic>Logistics</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Medical imaging</topic><topic>Medical sciences</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Mortality</topic><topic>Multivariate Analysis</topic><topic>myocardial infarction</topic><topic>Myocarditis. Cardiomyopathies</topic><topic>Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors - adverse effects</topic><topic>Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors - therapeutic use</topic><topic>Platelet Glycoprotein GPIIb-IIIa Complex - adverse effects</topic><topic>Platelet Glycoprotein GPIIb-IIIa Complex - therapeutic use</topic><topic>Predictive Value of Tests</topic><topic>Probability</topic><topic>Proportional Hazards Models</topic><topic>Risk Assessment</topic><topic>Risk factors</topic><topic>risk score</topic><topic>Severity of Illness Index</topic><topic>Survival Analysis</topic><topic>Treatment Outcome</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Mehran, Roxana, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pocock, Stuart J., PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nikolsky, Eugenia, MD, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Clayton, Tim, MSc</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dangas, George D., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kirtane, Ajay J., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Parise, Helen, ScD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fahy, Martin, MSc</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Manoukian, Steven V., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Feit, Frederick, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ohman, Magnus E., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Witzenbichler, Bernard, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Guagliumi, Giulio, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lansky, Alexandra J., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Stone, Gregg W., MD</creatorcontrib><collection>ScienceDirect Open Access Titles</collection><collection>Elsevier:ScienceDirect:Open Access</collection><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Immunology Abstracts</collection><collection>Neurosciences Abstracts</collection><collection>AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest Health &amp; Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>Nursing &amp; Allied Health Premium</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>Journal of the American College of Cardiology</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Mehran, Roxana, MD</au><au>Pocock, Stuart J., PhD</au><au>Nikolsky, Eugenia, MD, PhD</au><au>Clayton, Tim, MSc</au><au>Dangas, George D., MD</au><au>Kirtane, Ajay J., MD</au><au>Parise, Helen, ScD</au><au>Fahy, Martin, MSc</au><au>Manoukian, Steven V., MD</au><au>Feit, Frederick, MD</au><au>Ohman, Magnus E., MD</au><au>Witzenbichler, Bernard, MD</au><au>Guagliumi, Giulio, MD</au><au>Lansky, Alexandra J., MD</au><au>Stone, Gregg W., MD</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>A Risk Score to Predict Bleeding in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndromes</atitle><jtitle>Journal of the American College of Cardiology</jtitle><addtitle>J Am Coll Cardiol</addtitle><date>2010-06-08</date><risdate>2010</risdate><volume>55</volume><issue>23</issue><spage>2556</spage><epage>2566</epage><pages>2556-2566</pages><issn>0735-1097</issn><eissn>1558-3597</eissn><coden>JACCDI</coden><abstract>Objectives The aim of this study was to develop a practical risk score to predict the risk and implications of major bleeding in acute coronary syndromes (ACS). Background Hemorrhagic complications have been strongly linked with subsequent mortality in patients with ACS. Methods A total of 17,421 patients with ACS (including non–ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction [MI], ST-segment elevation MI, and biomarker negative ACS) were studied in the ACUITY (Acute Catheterization and Urgent Intervention Triage strategY) and the HORIZONS-AMI (Harmonizing Outcomes with RevasculariZatiON and Stents in Acute Myocardial Infarction) trials. An integer risk score for major bleeding within 30 days was developed from a multivariable logistic regression model. Results Non-coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG)-related major bleeding within 30 days occurred in 744 patients (7.3%) and had 6 independent baseline predictors (female sex, advanced age, elevated serum creatinine and white blood cell count, anemia, non–ST-segment elevation MI, or ST-segment elevation MI) and 1 treatment-related variable (use of heparin + a glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor rather than bivalirudin alone) (model c -statistic = 0.74). The integer risk score differentiated patients with a 30-day rate of non–CABG-related major bleeding ranging from 1% to over 40%. In a time-updated covariate-adjusted Cox proportional hazards regression model, major bleeding was an independent predictor of a 3.2-fold increase in mortality. The link to mortality risk was strongest for non–CABG-related Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction (TIMI)-defined major bleeding followed by non-TIMI major bleeding with or without blood transfusions, whereas isolated large hematomas and CABG-related bleeding were not significantly associated with subsequent mortality. Conclusions Patients with ACS have marked variation in their risk of major bleeding. A simple risk score based on 6 baseline measures plus anticoagulation regimen identifies patients at increased risk for non–CABG-related bleeding and subsequent 1-year mortality, for whom appropriate treatment strategies can be implemented.</abstract><cop>New York, NY</cop><pub>Elsevier Inc</pub><pmid>20513595</pmid><doi>10.1016/j.jacc.2009.09.076</doi><tpages>11</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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1558-3597
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source MEDLINE; Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals; Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals; Alma/SFX Local Collection
subjects Acute Coronary Syndrome - diagnosis
Acute Coronary Syndrome - drug therapy
Acute Coronary Syndrome - mortality
Acute Coronary Syndrome - therapy
Acute coronary syndromes
Age
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary - methods
Biological and medical sciences
Biomarkers
bleeding
Blood products
Blood transfusions
Cardiology
Cardiology. Vascular system
Cardiovascular
Cause of Death
Confidence Intervals
Coronary Angiography
Coronary Artery Bypass - methods
Coronary heart disease
Electrocardiography
Female
Fibrinolytic Agents - adverse effects
Fibrinolytic Agents - therapeutic use
Heart
Heart attacks
Hemorrhage - chemically induced
Hemorrhage - mortality
Heparin - adverse effects
Heparin - therapeutic use
Hospital Mortality - trends
Humans
Internal Medicine
Intubation
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
Logistics
Male
Medical imaging
Medical sciences
Middle Aged
Mortality
Multivariate Analysis
myocardial infarction
Myocarditis. Cardiomyopathies
Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors - adverse effects
Platelet Aggregation Inhibitors - therapeutic use
Platelet Glycoprotein GPIIb-IIIa Complex - adverse effects
Platelet Glycoprotein GPIIb-IIIa Complex - therapeutic use
Predictive Value of Tests
Probability
Proportional Hazards Models
Risk Assessment
Risk factors
risk score
Severity of Illness Index
Survival Analysis
Treatment Outcome
title A Risk Score to Predict Bleeding in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndromes
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