Mycophenolate mofetil versus azathioprine therapy is associated with a significant protection against long-term renal allograft function deterioration

To evaluate the association of long-term continuous mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) versus azathioprine (AZA) therapy and renal allograft function, as measured by the slope of reciprocal creatinine, we analyzed 49,666 primary renal allograft recipients reported to the United States Renal Data System between October 31, 1988 and June 30, 1998. The primary study endpoint was defined as a greater than 20% decrease below a 6-month baseline of 1/serum creatinine (SCr) (slope of reciprocal creatinine) at or beyond 1 year after transplantation. A secondary endpoint was defined as reaching an SCr value greater than 1.6 mg/dL. Univariate Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to investigate the risk of reaching the study endpoints. Multivariate analyses were corrected for potential confounding covariates. According to the Cox proportional hazard model, 12-month continued therapy of MMF versus AZA was associated with a protective effect against declining renal function, as measured by the slope of reciprocal creatinine (relative risk [RR]=0.84, confidence interval 0.78-0.91, P