Life expectancy in Germany until 2050
The expected demographic shifts—already having commenced in many countries—have their origin primarily in decreasing birth rates and increased life expectancy. This paper will show possible development paths for life expectancy at birth up until the year 2050. We will distinguish between traditional...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Experimental Gerontology 2004-02, Vol.39 (2), p.159-163 |
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description | The expected demographic shifts—already having commenced in many countries—have their origin primarily in decreasing birth rates and increased life expectancy. This paper will show possible development paths for life expectancy at birth up until the year 2050. We will distinguish between traditional period life tables and cohort life tables, the latter leading to more realistic values for life expectancy. It will be shown that a marked increase in life expectancy up to over 90 years is to be expected. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1016/j.exger.2003.11.002 |
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This paper will show possible development paths for life expectancy at birth up until the year 2050. We will distinguish between traditional period life tables and cohort life tables, the latter leading to more realistic values for life expectancy. It will be shown that a marked increase in life expectancy up to over 90 years is to be expected.</description><subject>Age-specific</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Aged, 80 and over</subject><subject>Cohort</subject><subject>Death rate</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Germany - epidemiology</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Life Expectancy - trends</subject><subject>Life table</subject><subject>Life Tables</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>Period</subject><subject>Prognosis</subject><subject>Sex Factors</subject><issn>0531-5565</issn><issn>1873-6815</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2004</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kD1PwzAQhi0EoqXwC5BQFtgS7uKPuAMDqqAgVWKB2UrtC3KVpCVOUPvvcWklNqZb3ue9u4exa4QMAdX9KqPtJ3VZDsAzxAwgP2Fj1AVPlUZ5ysYgOaZSKjliFyGsAEDlHM_ZCCVwJUCP2e3CV5TQdkO2L1u7S3ybzKlrynaXDG3v6yQHCZfsrCrrQFfHOWEfz0_vs5d08TZ_nT0uUsul7FNHutBSUG5pupTxECcq4M5a0FharYXiACUooZ2wTgqZT7XWubRY6akSkk_Y3aF3062_Bgq9aXywVNdlS-shmAILFTGMQX4I2m4dQkeV2XS-KbudQTB7O2Zlfu2YvR2DaKKdSN0c64dlQ-6POeqIgYdDgOKT3z7iwXpqLTnfRUHGrf2_C34AjiRzaA</recordid><startdate>20040201</startdate><enddate>20040201</enddate><creator>Bomsdorf, Eckart</creator><general>Elsevier Inc</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7X8</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20040201</creationdate><title>Life expectancy in Germany until 2050</title><author>Bomsdorf, Eckart</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c355t-de87854e2ce9b5873d4f03dcc081ac8846300a0648d4cd5452988825c1f896453</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2004</creationdate><topic>Age-specific</topic><topic>Aged</topic><topic>Aged, 80 and over</topic><topic>Cohort</topic><topic>Death rate</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Germany - epidemiology</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Life Expectancy - trends</topic><topic>Life table</topic><topic>Life Tables</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Mortality</topic><topic>Period</topic><topic>Prognosis</topic><topic>Sex Factors</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Bomsdorf, Eckart</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>Experimental Gerontology</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Bomsdorf, Eckart</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Life expectancy in Germany until 2050</atitle><jtitle>Experimental Gerontology</jtitle><addtitle>Exp Gerontol</addtitle><date>2004-02-01</date><risdate>2004</risdate><volume>39</volume><issue>2</issue><spage>159</spage><epage>163</epage><pages>159-163</pages><issn>0531-5565</issn><eissn>1873-6815</eissn><abstract>The expected demographic shifts—already having commenced in many countries—have their origin primarily in decreasing birth rates and increased life expectancy. This paper will show possible development paths for life expectancy at birth up until the year 2050. We will distinguish between traditional period life tables and cohort life tables, the latter leading to more realistic values for life expectancy. It will be shown that a marked increase in life expectancy up to over 90 years is to be expected.</abstract><cop>England</cop><pub>Elsevier Inc</pub><pmid>15036408</pmid><doi>10.1016/j.exger.2003.11.002</doi><tpages>5</tpages></addata></record> |
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subjects | Age-specific Aged Aged, 80 and over Cohort Death rate Female Germany - epidemiology Humans Life Expectancy - trends Life table Life Tables Male Mortality Period Prognosis Sex Factors |
title | Life expectancy in Germany until 2050 |
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