Appropriateness of thresholds currently used to describe influenza activity in England

The timing and magnitude of influenza virus activity in England each winter remain unpredictable. Nevertheless, it is important to describe levels of activity in a timely manner, using defined 'threshold values'. This informs public health practitioners and the general public of the level...

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Veröffentlicht in:Communicable disease and public health 2003-09, Vol.6 (3), p.238-245
Hauptverfasser: Goddard, N L, Kyncl, J, Watson, J M
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creator Goddard, N L
Kyncl, J
Watson, J M
description The timing and magnitude of influenza virus activity in England each winter remain unpredictable. Nevertheless, it is important to describe levels of activity in a timely manner, using defined 'threshold values'. This informs public health practitioners and the general public of the level of influenza virus circulation, and provides an indication of when sufficient activity is occurring in the community to warrant the use of antiviral drugs. Data presented here suggest that the current numerical thresholds, and their corresponding descriptions, are no longer appropriate for the levels of activity recently observed in England. Based on integrated clinical and virological data, we suggest alternative threshold values of 'baseline' activity (0-30/100,000 population), 'normal seasonal' activity (30-200/100,000) and 'epidemic' activity (> 200/100,000).
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source MEDLINE; EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals
subjects AIDS/HIV
England - epidemiology
Humans
Influenza, Human - epidemiology
Orthomyxoviridae - isolation & purification
Orthomyxoviridae - pathogenicity
Public Health
Seasons
title Appropriateness of thresholds currently used to describe influenza activity in England
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