Bayesian Prior Probability Distributions for Internal Dosimetry

The problem of choosing a prior distribution for the Bayesian interpretation of measurements (specifically internal dosimetry measurements) is considered using a theoretical analysis and by examining historical tritium and plutonium urine bioassay data from Los Alamos. Two models for the prior proba...

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Veröffentlicht in:Radiation protection dosimetry 2001-01, Vol.94 (4), p.347-352
Hauptverfasser: Miller, G., Inkret, W.C., Little, T.T., Martz, H.F., Schillaci, M.E.
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container_end_page 352
container_issue 4
container_start_page 347
container_title Radiation protection dosimetry
container_volume 94
creator Miller, G.
Inkret, W.C.
Little, T.T.
Martz, H.F.
Schillaci, M.E.
description The problem of choosing a prior distribution for the Bayesian interpretation of measurements (specifically internal dosimetry measurements) is considered using a theoretical analysis and by examining historical tritium and plutonium urine bioassay data from Los Alamos. Two models for the prior probability distribution are proposed: (1) the log-normal distribution, when there is some additional information to determine the scale of the true result, and (2) the 'alpha' distribution (a simplified variant of the gamma distribution) when there is not. These models have been incorporated into version 3 of the Bayesian internal dosimetric code in use at Los Alamos (downloadable from our web site). Plutonium internal dosimetry at Los Alamos is now being done using prior probability distribution parameters determined self-consistently from population averages of Los Alamos data.
doi_str_mv 10.1093/oxfordjournals.rpd.a006509
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source MEDLINE; Oxford University Press Journals All Titles (1996-Current)
subjects Applied radiobiology (equipment, dosimetry...)
Bayes Theorem
Biological and medical sciences
Biological Assay
Biological effects of radiation
Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology
Humans
New Mexico
Plutonium - urine
Radiometry
Tissues, organs and organisms biophysics
Tritium - urine
title Bayesian Prior Probability Distributions for Internal Dosimetry
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