Long-Term Impact of Smoking on Lung Epithelial Proliferation in Current and Former Smokers

Background: Lung cancer risk remains elevated for many years after quitting smoking. To assess using proliferation indices in bronchial tissues as an intermediate endpoint biomarker in lung cancer chemoprevention trials, we determined the relationship between the extent, intensity, and cessation of tobacco smoking and proliferative changes in bronchial epithelial biopsy specimens. Methods: Bronchial biopsy specimens were obtained from up to six epithelial sites in 120 current smokers (median pack-years, 42) and 207 former smokers (median pack-years, 40; median quit-years, 8.1). Sections from the paraffin-embedded specimens were stained with hematoxylin–eosin to determine the metaplasia index and with an antibody to Ki-67 to determine the proliferative (labeling) index for the basal and parabasal (Ki-67 PLI) layers. All statistical tests were two-sided. Results: Biopsy sites with metaplasia had statistically significantly higher Ki-67-labeling indices than those without metaplasia (P