Challenges in using probabilistic climate change information for impact assessments: an example from the water sector

Climate change impacts and adaptation assessments have traditionally adopted a scenario-based approach, which precludes an assessment of the relative risks of particular adaptation options. Probabilistic impact assessments, especially if based on a thorough analysis of the uncertainty in an impact f...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series A: Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences physical, and engineering sciences, 2007-08, Vol.365 (1857), p.2117-2131
Hauptverfasser:	New, Mark, Lopez, Ana, Dessai, Suraje, Wilby, Rob
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Climate Change Climate change adaptation Climate models Ensembles Global climate models Hydrological modeling Impacts Modeling Parametric models Precipitation Probabilities Simulations Uncertainties Water Resources
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