A risk score for predicting perioperative blood transfusion in liver surgery

Background: It would be desirable to predict which patients are most likely to benefit from preoperative autologous blood donation. This aim of this study was to develop a point scoring system for predicting the need for blood transfusion in liver surgery. Methods: The medical records of 480 consecu...

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Veröffentlicht in:British journal of surgery 2007-07, Vol.94 (7), p.860-865
Hauptverfasser: Pulitanò, C., Arru, M., Bellio, L., Rossini, S., Ferla, G., Aldrighetti, L.
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container_end_page 865
container_issue 7
container_start_page 860
container_title British journal of surgery
container_volume 94
creator Pulitanò, C.
Arru, M.
Bellio, L.
Rossini, S.
Ferla, G.
Aldrighetti, L.
description Background: It would be desirable to predict which patients are most likely to benefit from preoperative autologous blood donation. This aim of this study was to develop a point scoring system for predicting the need for blood transfusion in liver surgery. Methods: The medical records of 480 consecutive patients who underwent hepatic resection were analysed. The data set was split randomly into a derivation set of two‐thirds and a validation set of one‐third. Univariable analysis was carried out to determine the association between clinicopathological factors and blood transfusion. Significant variables were entered into a multiple logistic regression model, and a transfusion risk score (TRS) was developed. The accuracy of the system was validated by calculating the area under the receiver–operator characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: Factors associated with blood transfusion in multivariable analysis included preoperative haemoglobin concentration below 12·5 g/dl, largest tumour more than 4 cm, need for exposure of the vena cava, need for an associated procedure, and cirrhosis. Each variable was assigned one point, and the total score was compared with the transfusion status of each patient in the validation set. The TRS accurately predicted the likelihood of blood transfusion. In the validation set the area under the ROC curve was 0·89. Conclusion: Use of the TRS could lead to substantial saving by improving the cost‐effectiveness of the autologous blood donation programme. Copyright © 2007 British Journal of Surgery Society Ltd. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Useful when preoperative autologous blood donation is considered
doi_str_mv 10.1002/bjs.5731
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This aim of this study was to develop a point scoring system for predicting the need for blood transfusion in liver surgery. Methods: The medical records of 480 consecutive patients who underwent hepatic resection were analysed. The data set was split randomly into a derivation set of two‐thirds and a validation set of one‐third. Univariable analysis was carried out to determine the association between clinicopathological factors and blood transfusion. Significant variables were entered into a multiple logistic regression model, and a transfusion risk score (TRS) was developed. The accuracy of the system was validated by calculating the area under the receiver–operator characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: Factors associated with blood transfusion in multivariable analysis included preoperative haemoglobin concentration below 12·5 g/dl, largest tumour more than 4 cm, need for exposure of the vena cava, need for an associated procedure, and cirrhosis. Each variable was assigned one point, and the total score was compared with the transfusion status of each patient in the validation set. The TRS accurately predicted the likelihood of blood transfusion. In the validation set the area under the ROC curve was 0·89. Conclusion: Use of the TRS could lead to substantial saving by improving the cost‐effectiveness of the autologous blood donation programme. Copyright © 2007 British Journal of Surgery Society Ltd. Published by John Wiley &amp; Sons, Ltd. 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This aim of this study was to develop a point scoring system for predicting the need for blood transfusion in liver surgery. Methods: The medical records of 480 consecutive patients who underwent hepatic resection were analysed. The data set was split randomly into a derivation set of two‐thirds and a validation set of one‐third. Univariable analysis was carried out to determine the association between clinicopathological factors and blood transfusion. Significant variables were entered into a multiple logistic regression model, and a transfusion risk score (TRS) was developed. The accuracy of the system was validated by calculating the area under the receiver–operator characteristic (ROC) curve. Results: Factors associated with blood transfusion in multivariable analysis included preoperative haemoglobin concentration below 12·5 g/dl, largest tumour more than 4 cm, need for exposure of the vena cava, need for an associated procedure, and cirrhosis. Each variable was assigned one point, and the total score was compared with the transfusion status of each patient in the validation set. The TRS accurately predicted the likelihood of blood transfusion. In the validation set the area under the ROC curve was 0·89. Conclusion: Use of the TRS could lead to substantial saving by improving the cost‐effectiveness of the autologous blood donation programme. Copyright © 2007 British Journal of Surgery Society Ltd. Published by John Wiley &amp; Sons, Ltd. 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Each variable was assigned one point, and the total score was compared with the transfusion status of each patient in the validation set. The TRS accurately predicted the likelihood of blood transfusion. In the validation set the area under the ROC curve was 0·89. Conclusion: Use of the TRS could lead to substantial saving by improving the cost‐effectiveness of the autologous blood donation programme. Copyright © 2007 British Journal of Surgery Society Ltd. Published by John Wiley &amp; Sons, Ltd. Useful when preoperative autologous blood donation is considered</abstract><cop>Chichester, UK</cop><pub>John Wiley &amp; Sons, Ltd</pub><pmid>17380562</pmid><doi>10.1002/bjs.5731</doi><tpages>6</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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source Oxford University Press Journals All Titles (1996-Current); MEDLINE; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete
subjects Aged
Biological and medical sciences
Blood Transfusion, Autologous - economics
Blood Transfusion, Autologous - statistics & numerical data
Cohort Studies
Cost-Benefit Analysis
Elective Surgical Procedures
Female
General aspects
Humans
Liver Diseases - economics
Liver Diseases - surgery
Male
Medical sciences
Preoperative Care - economics
Preoperative Care - methods
Risk Assessment - methods
Risk Factors
ROC Curve
title A risk score for predicting perioperative blood transfusion in liver surgery
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