Instabilities in multiserotype disease models with antibody-dependent enhancement

This paper investigates the complex dynamics induced by antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) in multiserotype disease models. ADE is the increase in viral growth rate in the presence of immunity due to a previous infection of a different serotype. The increased viral growth rate is thought to increa...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of theoretical biology 2007-05, Vol.246 (1), p.18-27
Hauptverfasser: Billings, Lora, Schwartz, Ira B., Shaw, Leah B., McCrary, Marie, Burke, Donald S., Cummings, Derek A.T.
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container_end_page 27
container_issue 1
container_start_page 18
container_title Journal of theoretical biology
container_volume 246
creator Billings, Lora
Schwartz, Ira B.
Shaw, Leah B.
McCrary, Marie
Burke, Donald S.
Cummings, Derek A.T.
description This paper investigates the complex dynamics induced by antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) in multiserotype disease models. ADE is the increase in viral growth rate in the presence of immunity due to a previous infection of a different serotype. The increased viral growth rate is thought to increase the infectivity of the secondary infectious class. In our models, ADE induces the onset of oscillations without external forcing. The oscillations in the infectious classes represent outbreaks of the disease. In this paper, we derive approximations of the ADE parameter needed to induce oscillations and analyze the associated bifurcations that separate the types of oscillations. We then investigate the stability of these dynamics by adding stochastic perturbations to the model. We also present a preliminary analysis of the effect of a single serotype vaccination in the model.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.jtbi.2006.12.023
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subjects Animals
Antibodies, Viral - immunology
Antibody-Dependent Enhancement
Dengue
Disease Outbreaks
Epidemics
Humans
Models, Immunological
Multiserotype
Nonlinear Dynamics
Vaccination
Vaccine
Virulence
Virus Diseases - immunology
Virus Diseases - prevention & control
Viruses - immunology
title Instabilities in multiserotype disease models with antibody-dependent enhancement
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