Prediction of sustained virological response by ribavirin plasma concentration at week 4 of therapy in hepatitis C virus genotype 1 patients

Pegylated interferon/ribavirin combination is currently the standard treatment for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Body weight adjustment of ribavirin is crucial for response. However, previous studies found no relation between ingested dose and plasma concentration. The aim of this study was to define the ribavirin trough plasma concentration at week 4 (W4) associated with sustained virological response (SVR). Thirty-one HCV genotype 1 patients (8 naive and 23 non-responders to a previous pegylated interferon/ribavirin therapy) were treated with pegylated interferon/ribavirin and assessed by HPLC for ribavirin plasma concentration at W4. Eleven patients (35%) achieved SVR, whereas 20 (65%) were non-responders. The median ribavirin plasma concentration at W4 (1.90 mg/l) varied from 1.62 mg/l in patients with subsequent non-response to 2.28 mg/l in sustained responders (P=0.007). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis indicated that the 2.01 mg/l threshold gave the best sensitivity and specificity (73% and 80%, respectively, area under the curve =0.80; P=0.007). Sixty-seven percent of patients with median ribavirin plasma concentration >2 mg/l achieved SVR versus only 16% below this level (P=0.007). Multivariate regression analysis indicated that a ribavirin plasma concentration >2 mg/l at W4 was associated with SVR independent of gender, age, weight, baseline viral load and response to previous therapy. These results, which remain to be confirmed in large clinical trials, highlight the potential relevance of ribavirin plasma level monitoring at an early stage of treatment. This monitoring could be of help in guiding antiviral therapy by offering dose adjustment in patients with ribavirin plasma level below the 2 mg/l threshold.