Antiretroviral Therapy and HIV Prevention in India: Modeling Costs and Consequences of Policy Options

Objectives: The objective of this study is to assess the costs, costeffectiveness, and HIV epidemic impact of 3 antiretroviral therapy (ART) policy options. Study Design: We constructed an epidemiologic model to predict the course of the HIV epidemic in the absence of expanded ART availability. Base...

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Veröffentlicht in:Sexually transmitted diseases 2006-10, Vol.33 (10), p.S145-S152
Hauptverfasser: OVER, MEAD, MARSEILLE, ELLIOT, SUDHAKAR, KURAPATI, GOLD, JULIAN, GUPTA, INDRANI, INDRAYAN, ABHAYA, HIRA, SUBHASH, NAGELKERKE, NICO, RAO, ARNI S. R. SRINIVASA, HEYWOOD, PETER
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container_end_page S152
container_issue 10
container_start_page S145
container_title Sexually transmitted diseases
container_volume 33
creator OVER, MEAD
MARSEILLE, ELLIOT
SUDHAKAR, KURAPATI
GOLD, JULIAN
GUPTA, INDRANI
INDRAYAN, ABHAYA
HIRA, SUBHASH
NAGELKERKE, NICO
RAO, ARNI S. R. SRINIVASA
HEYWOOD, PETER
description Objectives: The objective of this study is to assess the costs, costeffectiveness, and HIV epidemic impact of 3 antiretroviral therapy (ART) policy options. Study Design: We constructed an epidemiologic model to predict the course of the HIV epidemic in the absence of expanded ART availability. Based on background studies of the willingness to pay for ART among patients with AIDS, of the costs to the government of the alternative treatment interventions, and of ART's likely effects on HIV transmission, we simulated the consequences of 3 possible alternative government ART policies. Results: A program to reduce the negative consequences of the currently unstructured private-sector provision of ART is the most cost-effective of the 3 options at a 10% discount rate and least costeffective at a 3% rate. The costs and cost-effectiveness of all options are highly sensitive to the effect of ART on condom use. Conclusion: The design of ART policy should capitalize on the potential of ART to decrease HIV transmission through institutional arrangements that reward effective prevention programs, thereby raising the likelihood that treatment has beneficial rather than negative external effects.
doi_str_mv 10.1097/01.olq.0000238457.93426.0d
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Results: A program to reduce the negative consequences of the currently unstructured private-sector provision of ART is the most cost-effective of the 3 options at a 10% discount rate and least costeffective at a 3% rate. The costs and cost-effectiveness of all options are highly sensitive to the effect of ART on condom use. 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Conclusion: The design of ART policy should capitalize on the potential of ART to decrease HIV transmission through institutional arrangements that reward effective prevention programs, thereby raising the likelihood that treatment has beneficial rather than negative external effects.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Lippincott Williams &amp; Wilkins</pub><pmid>17003679</pmid><doi>10.1097/01.olq.0000238457.93426.0d</doi></addata></record>
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source MEDLINE; Applied Social Sciences Index & Abstracts (ASSIA); JSTOR Archive Collection A-Z Listing
subjects Antiviral Agents - economics
Antiviral Agents - therapeutic use
Cost analysis
Cost-Benefit Analysis
Costs and Cost Analysis
Drug therapy
Epidemiology
Government Programs - economics
Health care policy
HIV
HIV Infections - drug therapy
HIV Infections - economics
HIV Infections - epidemiology
HIV Infections - prevention & control
Human immunodeficiency virus
Humans
India - epidemiology
Models, Theoretical
Prevention programs
Public Policy
title Antiretroviral Therapy and HIV Prevention in India: Modeling Costs and Consequences of Policy Options
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