Development and validation of a prognostic risk score for major bleeding in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention via the femoral approach

Aims Major bleeding after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is an independent risk factor for early and late mortality. We developed and validated a risk score predictive of major bleeding after PCI using the femoral approach. Methods and results Baseline clinical and procedural variables fro...

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Veröffentlicht in:European heart journal 2007-08, Vol.28 (16), p.1936-1945
Hauptverfasser: Nikolsky, Eugenia, Mehran, Roxana, Dangas, George, Fahy, Martin, Na, Yingbo, Pocock, Stuart J., Lincoff, A. Michael, Stone, Gregg W.
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container_end_page 1945
container_issue 16
container_start_page 1936
container_title European heart journal
container_volume 28
creator Nikolsky, Eugenia
Mehran, Roxana
Dangas, George
Fahy, Martin
Na, Yingbo
Pocock, Stuart J.
Lincoff, A. Michael
Stone, Gregg W.
description Aims Major bleeding after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is an independent risk factor for early and late mortality. We developed and validated a risk score predictive of major bleeding after PCI using the femoral approach. Methods and results Baseline clinical and procedural variables from two contemporary, multicentre, randomized PCI trials were used for risk score development (the REPLACE-2 trial, n = 6002) and validation (the REPLACE-1 trial, n = 1056). On the basis of the odds ratio, independent risk factors were assigned a weighted integer, the sum of which comprised a total risk score. Seven variables were identified as independent correlates of major bleeding (age >55 years, female gender, estimated glomerular filtration rate
doi_str_mv 10.1093/eurheartj/ehm194
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Michael ; Stone, Gregg W.</creator><creatorcontrib>Nikolsky, Eugenia ; Mehran, Roxana ; Dangas, George ; Fahy, Martin ; Na, Yingbo ; Pocock, Stuart J. ; Lincoff, A. Michael ; Stone, Gregg W.</creatorcontrib><description>Aims Major bleeding after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is an independent risk factor for early and late mortality. We developed and validated a risk score predictive of major bleeding after PCI using the femoral approach. Methods and results Baseline clinical and procedural variables from two contemporary, multicentre, randomized PCI trials were used for risk score development (the REPLACE-2 trial, n = 6002) and validation (the REPLACE-1 trial, n = 1056). On the basis of the odds ratio, independent risk factors were assigned a weighted integer, the sum of which comprised a total risk score. Seven variables were identified as independent correlates of major bleeding (age &gt;55 years, female gender, estimated glomerular filtration rate &lt;60 mL/min/1.73 m2, pre-existing anaemia, administration of low-molecular-weight heparin within 48 h pre-PCI, use of glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors, and intraaortic balloon pump use). In the development set, the risk of major bleeding varied from 1.0% in patients without risk factors to 5.4% in high-risk patients. The discriminatory power of this risk model was confirmed in the validation data set (area under the receiver operating curve = 0.62). Conclusion A simple risk score of baseline clinical and procedural variables is useful to predict the incidence of major peri-procedural bleeding after contemporary PCI using the femoral approach.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0195-668X</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1522-9645</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehm194</identifier><identifier>PMID: 17575270</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>England: Oxford University Press</publisher><subject>Adult ; Age Factors ; Aged ; Anemia - complications ; Angioplasty ; Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary - adverse effects ; Anticoagulants - adverse effects ; Body Weight ; Female ; Humans ; Major bleeding ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Postoperative Hemorrhage - etiology ; Prognosis ; Renal Insufficiency - complications ; Risk Assessment ; Risk Factors ; Risk score ; Sex Factors ; Whole Blood Coagulation Time</subject><ispartof>European heart journal, 2007-08, Vol.28 (16), p.1936-1945</ispartof><rights>The European Society of Cardiology 2007. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org 2007</rights><rights>The European Society of Cardiology 2007. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c506t-61bfe6116f23f2c10930ec43514b620151cd686a9d11de9c450ad673eefb706f3</citedby></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,1578,27901,27902</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17575270$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Nikolsky, Eugenia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mehran, Roxana</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dangas, George</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fahy, Martin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Na, Yingbo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pocock, Stuart J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lincoff, A. Michael</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Stone, Gregg W.</creatorcontrib><title>Development and validation of a prognostic risk score for major bleeding in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention via the femoral approach</title><title>European heart journal</title><addtitle>Eur Heart J</addtitle><description>Aims Major bleeding after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is an independent risk factor for early and late mortality. We developed and validated a risk score predictive of major bleeding after PCI using the femoral approach. Methods and results Baseline clinical and procedural variables from two contemporary, multicentre, randomized PCI trials were used for risk score development (the REPLACE-2 trial, n = 6002) and validation (the REPLACE-1 trial, n = 1056). On the basis of the odds ratio, independent risk factors were assigned a weighted integer, the sum of which comprised a total risk score. Seven variables were identified as independent correlates of major bleeding (age &gt;55 years, female gender, estimated glomerular filtration rate &lt;60 mL/min/1.73 m2, pre-existing anaemia, administration of low-molecular-weight heparin within 48 h pre-PCI, use of glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors, and intraaortic balloon pump use). In the development set, the risk of major bleeding varied from 1.0% in patients without risk factors to 5.4% in high-risk patients. The discriminatory power of this risk model was confirmed in the validation data set (area under the receiver operating curve = 0.62). Conclusion A simple risk score of baseline clinical and procedural variables is useful to predict the incidence of major peri-procedural bleeding after contemporary PCI using the femoral approach.</description><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Age Factors</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Anemia - complications</subject><subject>Angioplasty</subject><subject>Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary - adverse effects</subject><subject>Anticoagulants - adverse effects</subject><subject>Body Weight</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Major bleeding</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Postoperative Hemorrhage - etiology</subject><subject>Prognosis</subject><subject>Renal Insufficiency - complications</subject><subject>Risk Assessment</subject><subject>Risk Factors</subject><subject>Risk score</subject><subject>Sex Factors</subject><subject>Whole Blood Coagulation Time</subject><issn>0195-668X</issn><issn>1522-9645</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2007</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNqNkctu1DAUhi1ERYfCnhWyWLBBaX2S2EmWaKAUqVIXXDRiYznOyYyniR1sZwTPwsviUUatxIqNLVnffzk-hLwCdgmsKa5w9jtUPu6vcDdCUz4hK-B5njWi5E_JikHDMyHqzTl5HsKeMVYLEM_IOVS84nnFVuTPBzzg4KYRbaTKdvSgBtOpaJylrqeKTt5trQvRaOpNuKdBO4-0d56Oap_OdkDsjN1SY-mUdMkn0Nl26Lfu-Dyh13NUFt0caNI6q_zvBEf0h8Qecw5G0bhLpjg6rwaqphSq9O4FOevVEPDl6b4g364_fl3fZLd3nz6v399mmjMRMwFtjwJA9HnR5_r4MQx1WXAoW5Ez4KA7UQvVdAAdNrrkTHWiKhD7tmKiLy7I28U3xf6cMUQ5mqBxGJbWUtQgqrLhCXzzD7h3s7epm8yBc-BNUSeILZD2LgSPvZy8GdPQEpg8lpMPW5PL1pLk9cl3bkfsHgWnNSXg3QK4efofu2yhTYj464FX_l6msSsubzY_5Kb4Xl4X4otcF38B5n642A</recordid><startdate>20070801</startdate><enddate>20070801</enddate><creator>Nikolsky, Eugenia</creator><creator>Mehran, Roxana</creator><creator>Dangas, George</creator><creator>Fahy, Martin</creator><creator>Na, Yingbo</creator><creator>Pocock, Stuart J.</creator><creator>Lincoff, A. Michael</creator><creator>Stone, Gregg W.</creator><general>Oxford University Press</general><general>Oxford Publishing Limited (England)</general><scope>BSCLL</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7QP</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>7X8</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20070801</creationdate><title>Development and validation of a prognostic risk score for major bleeding in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention via the femoral approach</title><author>Nikolsky, Eugenia ; Mehran, Roxana ; Dangas, George ; Fahy, Martin ; Na, Yingbo ; Pocock, Stuart J. ; Lincoff, A. Michael ; Stone, Gregg W.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c506t-61bfe6116f23f2c10930ec43514b620151cd686a9d11de9c450ad673eefb706f3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2007</creationdate><topic>Adult</topic><topic>Age Factors</topic><topic>Aged</topic><topic>Anemia - complications</topic><topic>Angioplasty</topic><topic>Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary - adverse effects</topic><topic>Anticoagulants - adverse effects</topic><topic>Body Weight</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Major bleeding</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Postoperative Hemorrhage - etiology</topic><topic>Prognosis</topic><topic>Renal Insufficiency - complications</topic><topic>Risk Assessment</topic><topic>Risk Factors</topic><topic>Risk score</topic><topic>Sex Factors</topic><topic>Whole Blood Coagulation Time</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Nikolsky, Eugenia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mehran, Roxana</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dangas, George</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fahy, Martin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Na, Yingbo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pocock, Stuart J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lincoff, A. Michael</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Stone, Gregg W.</creatorcontrib><collection>Istex</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Calcium &amp; Calcified Tissue Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest Health &amp; Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>European heart journal</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Nikolsky, Eugenia</au><au>Mehran, Roxana</au><au>Dangas, George</au><au>Fahy, Martin</au><au>Na, Yingbo</au><au>Pocock, Stuart J.</au><au>Lincoff, A. Michael</au><au>Stone, Gregg W.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Development and validation of a prognostic risk score for major bleeding in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention via the femoral approach</atitle><jtitle>European heart journal</jtitle><addtitle>Eur Heart J</addtitle><date>2007-08-01</date><risdate>2007</risdate><volume>28</volume><issue>16</issue><spage>1936</spage><epage>1945</epage><pages>1936-1945</pages><issn>0195-668X</issn><eissn>1522-9645</eissn><abstract>Aims Major bleeding after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is an independent risk factor for early and late mortality. We developed and validated a risk score predictive of major bleeding after PCI using the femoral approach. Methods and results Baseline clinical and procedural variables from two contemporary, multicentre, randomized PCI trials were used for risk score development (the REPLACE-2 trial, n = 6002) and validation (the REPLACE-1 trial, n = 1056). On the basis of the odds ratio, independent risk factors were assigned a weighted integer, the sum of which comprised a total risk score. Seven variables were identified as independent correlates of major bleeding (age &gt;55 years, female gender, estimated glomerular filtration rate &lt;60 mL/min/1.73 m2, pre-existing anaemia, administration of low-molecular-weight heparin within 48 h pre-PCI, use of glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors, and intraaortic balloon pump use). In the development set, the risk of major bleeding varied from 1.0% in patients without risk factors to 5.4% in high-risk patients. The discriminatory power of this risk model was confirmed in the validation data set (area under the receiver operating curve = 0.62). Conclusion A simple risk score of baseline clinical and procedural variables is useful to predict the incidence of major peri-procedural bleeding after contemporary PCI using the femoral approach.</abstract><cop>England</cop><pub>Oxford University Press</pub><pmid>17575270</pmid><doi>10.1093/eurheartj/ehm194</doi><tpages>10</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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source Oxford University Press Journals All Titles (1996-Current); MEDLINE; Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals
subjects Adult
Age Factors
Aged
Anemia - complications
Angioplasty
Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary - adverse effects
Anticoagulants - adverse effects
Body Weight
Female
Humans
Major bleeding
Male
Middle Aged
Postoperative Hemorrhage - etiology
Prognosis
Renal Insufficiency - complications
Risk Assessment
Risk Factors
Risk score
Sex Factors
Whole Blood Coagulation Time
title Development and validation of a prognostic risk score for major bleeding in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention via the femoral approach
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