FluSurge—A Tool to Estimate Demand for Hospital Services during the Next Pandemic Influenza
Purpose. To assess the impact of pandemic influenza on hospital services. Methods. Based on census data and estimates of hospital resources (non-ICU [intensive care unit] beds, ICU beds, and mechanical ventilators) in a given area, FluSurge software estimates the number of hospital admissions and de...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Medical decision making 2006-11, Vol.26 (6), p.617-623 |
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| container_title | Medical decision making |
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| creator | Zhang, Xinzhi Meltzer, Martin I. Wortley, Pascale M. |
| description | Purpose. To assess the impact of pandemic influenza on hospital services. Methods. Based on census data and estimates of hospital resources (non-ICU [intensive care unit] beds, ICU beds, and mechanical ventilators) in a given area, FluSurge software estimates the number of hospital admissions and deaths due to pandemic influenza under variable duration and virulence scenarios and compares hospital resources needed during a pandemic with existing hospital resources. Results. Sample results from Metropolitan Atlanta illustrate how the next influenza pandemic may overwhelm existing hospital resources, given that hospitals increasingly operate at nearly full capacity. Conclusions. Hospitals need to consider and plan for a surge in demand for hospital services during the next influenza pandemic. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1177/0272989X06295359 |
| format | Article |
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To assess the impact of pandemic influenza on hospital services. Methods. Based on census data and estimates of hospital resources (non-ICU [intensive care unit] beds, ICU beds, and mechanical ventilators) in a given area, FluSurge software estimates the number of hospital admissions and deaths due to pandemic influenza under variable duration and virulence scenarios and compares hospital resources needed during a pandemic with existing hospital resources. Results. Sample results from Metropolitan Atlanta illustrate how the next influenza pandemic may overwhelm existing hospital resources, given that hospitals increasingly operate at nearly full capacity. Conclusions. Hospitals need to consider and plan for a surge in demand for hospital services during the next influenza pandemic.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0272-989X</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1552-681X</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1177/0272989X06295359</identifier><identifier>PMID: 17099200</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications</publisher><subject><![CDATA[Adolescent ; Adult ; Aged ; Central service department ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; Control ; Decision Making, Computer-Assisted ; Decision Support Techniques ; Disease Outbreaks - statistics & numerical data ; Epidemics ; Female ; Forecasts and trends ; Georgia ; Health Resources - supply & distribution ; Hospital Bed Capacity - statistics & numerical data ; Hospital Mortality ; Hospitalization - statistics & numerical data ; Hospitals ; Humans ; Infant ; Influenza ; Influenza, Human - epidemiology ; Influenza, Human - mortality ; Intensive Care Units - supply & distribution ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Needs Assessment - statistics & numerical data ; South Carolina ; Urban Population - statistics & numerical data ; Ventilators, Mechanical - supply & distribution]]></subject><ispartof>Medical decision making, 2006-11, Vol.26 (6), p.617-623</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2006 Sage Publications, Inc.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c374t-1b347051f6ece40598fc842320a3d29ad2a6a21c212dbac44754c236ffad9c433</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c374t-1b347051f6ece40598fc842320a3d29ad2a6a21c212dbac44754c236ffad9c433</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/0272989X06295359$$EPDF$$P50$$Gsage$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0272989X06295359$$EHTML$$P50$$Gsage$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,21818,27923,27924,43620,43621</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/17099200$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Xinzhi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Meltzer, Martin I.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wortley, Pascale M.</creatorcontrib><title>FluSurge—A Tool to Estimate Demand for Hospital Services during the Next Pandemic Influenza</title><title>Medical decision making</title><addtitle>Med Decis Making</addtitle><description>Purpose. To assess the impact of pandemic influenza on hospital services. Methods. Based on census data and estimates of hospital resources (non-ICU [intensive care unit] beds, ICU beds, and mechanical ventilators) in a given area, FluSurge software estimates the number of hospital admissions and deaths due to pandemic influenza under variable duration and virulence scenarios and compares hospital resources needed during a pandemic with existing hospital resources. Results. Sample results from Metropolitan Atlanta illustrate how the next influenza pandemic may overwhelm existing hospital resources, given that hospitals increasingly operate at nearly full capacity. Conclusions. Hospitals need to consider and plan for a surge in demand for hospital services during the next influenza pandemic.</description><subject>Adolescent</subject><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Central service department</subject><subject>Child</subject><subject>Child, Preschool</subject><subject>Control</subject><subject>Decision Making, Computer-Assisted</subject><subject>Decision Support Techniques</subject><subject>Disease Outbreaks - statistics & numerical data</subject><subject>Epidemics</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Forecasts and trends</subject><subject>Georgia</subject><subject>Health Resources - supply & distribution</subject><subject>Hospital Bed Capacity - statistics & numerical data</subject><subject>Hospital Mortality</subject><subject>Hospitalization - statistics & numerical data</subject><subject>Hospitals</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Infant</subject><subject>Influenza</subject><subject>Influenza, Human - epidemiology</subject><subject>Influenza, Human - mortality</subject><subject>Intensive Care Units - supply & distribution</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Needs Assessment - statistics & numerical data</subject><subject>South Carolina</subject><subject>Urban Population - statistics & numerical data</subject><subject>Ventilators, Mechanical - supply & distribution</subject><issn>0272-989X</issn><issn>1552-681X</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2006</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNp1kc9qGzEQxkVpid00956KTr2to7-7q6NJ7CRg2oIT8KUssnbkbthdOZI2JDnlIfqEfZLKsSEQCHMYmPl9w8c3CH2lZEJpUZwSVjBVqhXJmZJcqg9oTKVkWV7S1Uc03q2z3X6EPodwSwgVqhRHaEQLohQjZIx-z9thOfgN_Hv-O8XXzrU4OjwLsel0BHwOne5rbJ3Hly5sm6hbvAR_3xgIuB58029w_AP4BzxE_Cuh0DUGX_W2HaB_0l_QJ6vbACeHfoxu5rPrs8ts8fPi6my6yAwvRMzomouCSGpzMCCIVKU1pWCcEc1rpnTNdK4ZNYyyeq2NEIUUhvHcWl0rIzg_Rt_3d7fe3Q0QYtU1wUDb6h7cEKqUBy9KKRM42YMb3ULV9NZFr02qF-OuB9uk-ZRKwaiiiiUB2QuMdyF4sNXWp2j8Y0VJtftB9fYHSfLtYGZYd1C_Cg6hJyDbA0FvoLp1g-9TOO8f_A-obI81</recordid><startdate>200611</startdate><enddate>200611</enddate><creator>Zhang, Xinzhi</creator><creator>Meltzer, Martin I.</creator><creator>Wortley, Pascale M.</creator><general>Sage Publications</general><general>Sage Publications, Inc</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7X8</scope></search><sort><creationdate>200611</creationdate><title>FluSurge—A Tool to Estimate Demand for Hospital Services during the Next Pandemic Influenza</title><author>Zhang, Xinzhi ; Meltzer, Martin I. ; Wortley, Pascale M.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c374t-1b347051f6ece40598fc842320a3d29ad2a6a21c212dbac44754c236ffad9c433</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2006</creationdate><topic>Adolescent</topic><topic>Adult</topic><topic>Aged</topic><topic>Central service department</topic><topic>Child</topic><topic>Child, Preschool</topic><topic>Control</topic><topic>Decision Making, Computer-Assisted</topic><topic>Decision Support Techniques</topic><topic>Disease Outbreaks - statistics & numerical data</topic><topic>Epidemics</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Forecasts and trends</topic><topic>Georgia</topic><topic>Health Resources - supply & distribution</topic><topic>Hospital Bed Capacity - statistics & numerical data</topic><topic>Hospital Mortality</topic><topic>Hospitalization - statistics & numerical data</topic><topic>Hospitals</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Infant</topic><topic>Influenza</topic><topic>Influenza, Human - epidemiology</topic><topic>Influenza, Human - mortality</topic><topic>Intensive Care Units - supply & distribution</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Needs Assessment - statistics & numerical data</topic><topic>South Carolina</topic><topic>Urban Population - statistics & numerical data</topic><topic>Ventilators, Mechanical - supply & distribution</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Xinzhi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Meltzer, Martin I.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wortley, Pascale M.</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>Medical decision making</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Zhang, Xinzhi</au><au>Meltzer, Martin I.</au><au>Wortley, Pascale M.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>FluSurge—A Tool to Estimate Demand for Hospital Services during the Next Pandemic Influenza</atitle><jtitle>Medical decision making</jtitle><addtitle>Med Decis Making</addtitle><date>2006-11</date><risdate>2006</risdate><volume>26</volume><issue>6</issue><spage>617</spage><epage>623</epage><pages>617-623</pages><issn>0272-989X</issn><eissn>1552-681X</eissn><abstract>Purpose. To assess the impact of pandemic influenza on hospital services. Methods. Based on census data and estimates of hospital resources (non-ICU [intensive care unit] beds, ICU beds, and mechanical ventilators) in a given area, FluSurge software estimates the number of hospital admissions and deaths due to pandemic influenza under variable duration and virulence scenarios and compares hospital resources needed during a pandemic with existing hospital resources. Results. Sample results from Metropolitan Atlanta illustrate how the next influenza pandemic may overwhelm existing hospital resources, given that hospitals increasingly operate at nearly full capacity. Conclusions. Hospitals need to consider and plan for a surge in demand for hospital services during the next influenza pandemic.</abstract><cop>Thousand Oaks, CA</cop><pub>Sage Publications</pub><pmid>17099200</pmid><doi>10.1177/0272989X06295359</doi><tpages>7</tpages></addata></record> |
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| identifier | ISSN: 0272-989X |
| ispartof | Medical decision making, 2006-11, Vol.26 (6), p.617-623 |
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| subjects | Adolescent Adult Aged Central service department Child Child, Preschool Control Decision Making, Computer-Assisted Decision Support Techniques Disease Outbreaks - statistics & numerical data Epidemics Female Forecasts and trends Georgia Health Resources - supply & distribution Hospital Bed Capacity - statistics & numerical data Hospital Mortality Hospitalization - statistics & numerical data Hospitals Humans Infant Influenza Influenza, Human - epidemiology Influenza, Human - mortality Intensive Care Units - supply & distribution Male Middle Aged Needs Assessment - statistics & numerical data South Carolina Urban Population - statistics & numerical data Ventilators, Mechanical - supply & distribution |
| title | FluSurge—A Tool to Estimate Demand for Hospital Services during the Next Pandemic Influenza |
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