Is MELD score sufficient to predict not only death on waiting list, but also post‐transplant survival?

Summary Model for end‐stage liver disease (MELD) score has emerged as a useful tool in predicting mortality in patients awaiting liver transplantation. There is still, however, discussion as to whether further parameters could improve the sensitivity and specificity of the MELD score. From 1997 to 2...

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Veröffentlicht in:Transplant international 2006-04, Vol.19 (4), p.275-281
Hauptverfasser: Silberhumer, Gerd R., Hetz, Hubert, Rasoul‐Rockenschaub, Susanne, Peck‐Radosavljevic, Markus, Soliman, Thomas, Steininger, Rudolf, Muehlbacher, Ferdinand, Berlakovich, Gabriela A.
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container_end_page 281
container_issue 4
container_start_page 275
container_title Transplant international
container_volume 19
creator Silberhumer, Gerd R.
Hetz, Hubert
Rasoul‐Rockenschaub, Susanne
Peck‐Radosavljevic, Markus
Soliman, Thomas
Steininger, Rudolf
Muehlbacher, Ferdinand
Berlakovich, Gabriela A.
description Summary Model for end‐stage liver disease (MELD) score has emerged as a useful tool in predicting mortality in patients awaiting liver transplantation. There is still, however, discussion as to whether further parameters could improve the sensitivity and specificity of the MELD score. From 1997 to 2003, 621 adult patients with end‐stage liver disease were listed for orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). Patients suffering from hepatoma were excluded from analysis (113 patients). The MELD score was investigated at the time of listing (MELD ON) and of coming off the list (MELD OFF). Patients who died while on the waiting list showed a significant increase in their MELD score during the waiting time (MELD ON: 21 ± 7 vs. MELD OFF: 28 ± 9) as well as a significantly higher MELD ON compared with patients who were transplanted (MELD ON: 16 ± 5 vs. MELD OFF: 17 ± 7) or removed from the waiting list (MELD ON: 16 ± 6 vs. MELD OFF: 12 ± 3). Multivariate analysis identified MELD ON, ascites and recurrent infection as independent risk factors for death on the waiting list (P 
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There is still, however, discussion as to whether further parameters could improve the sensitivity and specificity of the MELD score. From 1997 to 2003, 621 adult patients with end‐stage liver disease were listed for orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). Patients suffering from hepatoma were excluded from analysis (113 patients). The MELD score was investigated at the time of listing (MELD ON) and of coming off the list (MELD OFF). Patients who died while on the waiting list showed a significant increase in their MELD score during the waiting time (MELD ON: 21 ± 7 vs. MELD OFF: 28 ± 9) as well as a significantly higher MELD ON compared with patients who were transplanted (MELD ON: 16 ± 5 vs. MELD OFF: 17 ± 7) or removed from the waiting list (MELD ON: 16 ± 6 vs. MELD OFF: 12 ± 3). Multivariate analysis identified MELD ON, ascites and recurrent infection as independent risk factors for death on the waiting list (P &lt; 0.01). 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There is still, however, discussion as to whether further parameters could improve the sensitivity and specificity of the MELD score. From 1997 to 2003, 621 adult patients with end‐stage liver disease were listed for orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). Patients suffering from hepatoma were excluded from analysis (113 patients). The MELD score was investigated at the time of listing (MELD ON) and of coming off the list (MELD OFF). Patients who died while on the waiting list showed a significant increase in their MELD score during the waiting time (MELD ON: 21 ± 7 vs. MELD OFF: 28 ± 9) as well as a significantly higher MELD ON compared with patients who were transplanted (MELD ON: 16 ± 5 vs. MELD OFF: 17 ± 7) or removed from the waiting list (MELD ON: 16 ± 6 vs. MELD OFF: 12 ± 3). Multivariate analysis identified MELD ON, ascites and recurrent infection as independent risk factors for death on the waiting list (P &lt; 0.01). MELD score was not identified as a predictor for the post‐transplant survival rate. MELD score is a strong predictor for death on the waiting list, but refractory ascites and recurrent infection are independent risk factors, too.</description><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Liver Failure - mortality</subject><subject>Liver Failure - surgery</subject><subject>liver transplantation</subject><subject>Liver Transplantation - mortality</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>MELD score</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Models, Biological</subject><subject>Resource Allocation</subject><subject>Risk Factors</subject><subject>Survival Rate</subject><subject>Tissue and Organ Procurement</subject><subject>waiting list</subject><subject>Waiting Lists</subject><issn>0934-0874</issn><issn>1432-2277</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2006</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNqNkd9qFDEUxoModq2-ggQvvHLGk3-TDAgitdqFFUHqdchkMjbL7GRNMm33zkfwGX0Ss93FgldNLnI4-X0fh-8ghAnUpJy365pwRitKpawpQFMDUAH17SO0-PfxGC2gZbwCJfkJepbSGgqlBDxFJ6QRkglOF-hqmfCX89VHnGyIDqd5GLz1bso4B7yNrvc24ylkHKZxh3tn8lUp8Y3x2U8_8OhTfoO7OWMzpiIIKf_59TtHM6XtaIpLmuO1vzbj--foyVAY9-L4nqLvn84vzy6q1dfPy7MPq8qylkHVKels1w6thV4IpcA1MHDTU9ZLSYwwqmOlBa7rpBlcT6EFGJxVTc-t4JKdotcH320MP2eXst74ZN1YpnFhTrqRipTLC_jqP3Ad5jiV2TQlbUOJ4KRA6gDZGFKKbtDb6Dcm7jQBvV-FXut94nqfuN6vQt-tQt8W6cuj_9xtXH8vPGZfgHcH4MaPbvdgY335bVkK9hfA7piX</recordid><startdate>200604</startdate><enddate>200604</enddate><creator>Silberhumer, Gerd R.</creator><creator>Hetz, Hubert</creator><creator>Rasoul‐Rockenschaub, Susanne</creator><creator>Peck‐Radosavljevic, Markus</creator><creator>Soliman, Thomas</creator><creator>Steininger, Rudolf</creator><creator>Muehlbacher, Ferdinand</creator><creator>Berlakovich, Gabriela A.</creator><general>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7QO</scope><scope>7T5</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>P64</scope><scope>7X8</scope></search><sort><creationdate>200604</creationdate><title>Is MELD score sufficient to predict not only death on waiting list, but also post‐transplant survival?</title><author>Silberhumer, Gerd R. ; 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subjects Adult
Aged
Female
Humans
Liver Failure - mortality
Liver Failure - surgery
liver transplantation
Liver Transplantation - mortality
Male
MELD score
Middle Aged
Models, Biological
Resource Allocation
Risk Factors
Survival Rate
Tissue and Organ Procurement
waiting list
Waiting Lists
title Is MELD score sufficient to predict not only death on waiting list, but also post‐transplant survival?
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