Classifying patients suspected of appendicitis with regard to likelihood

We sought to develop a clinical predictive model for acute appendicitis and contrast it with current clinical practice. A prospective observational study of patients presenting with signs or symptoms consistent with acute appendicitis. Random-partition modeling was used to develop an appendicitis li...

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Veröffentlicht in:The American journal of surgery 2006-04, Vol.191 (4), p.497-502
Hauptverfasser: Birkhahn, Robert H., Briggs, Matthew, Datillo, Paris A., Van Deusen, Shawn K., Gaeta, Theodore J.
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container_end_page 502
container_issue 4
container_start_page 497
container_title The American journal of surgery
container_volume 191
creator Birkhahn, Robert H.
Briggs, Matthew
Datillo, Paris A.
Van Deusen, Shawn K.
Gaeta, Theodore J.
description We sought to develop a clinical predictive model for acute appendicitis and contrast it with current clinical practice. A prospective observational study of patients presenting with signs or symptoms consistent with acute appendicitis. Random-partition modeling was used to develop an appendicitis likelihood model (ALM). Four hundred thirty-nine patients were enrolled, 101 with appendicitis, and 338 with other diagnoses. The ALM classified patients as “low likelihood” if they had a white blood cell count 82%. The ALM outperformed actual clinical practice with regard to “missed” appendicitis, negative laparotomies, and total number of imaging studies. The ALM may permit more judicious use of advanced radiographic imaging with lower nontherapuetic laparotomy rates.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.amjsurg.2005.08.031
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A prospective observational study of patients presenting with signs or symptoms consistent with acute appendicitis. Random-partition modeling was used to develop an appendicitis likelihood model (ALM). Four hundred thirty-nine patients were enrolled, 101 with appendicitis, and 338 with other diagnoses. The ALM classified patients as “low likelihood” if they had a white blood cell count &lt;9,500 and either no right lower–quadrant tenderness or a neutrophil count &lt;54%. Patients were classified as “high likelihood” if they had a white blood cell count &gt;13,000 with rebound tenderness or both voluntary guarding and neutrophil count &gt;82%. The ALM outperformed actual clinical practice with regard to “missed” appendicitis, negative laparotomies, and total number of imaging studies. 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subjects Abdomen
Accuracy
Adolescent
Adult
Age
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Appendicitis
Appendicitis - diagnosis
Biological and medical sciences
Blood
Child
Child, Preschool
Clinical medicine
Clinical scoring
Confidence intervals
Diagnosis
Diagnosis, Differential
Female
Gastroenterology. Liver. Pancreas. Abdomen
General aspects
Humans
Leukocyte Count
Likelihood Functions
Male
Medical diagnosis
Medical imaging
Medical sciences
Middle Aged
Other diseases. Semiology
Pain
Pathology
Predictive Value of Tests
Prospective Studies
Stomach. Duodenum. Small intestine. Colon. Rectum. Anus
Teaching hospitals
Tomography
Ultrasonic imaging
title Classifying patients suspected of appendicitis with regard to likelihood
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