Treating Individuals 3: From subgroups to individuals: general principles and the example of carotid endarterectomy

Clinicians often have to make treatment decisions based on the likelihood that an individual patient will benefit. In this article we consider the relevance of relative and absolute risk reductions, and draw attention to the importance of expressing the results of trials and subgroup analyses in ter...

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Veröffentlicht in:The Lancet (British edition) 2005-01, Vol.365 (9455), p.256-265
Hauptverfasser: ROTHWELL, Peter M, MEHTA, Ziyah, HOWARD, Sally C, GUTNIKOV, Sergei A, WARLOW, Charles P
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container_end_page 265
container_issue 9455
container_start_page 256
container_title The Lancet (British edition)
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creator ROTHWELL, Peter M
MEHTA, Ziyah
HOWARD, Sally C
GUTNIKOV, Sergei A
WARLOW, Charles P
description Clinicians often have to make treatment decisions based on the likelihood that an individual patient will benefit. In this article we consider the relevance of relative and absolute risk reductions, and draw attention to the importance of expressing the results of trials and subgroup analyses in terms of absolute risk. We describe the limitations of univariate subgroup analysis in situations in which there are several determinants of treatment effect, and review the potential for targeting treatments with risk models, especially when benefit is probably going to be dependent on the absolute risk of adverse outcomes with or without treatment. The ability to systematically take into account the characteristics of an individual patient and their interactions, to consider the risks and benefits of interventions separately if needed, and to provide patients with personalised estimates of their likelihood of benefit is shown using the example of endarterectomy for symptomatic carotid stenosis.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/S0140-6736(05)17746-0
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subjects Biological and medical sciences
Carotid Stenosis - surgery
Clinical trials
Data Interpretation, Statistical
Decision Making
Endarterectomy, Carotid - adverse effects
General aspects
Health risk assessment
Health risks
Heterogeneity
Humans
Medical sciences
Medical treatment
Patient Selection
Prognosis
Proportional Hazards Models
Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
Risk Factors
Risk Reduction Behavior
Stroke
Treatment Outcome
title Treating Individuals 3: From subgroups to individuals: general principles and the example of carotid endarterectomy
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