Glucose levels compared with diabetes history in the risk assessment of patients with acute myocardial infarction

Background Both a history of diabetes mellitus and elevated inhospital glucose levels predict death after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, only diabetes history (and not glucose levels) is routinely considered in AMI risk assessment. Methods We conducted a post hoc analysis of 2 randomize...

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Veröffentlicht in:The American heart journal 2009-04, Vol.157 (4), p.763-770
Hauptverfasser: Goyal, Abhinav, MD, MHS, Mehta, Shamir R., MD, MSc, Gerstein, Hertzel C., MD, MSc, Díaz, Rafael, MD, Afzal, Rizwan, MSc, Xavier, Denis, MD, Zhu, Jun, MD, Pais, Prem, MD, MSc, Lisheng, Liu, MD, Kazmi, Khawar A., MD, Zubaid, Mohammad, MD, Piegas, Leopoldo S., MD, PhD, Widimsky, Petr, MD, DrSC, Budaj, Andrzej, MD, PhD, Avezum, Alvaro, MD, PhD, Yusuf, Salim, MBBS, DPhil
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container_end_page 770
container_issue 4
container_start_page 763
container_title The American heart journal
container_volume 157
creator Goyal, Abhinav, MD, MHS
Mehta, Shamir R., MD, MSc
Gerstein, Hertzel C., MD, MSc
Díaz, Rafael, MD
Afzal, Rizwan, MSc
Xavier, Denis, MD
Zhu, Jun, MD
Pais, Prem, MD, MSc
Lisheng, Liu, MD
Kazmi, Khawar A., MD
Zubaid, Mohammad, MD
Piegas, Leopoldo S., MD, PhD
Widimsky, Petr, MD, DrSC
Budaj, Andrzej, MD, PhD
Avezum, Alvaro, MD, PhD
Yusuf, Salim, MBBS, DPhil
description Background Both a history of diabetes mellitus and elevated inhospital glucose levels predict death after acute myocardial infarction (AMI). However, only diabetes history (and not glucose levels) is routinely considered in AMI risk assessment. Methods We conducted a post hoc analysis of 2 randomized controlled trials of AMI with ST-segment elevation to compare the prognostic value of inhospital glucose levels with diabetes history in 30,536 subjects. Average inhospital glucose (mean of glucose levels at admission, 6 hours, and 24 hours), diabetes history, and death at 30 days (occurring in 2,808 subjects) were documented. Results Average glucose predicted 30-day death (OR 1.10 per 1-mmol/L [18-mg/dL] increase, 95% CI 1.09-1.11, P < .0001); this was unchanged after adjusting for diabetes history. In contrast, diabetes history alone predicted 30-day death (OR 1.63, 95% CI 1.48-1.78, P < .0001), but not after adjusting for average glucose (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.88-1.09, P = .72). The C-indices (areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves) for 30-day death were 0.54 for diabetes history alone, 0.64 for average glucose alone, and 0.64 for glucose plus diabetes. Higher glucose levels predicted death in patients with and without diabetes history, but this relationship was more steep in nondiabetic subjects such that their rate of 30-day death (13.2%) matched that of diabetic patients (13.7%) when average glucose was ≥144 mg/dL (8 mmol/L) ( P = .55 after multivariable adjustment). Conclusions Although diabetes history is routinely considered in the risk stratification of AMI patients, inhospital glucose levels are a much stronger predictor of death and should be incorporated in their risk assessment. Patients with AMI with inhospital glucose ≥144 mg/dL have a very high risk of death regardless of diabetes history.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.ahj.2008.12.007
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However, only diabetes history (and not glucose levels) is routinely considered in AMI risk assessment. Methods We conducted a post hoc analysis of 2 randomized controlled trials of AMI with ST-segment elevation to compare the prognostic value of inhospital glucose levels with diabetes history in 30,536 subjects. Average inhospital glucose (mean of glucose levels at admission, 6 hours, and 24 hours), diabetes history, and death at 30 days (occurring in 2,808 subjects) were documented. Results Average glucose predicted 30-day death (OR 1.10 per 1-mmol/L [18-mg/dL] increase, 95% CI 1.09-1.11, P &lt; .0001); this was unchanged after adjusting for diabetes history. In contrast, diabetes history alone predicted 30-day death (OR 1.63, 95% CI 1.48-1.78, P &lt; .0001), but not after adjusting for average glucose (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.88-1.09, P = .72). The C-indices (areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves) for 30-day death were 0.54 for diabetes history alone, 0.64 for average glucose alone, and 0.64 for glucose plus diabetes. Higher glucose levels predicted death in patients with and without diabetes history, but this relationship was more steep in nondiabetic subjects such that their rate of 30-day death (13.2%) matched that of diabetic patients (13.7%) when average glucose was ≥144 mg/dL (8 mmol/L) ( P = .55 after multivariable adjustment). Conclusions Although diabetes history is routinely considered in the risk stratification of AMI patients, inhospital glucose levels are a much stronger predictor of death and should be incorporated in their risk assessment. Patients with AMI with inhospital glucose ≥144 mg/dL have a very high risk of death regardless of diabetes history.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0002-8703</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1097-6744</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.ahj.2008.12.007</identifier><identifier>PMID: 19332208</identifier><identifier>CODEN: AHJOA2</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>New York, NY: Mosby, Inc</publisher><subject>Acute coronary syndromes ; Biological and medical sciences ; Blood Glucose - metabolism ; Blood pressure ; Cardiology. Vascular system ; Cardiovascular ; Clinical trials ; Confidence intervals ; Coronary heart disease ; Diabetes ; Diabetes Mellitus - blood ; Diabetes Mellitus - epidemiology ; Diabetes. Impaired glucose tolerance ; Endocrine pancreas. Apud cells (diseases) ; Endocrinopathies ; Etiopathogenesis. Screening. Investigations. Target tissue resistance ; Female ; Follow-Up Studies ; Glucose ; Heart ; Heart attacks ; Heart rate ; Hospitalization ; Humans ; Inpatients ; Logistics ; Male ; Medical research ; Medical sciences ; Middle Aged ; Morbidity - trends ; Mortality ; Myocardial Infarction - blood ; Myocardial Infarction - epidemiology ; Myocarditis. 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However, only diabetes history (and not glucose levels) is routinely considered in AMI risk assessment. Methods We conducted a post hoc analysis of 2 randomized controlled trials of AMI with ST-segment elevation to compare the prognostic value of inhospital glucose levels with diabetes history in 30,536 subjects. Average inhospital glucose (mean of glucose levels at admission, 6 hours, and 24 hours), diabetes history, and death at 30 days (occurring in 2,808 subjects) were documented. Results Average glucose predicted 30-day death (OR 1.10 per 1-mmol/L [18-mg/dL] increase, 95% CI 1.09-1.11, P &lt; .0001); this was unchanged after adjusting for diabetes history. In contrast, diabetes history alone predicted 30-day death (OR 1.63, 95% CI 1.48-1.78, P &lt; .0001), but not after adjusting for average glucose (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.88-1.09, P = .72). The C-indices (areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves) for 30-day death were 0.54 for diabetes history alone, 0.64 for average glucose alone, and 0.64 for glucose plus diabetes. Higher glucose levels predicted death in patients with and without diabetes history, but this relationship was more steep in nondiabetic subjects such that their rate of 30-day death (13.2%) matched that of diabetic patients (13.7%) when average glucose was ≥144 mg/dL (8 mmol/L) ( P = .55 after multivariable adjustment). Conclusions Although diabetes history is routinely considered in the risk stratification of AMI patients, inhospital glucose levels are a much stronger predictor of death and should be incorporated in their risk assessment. Patients with AMI with inhospital glucose ≥144 mg/dL have a very high risk of death regardless of diabetes history.</description><subject>Acute coronary syndromes</subject><subject>Biological and medical sciences</subject><subject>Blood Glucose - metabolism</subject><subject>Blood pressure</subject><subject>Cardiology. Vascular system</subject><subject>Cardiovascular</subject><subject>Clinical trials</subject><subject>Confidence intervals</subject><subject>Coronary heart disease</subject><subject>Diabetes</subject><subject>Diabetes Mellitus - blood</subject><subject>Diabetes Mellitus - epidemiology</subject><subject>Diabetes. Impaired glucose tolerance</subject><subject>Endocrine pancreas. Apud cells (diseases)</subject><subject>Endocrinopathies</subject><subject>Etiopathogenesis. Screening. Investigations. Target tissue resistance</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Follow-Up Studies</subject><subject>Glucose</subject><subject>Heart</subject><subject>Heart attacks</subject><subject>Heart rate</subject><subject>Hospitalization</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Inpatients</subject><subject>Logistics</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Medical research</subject><subject>Medical sciences</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Morbidity - trends</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>Myocardial Infarction - blood</subject><subject>Myocardial Infarction - epidemiology</subject><subject>Myocarditis. Cardiomyopathies</subject><subject>Ontario - epidemiology</subject><subject>Prognosis</subject><subject>Risk Assessment - methods</subject><subject>Risk Factors</subject><subject>Statistical methods</subject><subject>Studies</subject><subject>Survival Rate - trends</subject><issn>0002-8703</issn><issn>1097-6744</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2009</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>8G5</sourceid><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><sourceid>GNUQQ</sourceid><sourceid>GUQSH</sourceid><sourceid>M2O</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kl2L1TAQhoso7nH1B3gjAdG71knapi2CIIuuwoIX6nVIkykn3bY5m0lXzr835Rxc2AshkA-edzIz72TZaw4FBy4_jIXej4UAaAsuCoDmSbbj0DW5bKrqabYDAJG3DZQX2QuiMV2laOXz7IJ3ZSkEtLvs7npajSdkE97jRMz4-aADWvbHxT2zTvcYkdjeUfThyNzC4h5ZcHTLNBESzbhE5gd20NGlI52E2qwR2Xz0RocUZErCQQcTnV9eZs8GPRG-Ou-X2e-vX35dfctvflx_v_p8k5tKVjGXQjZY93Vveyu6FgeQuuEVt21b11UDpgMYatsL25mhFLYCznWXnjurm9LK8jJ7f4p7CP5uRYpqdmRwmvSCfiUlG-h4XfMEvn0Ejn4NS8pN8RqquoO0EsVPlAmeKOCgDsHNOhwVB7W5oUaV3FCbG4oLldxImjfnyGs_o31QnNufgHdnQJPR0xD0Yhz940SqVwq-pfjxxCWL8N5hUGRStw1aF9BEZb37bxqfHqnN5BaXPrzFI9JDtYqSQP3cxmabGmiBQy14-Rc40rzF</recordid><startdate>20090401</startdate><enddate>20090401</enddate><creator>Goyal, Abhinav, MD, MHS</creator><creator>Mehta, Shamir R., MD, MSc</creator><creator>Gerstein, Hertzel C., MD, MSc</creator><creator>Díaz, Rafael, MD</creator><creator>Afzal, Rizwan, MSc</creator><creator>Xavier, Denis, MD</creator><creator>Zhu, Jun, MD</creator><creator>Pais, Prem, MD, MSc</creator><creator>Lisheng, Liu, MD</creator><creator>Kazmi, Khawar A., MD</creator><creator>Zubaid, Mohammad, MD</creator><creator>Piegas, Leopoldo S., MD, PhD</creator><creator>Widimsky, Petr, MD, DrSC</creator><creator>Budaj, Andrzej, MD, PhD</creator><creator>Avezum, Alvaro, MD, PhD</creator><creator>Yusuf, Salim, MBBS, DPhil</creator><general>Mosby, Inc</general><general>Mosby</general><general>Elsevier Limited</general><scope>IQODW</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7QO</scope><scope>7RV</scope><scope>7TS</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88C</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8AO</scope><scope>8C1</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>8G5</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AN0</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>GUQSH</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>KB0</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M0T</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>M2O</scope><scope>MBDVC</scope><scope>NAPCQ</scope><scope>P64</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>Q9U</scope><scope>7X8</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20090401</creationdate><title>Glucose levels compared with diabetes history in the risk assessment of patients with acute myocardial infarction</title><author>Goyal, Abhinav, MD, MHS ; Mehta, Shamir R., MD, MSc ; Gerstein, Hertzel C., MD, MSc ; Díaz, Rafael, MD ; Afzal, Rizwan, MSc ; Xavier, Denis, MD ; Zhu, Jun, MD ; Pais, Prem, MD, MSc ; Lisheng, Liu, MD ; Kazmi, Khawar A., MD ; Zubaid, Mohammad, MD ; Piegas, Leopoldo S., MD, PhD ; Widimsky, Petr, MD, DrSC ; Budaj, Andrzej, MD, PhD ; Avezum, Alvaro, MD, PhD ; Yusuf, Salim, MBBS, DPhil</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c464t-6267e5b5bdbd298ef06a7141d8855470c900f5db2d9cf32d4011a90c99da73d63</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2009</creationdate><topic>Acute coronary syndromes</topic><topic>Biological and medical sciences</topic><topic>Blood Glucose - metabolism</topic><topic>Blood pressure</topic><topic>Cardiology. Vascular system</topic><topic>Cardiovascular</topic><topic>Clinical trials</topic><topic>Confidence intervals</topic><topic>Coronary heart disease</topic><topic>Diabetes</topic><topic>Diabetes Mellitus - blood</topic><topic>Diabetes Mellitus - epidemiology</topic><topic>Diabetes. Impaired glucose tolerance</topic><topic>Endocrine pancreas. Apud cells (diseases)</topic><topic>Endocrinopathies</topic><topic>Etiopathogenesis. Screening. Investigations. Target tissue resistance</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Follow-Up Studies</topic><topic>Glucose</topic><topic>Heart</topic><topic>Heart attacks</topic><topic>Heart rate</topic><topic>Hospitalization</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Inpatients</topic><topic>Logistics</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Medical research</topic><topic>Medical sciences</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Morbidity - trends</topic><topic>Mortality</topic><topic>Myocardial Infarction - blood</topic><topic>Myocardial Infarction - epidemiology</topic><topic>Myocarditis. Cardiomyopathies</topic><topic>Ontario - epidemiology</topic><topic>Prognosis</topic><topic>Risk Assessment - methods</topic><topic>Risk Factors</topic><topic>Statistical methods</topic><topic>Studies</topic><topic>Survival Rate - trends</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Goyal, Abhinav, MD, MHS</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mehta, Shamir R., MD, MSc</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gerstein, Hertzel C., MD, MSc</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Díaz, Rafael, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Afzal, Rizwan, MSc</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Xavier, Denis, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhu, Jun, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pais, Prem, MD, MSc</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lisheng, Liu, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kazmi, Khawar A., MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zubaid, Mohammad, MD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Piegas, Leopoldo S., MD, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Widimsky, Petr, MD, DrSC</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Budaj, Andrzej, MD, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Avezum, Alvaro, MD, PhD</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yusuf, Salim, MBBS, DPhil</creatorcontrib><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Biotechnology Research Abstracts</collection><collection>Nursing &amp; 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However, only diabetes history (and not glucose levels) is routinely considered in AMI risk assessment. Methods We conducted a post hoc analysis of 2 randomized controlled trials of AMI with ST-segment elevation to compare the prognostic value of inhospital glucose levels with diabetes history in 30,536 subjects. Average inhospital glucose (mean of glucose levels at admission, 6 hours, and 24 hours), diabetes history, and death at 30 days (occurring in 2,808 subjects) were documented. Results Average glucose predicted 30-day death (OR 1.10 per 1-mmol/L [18-mg/dL] increase, 95% CI 1.09-1.11, P &lt; .0001); this was unchanged after adjusting for diabetes history. In contrast, diabetes history alone predicted 30-day death (OR 1.63, 95% CI 1.48-1.78, P &lt; .0001), but not after adjusting for average glucose (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.88-1.09, P = .72). The C-indices (areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves) for 30-day death were 0.54 for diabetes history alone, 0.64 for average glucose alone, and 0.64 for glucose plus diabetes. Higher glucose levels predicted death in patients with and without diabetes history, but this relationship was more steep in nondiabetic subjects such that their rate of 30-day death (13.2%) matched that of diabetic patients (13.7%) when average glucose was ≥144 mg/dL (8 mmol/L) ( P = .55 after multivariable adjustment). Conclusions Although diabetes history is routinely considered in the risk stratification of AMI patients, inhospital glucose levels are a much stronger predictor of death and should be incorporated in their risk assessment. Patients with AMI with inhospital glucose ≥144 mg/dL have a very high risk of death regardless of diabetes history.</abstract><cop>New York, NY</cop><pub>Mosby, Inc</pub><pmid>19332208</pmid><doi>10.1016/j.ahj.2008.12.007</doi><tpages>8</tpages></addata></record>
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identifier ISSN: 0002-8703
ispartof The American heart journal, 2009-04, Vol.157 (4), p.763-770
issn 0002-8703
1097-6744
language eng
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source MEDLINE; Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals Complete; ProQuest Central UK/Ireland
subjects Acute coronary syndromes
Biological and medical sciences
Blood Glucose - metabolism
Blood pressure
Cardiology. Vascular system
Cardiovascular
Clinical trials
Confidence intervals
Coronary heart disease
Diabetes
Diabetes Mellitus - blood
Diabetes Mellitus - epidemiology
Diabetes. Impaired glucose tolerance
Endocrine pancreas. Apud cells (diseases)
Endocrinopathies
Etiopathogenesis. Screening. Investigations. Target tissue resistance
Female
Follow-Up Studies
Glucose
Heart
Heart attacks
Heart rate
Hospitalization
Humans
Inpatients
Logistics
Male
Medical research
Medical sciences
Middle Aged
Morbidity - trends
Mortality
Myocardial Infarction - blood
Myocardial Infarction - epidemiology
Myocarditis. Cardiomyopathies
Ontario - epidemiology
Prognosis
Risk Assessment - methods
Risk Factors
Statistical methods
Studies
Survival Rate - trends
title Glucose levels compared with diabetes history in the risk assessment of patients with acute myocardial infarction
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