A Cross-National Analysis of Economic Voting: Taking Account of the Political Context

A large literature has demonstrated that such economic factors as growth, inflation, and unemployment affect the popularity of incumbents within many democratic countries. However, cross-national aggregate analyses of "economic voting" show only weak and inconsistent economic effects. We a...

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Veröffentlicht in:American journal of political science 1993-05, Vol.37 (2), p.391-414
Hauptverfasser: Powell, G. Bingham, Whitten, Guy D.
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description A large literature has demonstrated that such economic factors as growth, inflation, and unemployment affect the popularity of incumbents within many democratic countries. However, cross-national aggregate analyses of "economic voting" show only weak and inconsistent economic effects. We argue for the systematic incorporation of political factors that shape the electoral consequences of economic performance. Multivariate analyses of 102 elections in 19 industrialized democracies are used to estimate the cross-national impact of economic and political factors. The analyses show that considerations of the ideological image of the government, its electoral base, and the clarity of its political responsibility are essential to understanding the effects of economic conditions on voting for or against incumbents.
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source Jstor Complete Legacy; Worldwide Political Science Abstracts; Sociological Abstracts; Periodicals Index Online
subjects Coefficients
Democracy
Economic analysis
Economic Factors
Economic performance
Economics
ELECTION
Government
Government performance
Incumbents
Minority governments
Parliamentary system
Political Factors
Political parties
POLITICAL SCIENCE
Politics
Unemployment
Voter behavior
VOTING
Voting Behavior
Voting behaviour
title A Cross-National Analysis of Economic Voting: Taking Account of the Political Context
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