A Cross-National Analysis of Economic Voting: Taking Account of the Political Context
A large literature has demonstrated that such economic factors as growth, inflation, and unemployment affect the popularity of incumbents within many democratic countries. However, cross-national aggregate analyses of "economic voting" show only weak and inconsistent economic effects. We a...
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Veröffentlicht in: | American journal of political science 1993-05, Vol.37 (2), p.391-414 |
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description | A large literature has demonstrated that such economic factors as growth, inflation, and unemployment affect the popularity of incumbents within many democratic countries. However, cross-national aggregate analyses of "economic voting" show only weak and inconsistent economic effects. We argue for the systematic incorporation of political factors that shape the electoral consequences of economic performance. Multivariate analyses of 102 elections in 19 industrialized democracies are used to estimate the cross-national impact of economic and political factors. The analyses show that considerations of the ideological image of the government, its electoral base, and the clarity of its political responsibility are essential to understanding the effects of economic conditions on voting for or against incumbents. |
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subjects | Coefficients Democracy Economic analysis Economic Factors Economic performance Economics ELECTION Government Government performance Incumbents Minority governments Parliamentary system Political Factors Political parties POLITICAL SCIENCE Politics Unemployment Voter behavior VOTING Voting Behavior Voting behaviour |
title | A Cross-National Analysis of Economic Voting: Taking Account of the Political Context |
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