Confounding sources of variance in the macro-analysis of electoral data

. Four sources of variance are examined in the construction of ecological models of electoral behaviour: aggregation bias, contextual effects, temporal and spatial diffusion. The proper specification of both micro‐ and macro‐models of political behaviour requires these four sources of variance to be...

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Veröffentlicht in:European journal of political research 1991-06, Vol.19 (4), p.425-439
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description . Four sources of variance are examined in the construction of ecological models of electoral behaviour: aggregation bias, contextual effects, temporal and spatial diffusion. The proper specification of both micro‐ and macro‐models of political behaviour requires these four sources of variance to be taken into account. Ecological analysis may make valid inferences to individual behaviour once the models are properly specified. Electoral data for Britain between 1955 and October 1974 are used to test a series of structural equation models specifying developmental relationships between class and electoral behaviour and taking into account the four potential sources of bias.
doi_str_mv 10.1111/j.1475-6765.1991.tb01196.x
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source Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; Worldwide Political Science Abstracts; Sociological Abstracts; Periodicals Index Online
subjects Aggregate Data
Class Differences
Data
Ecological Models
Elections
Great Britain
Methodology (Data Analysis)
Structural Models
Voting Behavior
title Confounding sources of variance in the macro-analysis of electoral data
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