State and National Factors in Gubernatorial and Senatorial Elections
Theory: Voters link candidates for governor and senator to the president through partisanship. However, voters also distinguish between the functional responsibilities that governors and U.S. senators have regarding the health of state and national economies, respectively. Hypotheses: Voting in elec...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | American journal of political science 1998-07, Vol.42 (3), p.994-1002 |
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| container_title | American journal of political science |
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| creator | Carsey, Thomas M. Wright, Gerald C. |
| description | Theory: Voters link candidates for governor and senator to the president through partisanship. However, voters also distinguish between the functional responsibilities that governors and U.S. senators have regarding the health of state and national economies, respectively. Hypotheses: Voting in elections for both governor and senator should respond to presidential approval. Voting in senate elections should respond to evaluations of the national economy while voting in gubernatorial elections should respond to evaluations of the state economy. Method: We replicate Atkeson and Partin's (1995) analysis of American National Election Studies (ANES) date controlling for the pooled and clustered nature of the data. We then crossvalidate their study using media exit polls. Results: Our analysis confirms the above hypotheses, which contrasts with the findings of Atkeson and Partin (1995). These differences result from controlling for the pooled and clustered nature of the data and from the well-documented misreport problem in the ANES data. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.2307/2991738 |
| format | Article |
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However, voters also distinguish between the functional responsibilities that governors and U.S. senators have regarding the health of state and national economies, respectively. Hypotheses: Voting in elections for both governor and senator should respond to presidential approval. Voting in senate elections should respond to evaluations of the national economy while voting in gubernatorial elections should respond to evaluations of the state economy. Method: We replicate Atkeson and Partin's (1995) analysis of American National Election Studies (ANES) date controlling for the pooled and clustered nature of the data. We then crossvalidate their study using media exit polls. Results: Our analysis confirms the above hypotheses, which contrasts with the findings of Atkeson and Partin (1995). These differences result from controlling for the pooled and clustered nature of the data and from the well-documented misreport problem in the ANES data.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0092-5853</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1540-5907</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.2307/2991738</identifier><identifier>CODEN: AJPLB4</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Austin, Tex: University of Wisconsin Press</publisher><subject>Bias ; Candidates ; Congressional elections ; Economic analysis ; Economic conditions ; Economic models ; Economics ; Election results ; Elections ; Elections to the upper chamber ; Estimates ; Federalism ; Governor ; Governors ; Gubernatorial elections ; Hypotheses ; Incumbency ; Polls ; Polls & surveys ; Presidential elections ; Presidents ; Public opinion ; Referendums ; Replications ; Senate ; Senators ; Standard error ; State elections ; State Government ; U.S.A ; United States ; Variables ; Voter behavior ; Voters ; Voting ; Voting behaviour</subject><ispartof>American journal of political science, 1998-07, Vol.42 (3), p.994-1002</ispartof><rights>Copyright 1998 Board of Regents of the University of Wisconsin System</rights><rights>Copyright University of Wisconsin Press Jul 1998</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c369t-cbb495f41f3d94d8a4a5e8ee7f1a9950ba6a84b176e7efeeaec2848847f73e6d3</citedby></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/2991738$$EPDF$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/2991738$$EHTML$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,803,12845,27869,27924,27925,58017,58250</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Carsey, Thomas M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wright, Gerald C.</creatorcontrib><title>State and National Factors in Gubernatorial and Senatorial Elections</title><title>American journal of political science</title><description>Theory: Voters link candidates for governor and senator to the president through partisanship. However, voters also distinguish between the functional responsibilities that governors and U.S. senators have regarding the health of state and national economies, respectively. Hypotheses: Voting in elections for both governor and senator should respond to presidential approval. Voting in senate elections should respond to evaluations of the national economy while voting in gubernatorial elections should respond to evaluations of the state economy. Method: We replicate Atkeson and Partin's (1995) analysis of American National Election Studies (ANES) date controlling for the pooled and clustered nature of the data. We then crossvalidate their study using media exit polls. Results: Our analysis confirms the above hypotheses, which contrasts with the findings of Atkeson and Partin (1995). These differences result from controlling for the pooled and clustered nature of the data and from the well-documented misreport problem in the ANES data.</description><subject>Bias</subject><subject>Candidates</subject><subject>Congressional elections</subject><subject>Economic analysis</subject><subject>Economic conditions</subject><subject>Economic models</subject><subject>Economics</subject><subject>Election results</subject><subject>Elections</subject><subject>Elections to the upper chamber</subject><subject>Estimates</subject><subject>Federalism</subject><subject>Governor</subject><subject>Governors</subject><subject>Gubernatorial elections</subject><subject>Hypotheses</subject><subject>Incumbency</subject><subject>Polls</subject><subject>Polls & surveys</subject><subject>Presidential elections</subject><subject>Presidents</subject><subject>Public opinion</subject><subject>Referendums</subject><subject>Replications</subject><subject>Senate</subject><subject>Senators</subject><subject>Standard error</subject><subject>State elections</subject><subject>State Government</subject><subject>U.S.A</subject><subject>United States</subject><subject>Variables</subject><subject>Voter behavior</subject><subject>Voters</subject><subject>Voting</subject><subject>Voting 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However, voters also distinguish between the functional responsibilities that governors and U.S. senators have regarding the health of state and national economies, respectively. Hypotheses: Voting in elections for both governor and senator should respond to presidential approval. Voting in senate elections should respond to evaluations of the national economy while voting in gubernatorial elections should respond to evaluations of the state economy. Method: We replicate Atkeson and Partin's (1995) analysis of American National Election Studies (ANES) date controlling for the pooled and clustered nature of the data. We then crossvalidate their study using media exit polls. Results: Our analysis confirms the above hypotheses, which contrasts with the findings of Atkeson and Partin (1995). 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| ispartof | American journal of political science, 1998-07, Vol.42 (3), p.994-1002 |
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| source | Worldwide Political Science Abstracts; Periodicals Index Online; Jstor Complete Legacy |
| subjects | Bias Candidates Congressional elections Economic analysis Economic conditions Economic models Economics Election results Elections Elections to the upper chamber Estimates Federalism Governor Governors Gubernatorial elections Hypotheses Incumbency Polls Polls & surveys Presidential elections Presidents Public opinion Referendums Replications Senate Senators Standard error State elections State Government U.S.A United States Variables Voter behavior Voters Voting Voting behaviour |
| title | State and National Factors in Gubernatorial and Senatorial Elections |
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