Systemic Politics and the Origins of Great Power Conflict
Systemic theories of international politics rarely predict conflict short of cataclysmic systemic wars, and dyadic theories of conflict lack systemic perspective. This article attempts to bridge the gap by introducing a two-step theory of conflict among Great Powers. In the first stage, states engag...
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Veröffentlicht in: | The American political science review 2008-02, Vol.102 (1), p.77-93 |
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description | Systemic theories of international politics rarely predict conflict short of cataclysmic systemic wars, and dyadic theories of conflict lack systemic perspective. This article attempts to bridge the gap by introducing a two-step theory of conflict among Great Powers. In the first stage, states engage in a dynamic, ongoing process of managing the international system, which inevitably produces tensions among them. In the second stage, relative levels of security-related activity determine how and when those tensions erupt into disputes. A test of the theory on Great Power conflicts from the nineteenth century supports the argument and, moreover, favors the deterrence model over the spiral model as a proximate explanation of conflict in the second stage. |
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subjects | Armed conflict Balance of power Coefficients Conflict Conflict resolution Conflict theory Constituents Deterrence Diplomacy Dyadics Foreign policy Great powers International politics International Relations International system Logical Thinking Military deterrence Modeling Political conflict Political Power Political science Politics Theories Theory War War conflict |
title | Systemic Politics and the Origins of Great Power Conflict |
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