A NEW THEORY OF THE BUDGETARY PROCESS

This paper offers an alternative to the view that budgetary decisions are incremental because they are complex, extensive, and conflicted. Our model interprets incrementalism as the result of a legislative political strategy in response to interest group politics and economic conditions. Accordingly...

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Veröffentlicht in:Economics and politics 2006-03, Vol.18 (1), p.47-70
Hauptverfasser: TOHAMY, SOUMAYA M., DEZHBAKHSH, HASHEM, ARANSON, PETER H.
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container_end_page 70
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container_title Economics and politics
container_volume 18
creator TOHAMY, SOUMAYA M.
DEZHBAKHSH, HASHEM
ARANSON, PETER H.
description This paper offers an alternative to the view that budgetary decisions are incremental because they are complex, extensive, and conflicted. Our model interprets incrementalism as the result of a legislative political strategy in response to interest group politics and economic conditions. Accordingly, a legislator chooses between single‐period budgeting or multiperiod budgeting, where single‐period budgeting is associated with a greater chance of non‐incremental budgeting outcomes. We use a statistical procedure developed by Dezhbakhsh et al. (2003) for identifying non‐incremental outcomes to test the implications of the model. Results support the model's predictions: a higher discount rate and a persistently large deficit appear to cause departures from incremental budgeting; Democrats' control over the political process have a similar effect, while a higher inflation rate has an opposite effect.
doi_str_mv 10.1111/j.1468-0343.2006.00162.x
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subjects Budget economics
Budgeting
Budgets
Decision making
Economic Conditions
Economic models
Group dynamics
Inflation
Interest Groups
Legislators
Political behavior
Political economy
Political parties
Prediction
Public Debt
Public finance
Statistical methods
Studies
U.S.A
title A NEW THEORY OF THE BUDGETARY PROCESS
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