A NEW THEORY OF THE BUDGETARY PROCESS
This paper offers an alternative to the view that budgetary decisions are incremental because they are complex, extensive, and conflicted. Our model interprets incrementalism as the result of a legislative political strategy in response to interest group politics and economic conditions. Accordingly...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Economics and politics 2006-03, Vol.18 (1), p.47-70 |
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description | This paper offers an alternative to the view that budgetary decisions are incremental because they are complex, extensive, and conflicted. Our model interprets incrementalism as the result of a legislative political strategy in response to interest group politics and economic conditions. Accordingly, a legislator chooses between single‐period budgeting or multiperiod budgeting, where single‐period budgeting is associated with a greater chance of non‐incremental budgeting outcomes. We use a statistical procedure developed by Dezhbakhsh et al. (2003) for identifying non‐incremental outcomes to test the implications of the model. Results support the model's predictions: a higher discount rate and a persistently large deficit appear to cause departures from incremental budgeting; Democrats' control over the political process have a similar effect, while a higher inflation rate has an opposite effect. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1111/j.1468-0343.2006.00162.x |
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Our model interprets incrementalism as the result of a legislative political strategy in response to interest group politics and economic conditions. Accordingly, a legislator chooses between single‐period budgeting or multiperiod budgeting, where single‐period budgeting is associated with a greater chance of non‐incremental budgeting outcomes. We use a statistical procedure developed by Dezhbakhsh et al. (2003) for identifying non‐incremental outcomes to test the implications of the model. Results support the model's predictions: a higher discount rate and a persistently large deficit appear to cause departures from incremental budgeting; Democrats' control over the political process have a similar effect, while a higher inflation rate has an opposite effect.</abstract><cop>Oxford, UK</cop><pub>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</pub><doi>10.1111/j.1468-0343.2006.00162.x</doi><tpages>24</tpages></addata></record> |
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subjects | Budget economics Budgeting Budgets Decision making Economic Conditions Economic models Group dynamics Inflation Interest Groups Legislators Political behavior Political economy Political parties Prediction Public Debt Public finance Statistical methods Studies U.S.A |
title | A NEW THEORY OF THE BUDGETARY PROCESS |
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