The assessment of health damage caused by air pollution and its implication for policy making in Taiyuan, Shanxi, China

We establish the link between energy use, air pollution, and public health impacts in Taiyuan for 2000, and for 2010 and 2015 under alternative scenarios. We find that in year 2000 more than 2200 excess deaths may have been caused by particulate matter (PM) pollution. Using alternative methods for m...

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Veröffentlicht in:Energy policy 2010, Vol.38 (1), p.491-502
Hauptverfasser: Zhang, Daisheng, Aunan, Kristin, Martin Seip, Hans, Larssen, Steinar, Liu, Jianhui, Zhang, Dingsheng
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container_issue 1
container_start_page 491
container_title Energy policy
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creator Zhang, Daisheng
Aunan, Kristin
Martin Seip, Hans
Larssen, Steinar
Liu, Jianhui
Zhang, Dingsheng
description We establish the link between energy use, air pollution, and public health impacts in Taiyuan for 2000, and for 2010 and 2015 under alternative scenarios. We find that in year 2000 more than 2200 excess deaths may have been caused by particulate matter (PM) pollution. Using alternative methods for monetization of health impacts the total health damage amounts to 0.8–1.7 billion Yuan, which is 2.4–4.9% of the city's GDP in 2000. Compared to the business-as-usual scenario, scenarios assuming extensive fuel switch in low-and-medium-stack pollution sources and extension of the district heating system could prevent 200–1100 PM 10-related premature deaths in 2010 and substantially reduce population morbidity. The actual PM pollution in 2007 was lower than modeled in these two scenarios. We also find that if air quality in urban Taiyuan were to reach the Chinese National Grade II Standard in 2015, the number of premature deaths would still be around 1330 and the economic cost about 1–2% of the city's GDP in 2015. Our results imply that there are large health benefits to be gained by setting stricter standards for the future in China, and that targeting low-and-medium-stack source effectively reduces health damage.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.enpol.2009.09.039
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We find that in year 2000 more than 2200 excess deaths may have been caused by particulate matter (PM) pollution. Using alternative methods for monetization of health impacts the total health damage amounts to 0.8–1.7 billion Yuan, which is 2.4–4.9% of the city's GDP in 2000. Compared to the business-as-usual scenario, scenarios assuming extensive fuel switch in low-and-medium-stack pollution sources and extension of the district heating system could prevent 200–1100 PM 10-related premature deaths in 2010 and substantially reduce population morbidity. The actual PM pollution in 2007 was lower than modeled in these two scenarios. We also find that if air quality in urban Taiyuan were to reach the Chinese National Grade II Standard in 2015, the number of premature deaths would still be around 1330 and the economic cost about 1–2% of the city's GDP in 2015. 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We find that in year 2000 more than 2200 excess deaths may have been caused by particulate matter (PM) pollution. Using alternative methods for monetization of health impacts the total health damage amounts to 0.8–1.7 billion Yuan, which is 2.4–4.9% of the city's GDP in 2000. Compared to the business-as-usual scenario, scenarios assuming extensive fuel switch in low-and-medium-stack pollution sources and extension of the district heating system could prevent 200–1100 PM 10-related premature deaths in 2010 and substantially reduce population morbidity. The actual PM pollution in 2007 was lower than modeled in these two scenarios. We also find that if air quality in urban Taiyuan were to reach the Chinese National Grade II Standard in 2015, the number of premature deaths would still be around 1330 and the economic cost about 1–2% of the city's GDP in 2015. Our results imply that there are large health benefits to be gained by setting stricter standards for the future in China, and that targeting low-and-medium-stack source effectively reduces health damage.</abstract><cop>Kidlington</cop><pub>Elsevier Ltd</pub><doi>10.1016/j.enpol.2009.09.039</doi><tpages>12</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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source RePEc; PAIS Index; Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals
subjects Air pollution
Air pollution caused by fuel industries
Air pollution Health impacts Control scenarios
Air quality
Applied sciences
Atmospheric pollution
China
Combustion and energy production
Comparative analysis
Control scenarios
Energy
Energy consumption
Energy economics
Energy policy
Energy utilization
Energy. Thermal use of fuels
Exact sciences and technology
General, economic and professional studies
General. Regulations. Norms. Economy
Health impacts
Health policy
Heating
Morbidity
Outdoor air quality
Particulate matter
Pollution
Pollution sources
Pollution sources. Measurement results
Premature mortality
Public health
Shanxi (province), China
Strategic planning
Studies
title The assessment of health damage caused by air pollution and its implication for policy making in Taiyuan, Shanxi, China
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