Examining Predictive Accuracy Among Discounting Models

Both descriptive and normative arguments claim that the discount rate to be applied to public projects should be elicited from individual intertemporal preferences. We present a methodology to analyze data from experimental surveys on intertemporal preferences. Focusing on the exponential and the hy...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Journal of risk and uncertainty 2002-03, Vol.24 (2), p.143-160
Hauptverfasser:	KELLER, L. ROBIN, STRAZZERA, ELISABETTA
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Accuracy Capital markets Consumption Costs Datasets Decision making Discount rates Discounting Economic models Economic value Estimate reliability Experimental methods Forecasts Housing prices Interest rates Modeling Parametric models Predictive modeling Preferences project engineering Research methodology Risk Simulations Standard deviation Statistical methods Time Uncertainty Valuation
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