Energy consumption, survey data and the prediction of industrial production in Italy: a comparison and combination of different models

We investigate the prediction of italian industrial production and first specify a model based on electricity consumption showing that the cubic trend in such a model mostly captures the evolution over time of the electricity coefficient, which can be well approximated by a smooth transition model,...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of forecasting 2000-09, Vol.19 (5), p.419-440
Hauptverfasser: Marchetti, Domenico J., Parigi, Giuseppe
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Sprache:eng
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