The role of international factors in the business cycle: A multi-country study

Empirical research has been conducted on the various theories of the business cycle over many countries. However, very little research has attempted to undertake a multi-country disaggregate investigation into the sources of output change. This paper decomposes fluctuations in industry output in a p...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of international economics 1996-02, Vol.40 (1), p.85-104
Hauptverfasser: Norrbin, Stefan C., Schlagenhauf, Don E.
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creator Norrbin, Stefan C.
Schlagenhauf, Don E.
description Empirical research has been conducted on the various theories of the business cycle over many countries. However, very little research has attempted to undertake a multi-country disaggregate investigation into the sources of output change. This paper decomposes fluctuations in industry output in a particular country into: (1) a nation-specific shock; (2) an industry-specific shock; (3) a common shock; and (4) an idiosyncratic factor. Using a dynamic factor analysis state-space approach, the paper finds that the industry-specific impulse explains a significant but small part of the variance of the forecast error. This provides limited support for the disaggregated real business cycle paradigm.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/0022-1996(95)01385-7
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identifier ISSN: 0022-1996
ispartof Journal of international economics, 1996-02, Vol.40 (1), p.85-104
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language eng
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source RePEc; Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals Complete; Periodicals Index Online
subjects Business cycles
Dynamic factor analysis
Econometrics
Economic fluctuations
Economic models
Economic shock
Economic theory
Factor analysis
Industrial production
Manycountries
Studies
Time series
title The role of international factors in the business cycle: A multi-country study
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