Debt and Deficit Ceilings, and Sustainability of Fiscal Policies: an Intertemporal Analysis

The likely consequences for the sustainability of the fiscal policy of pursuing goals that rely on restrictive ceilings on deficits and debt are examined. A formal theoretical framework is provided for analyzing the sustainability of fiscal policy based on the government intertemporal budget constra...

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Veröffentlicht in:Oxford bulletin of economics and statistics 2000-05, Vol.62 (2), p.197-222
Hauptverfasser: Uctum, Merih, Wickens, Michael
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Wickens, Michael
description The likely consequences for the sustainability of the fiscal policy of pursuing goals that rely on restrictive ceilings on deficits and debt are examined. A formal theoretical framework is provided for analyzing the sustainability of fiscal policy based on the government intertemporal budget constraint. Conditions are derived that determine whether a given fiscal stance is sustainable. It is found that many countries do not have a sustainable policy. The evidence in favor of sustainability is strengthened for most countries when the data are extended to incorporate future fiscal consolidation plans, reflecting the general shift toward fiscal austerity in recent years.
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source RePEc; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; Business Source Complete; Periodicals Index Online
subjects Budgetary policy
Comparative economics
Cross-national analysis
Debt
Economic history
Economic policy
Economic theory
Europe
European Union
Fiscal policy
Gross domestic product
National debt
Public debt
Statistical analysis
Studies
Sustainability
U.S.A
title Debt and Deficit Ceilings, and Sustainability of Fiscal Policies: an Intertemporal Analysis
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