Expertise in forecasting performance of security analysts

In this study of sell-side analysts’ forecasts, we explore the effects of analyst aptitude, learning-by-doing, and the internal environment of the brokerage house on forecast accuracy. Our results indicate that analysts’ aptitude and brokerage house characteristics are associated with forecast accur...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of accounting & economics 1999-11, Vol.28 (1), p.51-82
Hauptverfasser: Jacob, John, Lys, Thomas Z., Neale, Margaret A.
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Lys, Thomas Z.
Neale, Margaret A.
description In this study of sell-side analysts’ forecasts, we explore the effects of analyst aptitude, learning-by-doing, and the internal environment of the brokerage house on forecast accuracy. Our results indicate that analysts’ aptitude and brokerage house characteristics are associated with forecast accuracy, while learning-by-doing is only associated with forecast accuracy when we do not control for analysts’ company-specific aptitude in forecasting. It is unlikely that this result is caused by measurement errors because it is robust when we use a sub-sample where we can accurately measure experience.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/S0165-4101(99)00016-6
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source RePEc; Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals Complete
subjects Accuracy
Analysts
Analysts’ forecasts
Capital market
Capital markets
Data analysis
Earnings forecasting
Evaluation
Financial information
Forecasts
Learning
Securities trading
Statistical analysis
Studies
title Expertise in forecasting performance of security analysts
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