The Impact of Recession on the Prediction of Corporate Failure

In this paper, we hypothesize that recessionary business cycles can contribute to corporate failure. Specifically, we test for a relationship between failure and (1) knowledge that failure occurred during a recession and (2) knowledge that the predictor variables were measured during a recession. We...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of business finance & accounting 1998-01, Vol.25 (1-2), p.167-186
Hauptverfasser: Richardson, Frederick M., Kane, Gregory D., Lobingier, Patricia
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container_title Journal of business finance & accounting
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creator Richardson, Frederick M.
Kane, Gregory D.
Lobingier, Patricia
description In this paper, we hypothesize that recessionary business cycles can contribute to corporate failure. Specifically, we test for a relationship between failure and (1) knowledge that failure occurred during a recession and (2) knowledge that the predictor variables were measured during a recession. We are able to show that accounting‐based logistic regression models used to predict corporate failure are sensitive to the occurrence of a recession. Furthermore, our results indicate that such models are sensitive to knowledge that the predictor variables were generated during a recession and to knowledge that failure ultimately occurred during a recession.
doi_str_mv 10.1111/1468-5957.00182
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source Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; Business Source Complete
subjects Accounting
business cycle
Business cycles
Business failures
corporate failure
Effects
Enterprises
failure prediction
Forecasts
Hypotheses
Recession
Recessions
Studies
title The Impact of Recession on the Prediction of Corporate Failure
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