Economic determinants of free trade agreements

The purpose of this study is to provide the first systematic empirical analysis of the economic determinants of the formation of free trade agreements (FTAs) and of the likelihood of FTAs between pairs of countries using a qualitative choice model. We develop this econometric model based upon a gene...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of international economics 2004-10, Vol.64 (1), p.29-63
Hauptverfasser: Baier, Scott L., Bergstrand, Jeffrey H.
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description The purpose of this study is to provide the first systematic empirical analysis of the economic determinants of the formation of free trade agreements (FTAs) and of the likelihood of FTAs between pairs of countries using a qualitative choice model. We develop this econometric model based upon a general equilibrium model of world trade with two factors of production, two monopolistically-competitive product markets, and explicit intercontinental and intracontinental transportation costs among multiple countries on multiple continents. The empirical model correctly predicts, based solely upon economic characteristics, 85% of the 286 FTAs existing in 1996 among 1431 pairs of countries and 97% of the remaining 1145 pairs with no FTAs.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/S0022-1996(03)00079-5
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subjects Decision models
Economic models
Economic theory
Economics
Free trade
Free trade agreements
International economics
International trade
Qualitative choice models
Studies
Trade agreements
title Economic determinants of free trade agreements
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